Denis Shapovalov and Valentin Royer will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 7. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.4
Valentin Royer -> 2.95

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Valentin Royer

There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Valentin Royer since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov

20 - 16win/loss

Hard
12-8
I Hard
5-0
Clay
2-5
Grass
1-3
Rank
23
High
10
LLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 14-11 2-5 9-3 1-3 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 29, the Canadian got to the 2nd round after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-4 6-4 6-0.

In the 1st round, Denis had a good straight sets win against Fucsovics (6-4 6-4 6-0). During the match, Shapovalov scored 96 points vs Fucsovics’s 69. Shapovalov was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shapovalov bagged 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 51% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Fucsovics 8 times after converting 73% of his break points (8/11).

Shapovalov has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (314-217). 12-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shapovalov has a compiled 144-94 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Dallas where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3 and in Los Cabos where he overcame Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-4 6-2.

Shapovalov has an overall 20-16 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Shapovalov's Record

Valentin Royer

Valentin Royer

47 - 21win/loss

Hard
7-5
I Hard
5-3
Clay
31-11
Grass
4-2
Rank
58
High
56
LLLWLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 61-31 16-8 31-11 10-10 4-2 0-0
2024 48-30 6-5 32-13 10-11 0-1 0-0
2023 51-20 24-7 22-10 5-3 0-0 0-0
2022 51-25 8-4 30-15 13-6 0-0 0-0
2021 24-17 1-2 13-8 10-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 98 (career-high), the French player got to the 2nd round after defeating Bu Yunchaokete 6-1 6-4 7-6(1).

In the 1st round, Valentin had a good straight sets win against Yunchaokete (6-1 6-4 7-61). During the match Royer scored 102 points vs Yunchaokete’s 83. Valentin was quite aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Talking about serving, Royer fired 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Valentin Royer was very effective on serve to win 81% (51/63) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Valentin broke Yunchaokete 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Kigali 1 Challenger where he overcame Andrej Martin in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Kigali 2 Challenger where he defeated Guy Den Ouden in the final 6-2 6-4.

The French player has an overall 47-21 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Royer's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Shapovalov
V.Royer
2h:04
2h:04
Time on court​
2h:15
2h:15
!
2h:04
2h:04
Last match​
!
2h:15
2h:15
1
1
Match played
1
1
26
26
Games Played​
30
30
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
96
96
Total points​
102
102
96
96
Avg point​
102
102
27
27
Winners
51
51
27
27
Avg Winners​
51
51
28%
28%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
12
12
8
8
Avg Aces
!
12
12
5
5
Double Faults
1
1
5
5
Avg Double Faults
1
1
27/40
27/40
1st won total​
51/63
51/63
68%
68%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
22/39
22/39
2nd won total​
18/32
18/32
56%
56%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
8/11
8/11
BP won
3/4
3/4
8/11
8/11
Avg BP won
3/4
3/4
!
73%
73%
Won
!
75%
75%
7
7
Conceded
5
5
7
7
Avg Conceded
5
5
3
3
Broken
0
0
3
3
Avg Broken
!
0
0
4
4
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shapovalov Royer
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 26 30
Pts 96-69 102-83
Total Points 165 185
Winners 27 51
%Winners 28% 50%

Both Shapovalov and Royer played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shapovalov and Royer have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Shapovalov played 4 games less than Royer. Shapovalov scored 27 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Royer struck 51 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shapovalov Royer
Aces 8 12
Avg per match 8 12
1st in 40/79 63/95
%1st in 51% 66%
1st pts 27/40 51/63
%1st pts 68% 81%
2nd pts 22/39 18/32
%2nd pts 56% 56%

Shapovalov blasted 8 aces . Royer scored 12 aces . Shapovalov won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Royer won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shapovalov Royer
Won 8 3
Converted 8/11 3/4
% Converted 73% 75%
Conceded 7 5
Saved 4 5
% Saved 57% 100%
Times Broken 3 0

Denis broke his opponent 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. Denis surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Royer broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Royer was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.

Shapovalov
R1
Fucsovics
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 26 26
pts 96-69 96-69
Total points 165 165
Winners 27 27
%Winners 28% 28%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 40/79 40/79
% 1st in 51% 51%
1st pts 27/40 27/40
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 22/39 22/39
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 8 8
Converted 8/11 8/11
Converted % 73% 73%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 4/7 4
Saved % 57% 57%
Times Broken 3 3
Royer
R1
Yunchaokete
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 7-61
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 102-83 102-83
Total points 185 185
Winners 51 51
%Winners 50% 50%
SERVE
Aces 12 12
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 63/95 63/95
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 51/63 51/63
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 18/32 18/32
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/4 3/4
Converted % 75% 75%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 5/5 5
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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