Jannik Sinner and Alexei Popyrin will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.029
Alexei Popyrin -> 12.25
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alexei Popyrin
This will be the 2nd time that Jannik Sinner and Alexei Popyrin clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Popyrin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Popyrin won 7-6(5) 6-2 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in 2021.
Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Jannik Sinner – Madrid 05-May-2021
Jannik Sinner
32 - 4win/loss
2
1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sinner reached the 2nd round after beating Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Kopriva (6-1 6-1 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 84 points vs Kopriva’s 47. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (33/40) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jannik broke Kopriva 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (378-125). 13-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an overall151-47 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.
Jannik has a composed 32-4 win-loss record in 2025, 13-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Alexei Popyrin
17 - 19win/loss
54
19
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-24 | 7-10 | 9-6 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Alexei got to the 2nd round after defeating Emil Ruusuvuori 6-3 6-4 7-6(3).
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Ruusuvuori (6-3 6-4 7-63). During the match Popyrin scored 111 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 84. Alexei was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Popyrin blasted 19 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 87% (46/53) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Alexei broke Ruusuvuori 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
The Australian has an aggregate 17-19 win-loss record in 2025, 7-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 |
| Pts | 84-47 | 111-84 |
| Total Points | 131 | 195 |
| Winners | 33 | 46 |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% |
Both Sinner and Popyrin played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Popyrin have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Sinner played 10 games less than Popyrin. Jannik scored 33 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 46 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 19 |
| 1st in | 40/68 | 53/85 |
| %1st in | 59% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 33/40 | 46/53 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 17/32 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 53% |
Sinner fired 7 aces . Popyrin managed to score 19 aces . Sinner won 83% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 5 |
| Converted | 7/10 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 70% | 36% |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Jannik broke his opponent 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. Sinner had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Popyrin broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||
| R1 Kopriva | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 84-47 | 84-47 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/68 | 40/68 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 33/40 | 33/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 7/10 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Popyrin | |||
| R1 Ruusuvuori | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 111-84 | 111-84 | |
| Total points | 195 | 195 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 19 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 53/85 | 53/85 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 46/53 | 46/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 17/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Tomas MachacMachac – Joao FonsecaFonseca (7-6(4) 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Jack DraperDraper (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (3-6 6-0 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
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