Tommy Paul and Nuno Borges will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.168
Nuno Borges -> 5.1

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Nuno Borges

There is no head to head record between Tommy Paul and Nuno Borges since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 14, Tommy got to the 2^nd round after beating Elmer Moller 6-3 6-3 6-1.

In the 1^st round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Moller (6-3 6-3 6-1). During the match, Paul scored 93 points vs Moller’s 63. Tommy was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paul bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tommy Paul was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 64% (23/36) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Moller 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (373-213). 12-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has an aggregate 189-108 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Paul’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide, Dallas, Houston and Rome.

Tommy has an overall 28-12 win-loss record in 2025, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Nuno Borges

Ranked no. 41, Nuno got to the 2^nd round after defeating Brandon Holt 6-4 6-2 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Borges had a good straight sets win against Holt (6-4 6-2 6-3). During the match Borges scored 98 points vs Holt’s 72. Nuno was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Borges blasted 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Nuno Borges was very effective on serve to win 78% (42/54) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Portuguese broke Holt 6 times after converting 35% of his break points (6/17).

Nuno’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Auckland and the Phoenix Challenger.

The Portuguese has an overall 27-25 win-loss record in 2025, 13-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paul	Borges
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	27
Pts	93-63	98-72
Total Points	156	170
Winners	31	42
%Winners	33%	43%

Both Paul and Borges played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Paul and Borges have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Paul played 2 games less than Borges. The American scored 31 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Borges fired 42 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paul	Borges
Aces	4	10
Avg per match	4	10
1st in	37/73	54/83
%1st in	51%	65%
1st pts	31/37	42/54
%1st pts	84%	78%
2nd pts	23/36	15/29
%2nd pts	64%	52%

Paul blasted 4 aces . Borges struck 10 aces . Paul won 84% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Borges won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paul	Borges
Won	5	6
Converted	5/10	6/17
% Converted	50%	35%
Conceded	0	4
Saved	0	2
% Saved	0%	50%
Times Broken	0	2

Tommy broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Paul pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Borges broke his opponent 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. Borges conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
	R1 Moller	Total
Score	6-3 6-3 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	25
pts	93-63	93-63
Total points	156	156
Winners	31	31
%Winners	33%	33%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	37/73	37/73
% 1st in	51%	51%
1st pts	31/37	31/37
% 1st pts	84%	84%
2nd pts	23/36	23/36
% 2nd pts	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/10	5/10
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Borges
	R1 Holt	Total
Score	6-4 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
pts	98-72	98-72
Total points	170	170
Winners	42	42
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	54/83	54/83
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	42/54	42/54
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	15/29	15/29
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/17	6/17
Converted %	35%	35%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	2/4	2
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Tomas MachacMachac – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-6(4) 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
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• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (3-6 6-0 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

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