Denis Shapovalov and Valentin Royer will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 7. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 4 sets.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.4
Valentin Royer -> 2.95
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Valentin Royer
There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Valentin Royer since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Denis Shapovalov
20 - 16win/loss
23
10
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 14-11 | 2-5 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, the Canadian got to the 2nd round after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-4 6-4 6-0.
In the 1st round, Denis had a good straight sets win against Fucsovics (6-4 6-4 6-0). During the match, Shapovalov scored 96 points vs Fucsovics’s 69. Shapovalov was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shapovalov bagged 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 51% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Fucsovics 8 times after converting 73% of his break points (8/11).
Shapovalov has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (314-217). 12-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shapovalov has a compiled 144-94 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Dallas where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3 and in Los Cabos where he overcame Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-4 6-2.
Shapovalov has an overall 20-16 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Valentin Royer
47 - 21win/loss
58
56
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 61-31 | 16-8 | 31-11 | 10-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-30 | 6-5 | 32-13 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-20 | 24-7 | 22-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-25 | 8-4 | 30-15 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-17 | 1-2 | 13-8 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 98 (career-high), the French player got to the 2nd round after defeating Bu Yunchaokete 6-1 6-4 7-6(1).
In the 1st round, Valentin had a good straight sets win against Yunchaokete (6-1 6-4 7-61). During the match Royer scored 102 points vs Yunchaokete’s 83. Valentin was quite aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about serving, Royer fired 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Valentin Royer was very effective on serve to win 81% (51/63) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Valentin broke Yunchaokete 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Kigali 1 Challenger where he overcame Andrej Martin in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Kigali 2 Challenger where he defeated Guy Den Ouden in the final 6-2 6-4.
The French player has an overall 47-21 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 30 |
| Pts | 96-69 | 102-83 |
| Total Points | 165 | 185 |
| Winners | 27 | 51 |
| %Winners | 28% | 50% |
Both Shapovalov and Royer played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shapovalov and Royer have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Shapovalov played 4 games less than Royer. Shapovalov scored 27 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Royer struck 51 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 12 |
| 1st in | 40/79 | 63/95 |
| %1st in | 51% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 27/40 | 51/63 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 18/32 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 56% |
Shapovalov blasted 8 aces . Royer scored 12 aces . Shapovalov won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Royer won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 3 |
| Converted | 8/11 | 3/4 |
| % Converted | 73% | 75% |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Saved | 4 | 5 |
| % Saved | 57% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Denis broke his opponent 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. Denis surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Royer broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Royer was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Shapovalov | |||
| R1 Fucsovics | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 96-69 | 96-69 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 40/79 | 40/79 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 27/40 | 27/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 22/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/11 | 8/11 | |
| Converted % | 73% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Royer | |||
| R1 Yunchaokete | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 102-83 | 102-83 | |
| Total points | 185 | 185 | |
| Winners | 51 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 63/95 | 63/95 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 51/63 | 51/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/32 | 18/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Tomas MachacMachac – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-6(4) 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (3-6 6-0 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Jack DraperDraper (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (2-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Adam WaltonWalton – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – David GoffinGoffin (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-0) – H2H and prediction