Jannik Sinner and Alexei Popyrin will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.029
Alexei Popyrin -> 12.25

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alexei Popyrin

This will be the 2nd time that Jannik Sinner and Alexei Popyrin clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Popyrin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Popyrin won 7-6(5) 6-2 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in 2021.

Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Jannik Sinner – Madrid 05-May-2021

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner

32 - 4win/loss

Hard
13-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-2
Grass
8-1
Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Sinner reached the 2nd round after beating Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-1 6-2.

In the 1st round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Kopriva (6-1 6-1 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 84 points vs Kopriva’s 47. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (33/40) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jannik broke Kopriva 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (378-125). 13-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an overall151-47 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Jannik has a composed 32-4 win-loss record in 2025, 13-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Sinner's Record

Alexei Popyrin

Alexei Popyrin

17 - 19win/loss

Hard
7-9
I Hard
0-1
Clay
9-6
Grass
1-3
Rank
54
High
19
LLLLLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-24 7-10 9-6 0-5 1-3 0-0
2024 30-22 17-8 4-8 4-3 5-3 0-0
2023 36-29 18-14 15-6 1-4 2-5 0-0
2022 24-31 7-16 7-4 3-5 7-6 0-0
2021 32-26 13-11 8-6 10-5 1-4 0-0

Ranked no. 36, Alexei got to the 2nd round after defeating Emil Ruusuvuori 6-3 6-4 7-6(3).

In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Ruusuvuori (6-3 6-4 7-63). During the match Popyrin scored 111 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 84. Alexei was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Popyrin blasted 19 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 87% (46/53) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Alexei broke Ruusuvuori 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

The Australian has an aggregate 17-19 win-loss record in 2025, 7-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Popyrin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Sinner
A.Popyrin
1h:38
1h:38
Time on court​
2h:11
2h:11
1h:38
1h:38
Last match​
!
2h:11
2h:11
1
1
Match played
1
1
22
22
Games Played​
32
32
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
84
84
Total points​
111
111
84
84
Avg point​
111
111
33
33
Winners
46
46
33
33
Avg Winners​
46
46
39%
39%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
19
19
7
7
Avg Aces
!
19
19
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
3
3
33/40
33/40
1st won total​
46/53
46/53
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
87%
87%
15/28
15/28
2nd won total​
17/32
17/32
54%
54%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
7/10
7/10
BP won
5/14
5/14
7/10
7/10
Avg BP won
5/14
5/14
!
70%
70%
Won
36%
36%
2
2
Conceded
3
3
2
2
Avg Conceded
3
3
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
3
3
2
2
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Popyrin
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 22 32
Pts 84-47 111-84
Total Points 131 195
Winners 33 46
%Winners 39% 41%

Both Sinner and Popyrin played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Popyrin have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Sinner played 10 games less than Popyrin. Jannik scored 33 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 46 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Popyrin
Aces 7 19
Avg per match 7 19
1st in 40/68 53/85
%1st in 59% 62%
1st pts 33/40 46/53
%1st pts 83% 87%
2nd pts 15/28 17/32
%2nd pts 54% 53%

Sinner fired 7 aces . Popyrin managed to score 19 aces . Sinner won 83% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Popyrin
Won 7 5
Converted 7/10 5/14
% Converted 70% 36%
Conceded 2 3
Saved 2 0
% Saved 100% 0%
Times Broken 0 3

Jannik broke his opponent 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. Sinner had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Popyrin broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R1
Kopriva
Total
Score 6-1 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 22 22
pts 84-47 84-47
Total points 131 131
Winners 33 33
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 40/68 40/68
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 33/40 33/40
% 1st pts 83% 83%
2nd pts 15/28 15/28
% 2nd pts 54% 54%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/10 7/10
Converted % 70% 70%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Popyrin
R1
Ruusuvuori
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 7-63
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 111-84 111-84
Total points 195 195
Winners 46 46
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 19 19
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 53/85 53/85
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 46/53 46/53
% 1st pts 87% 87%
2nd pts 17/32 17/32
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/14 5/14
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 0/3 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 3 3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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