Lorenzo Musetti and David Goffin will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.26
David Goffin -> 3.85

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. David Goffin

This will be the 5th time that Lorenzo Musetti and David Goffin fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Musetti (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Goffin won 1-6 7-6(6) 6-2 in the 2nd round in Shanghai back in 2024.

Highlights David Goffin vs Lorenzo Musetti – Shanghai 07-October-2024

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

27 - 12win/loss

Hard
8-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
19-4
Grass
0-1
Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 10, the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round against Mpetshi Perricard, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-3 6-4 6-4). During the match, Musetti scored 123 points vs Mpetshi Perricard’s 102. Lorenzo was pretty aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti blasted 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Musetti was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 87% (59/68) of his 1st serve and 88% (28/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lorenzo broke Mpetshi Perricard 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Musetti has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (247-173). 8-7 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Musetti has an aggregate58-53 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Lorenzo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Carlo.

Lorenzo has a composed 27-12 win-loss record in 2025, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Musetti's Record

David Goffin

David Goffin

10 - 18win/loss

Hard
6-11
I Hard
0-2
Clay
4-4
Grass
0-1
Rank
118
High
7
LWLLWLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-26 10-15 4-4 2-6 0-1 0-0
2024 47-28 24-11 7-7 9-7 7-3 0-0
2023 36-26 2-5 11-9 18-9 5-3 0-0
2022 34-29 7-13 14-5 9-9 4-2 0-0
2021 14-15 4-8 5-5 5-1 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 80, David got to the 2nd round after beating Quentin Halys 6-7(2) 6-4 6-3 7-5.

In the 1st round against Halys, David recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-4 6-3 7-5). During the match Goffin scored 158 points vs Halys’s 150. David was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about serving, Goffin recorded 6 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. David Goffin lost the serve 6 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Goffin put 48% of his first serves in, winning 64% (46/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (41/77) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Halys 9 times after converting 41% of his break points (9/22).

David has an aggregate 10-18 win-loss record in 2025, 6-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See his history

.
U.S. Open
Goffin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Musetti
D.Goffin
2h:32
2h:32
Time on court​
3h:13
3h:13
!
2h:32
2h:32
Last match​
!
3h:13
3h:13
1
1
Match played
1
1
42
42
Games Played​
44
44
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
123
123
Total points​
158
158
123
123
Avg point​
158
158
59
59
Winners
46
46
59
59
Avg Winners​
46
46
48%
48%
Ratio winners
29%
29%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
6
6
!
13
13
Avg Aces
6
6
1
1
Double Faults
11
11
1
1
Avg Double Faults
!
11
11
59/68
59/68
1st won total​
46/72
46/72
!
87%
87%
1st won %
64%
64%
28/32
28/32
2nd won total​
41/77
41/77
!
88%
88%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
3/8
3/8
BP won
9/22
9/22
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
9/22
9/22
38%
38%
Won
41%
41%
0
0
Conceded
16
16
0
0
Avg Conceded
16
16
0
0
Broken
6
6
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
6
6
0
0
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Goffin
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 42 44
Pts 123-102 158-150
Total Points 225 308
Winners 59 46
%Winners 48% 29%

Both Musetti and Goffin played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti dropped 1 set, while David Goffin conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Goffin have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Musetti played 2 games less than Goffin. The Italian scored 59 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian bagged 46 winners (29%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Goffin
Aces 13 6
Avg per match 13 6
1st in 68/100 72/149
%1st in 68% 48%
1st pts 59/68 46/72
%1st pts 87% 64%
2nd pts 28/32 41/77
%2nd pts 88% 53%

Musetti scored 13 aces . Goffin fired 6 aces . Musetti won 87% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 88% of the points. On the other side, Goffin won 64% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Goffin
Won 3 9
Converted 3/8 9/22
% Converted 38% 41%
Conceded 0 16
Saved 0 10
% Saved 0% 63%
Times Broken 0 6

The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Musetti pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Belgian broke his opponent 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. David conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
R1
Mpetshi
Total
Score 6-73 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 42 42
pts 123-102 123-102
Total points 225 225
Winners 59 59
%Winners 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 13 13
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 68/100 68/100
% 1st in 68% 68%
1st pts 59/68 59/68
% 1st pts 87% 87%
2nd pts 28/32 28/32
% 2nd pts 88% 88%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Goffin
R1
Halys
Total
Score 6-72 6-4 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 44 44
pts 158-150 158-150
Total points 308 308
Winners 46 46
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 11 11
1st in 72/149 72/149
% 1st in 48% 48%
1st pts 46/72 46/72
% 1st pts 64% 64%
2nd pts 41/77 41/77
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 9 9
Converted 9/22 9/22
Converted % 41% 41%
Conceded 16 16
Saved 10/16 10
Saved % 63% 63%
Times Broken 6 6

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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