Naomi Osaka is about to kick off her campaign in the draw at the U.S. Open. Last year at the U.S. Open, Naomi lost in the 2nd round to Karolina Muchova 6-3 7-65. In the previous edition of this tournament, she bested Jelena Ostapenko 6-3 6-2. Naomi won the U.S. Open twice in 2018 and 2020.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Naomi Osaka’s projected draw includingherlikely opposition at the U.S. Open. Osaka has a good record (11-7) against the plausible opponents.

R1 – Greetje Minnen (106) – H2H 1-0
R2 – Hailey Baptiste (47) – H2H 2-0
or Katerina Siniakova (76) – H2H 2-1
R3 – Daria Kasatkina (18) – H2H 2-0
or Kamilla Rakhimova (65) – H2H 0-0
R4 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 2-3
or Magdalena Frech (33) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Karolina Muchova (13) – H2H 2-2
or Marta Kostyuk (28) – H2H 2-0
1/2 – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 1-2
or Amanda Anisimova (9) – H2H 0-2
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 1-0
or Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 1-1
Latest Updated
Draw

R1 – Greetje Minnen’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Naomi Osaka

36 - 19win/loss in 2025

Rank
120
High
59
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-19 20-13 4-3 4-1 8-2 0-0
2024 26-32 18-19 2-7 0-2 6-4 0-0
2023 56-20 12-6 13-4 22-6 5-3 4-1
2022 19-21 0-9 2-4 10-4 2-4 5-0
2021 39-27 19-12 7-6 8-7 5-2 0-0
2020 13-15 11-7 1-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 45-25 21-12 9-5 8-4 7-4 0-0
2018 70-20 17-4 23-6 6-3 0-0 24-7

Greetje Minnen has a 28-15 record in 2025, 12-9 on hard. During the previous 13 years, the Belgian has a 147-96 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). Greetje won 6 of her last 10 matches.

The Belgian’s most significant achievement of the season was reaching the final the W100 Oeiras and the Birmingham.

Last year at the U.S. Open Minnen was overcome by Donna Vekic in the 2nd round 7-5 6-1.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Greetje Minnen

This contest would be 2nd time that Naomi Osaka and Greetje Minnen face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

R2 – Hailey Baptiste’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Naomi Osaka

28 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
61
High
47
LLLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-25 11-15 11-6 3-1 3-3 0-0
2024 43-27 29-16 10-8 3-1 1-2 0-0
2023 41-32 17-15 22-15 2-2 0-0 0-0
2022 23-19 12-11 11-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-21 8-12 7-6 1-2 2-1 0-0
2020 9-10 6-8 3-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-13 15-7 14-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 31-9 16-4 15-5 0-0 0-0 0-0

Hailey Baptiste has a 26-20 win-loss record in 2025, 9-10 on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, Hailey has a 112-83 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 4 of her last 10 matches.

Last year at the U.S. Open the American capitulated to Maya Joint in the qualifications 6-2 6-1.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Hailey Baptiste

This match would represent the 3rd time that Naomi Osaka and Hailey Baptiste play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Naomi Osaka may play Katerina Siniakova. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Naomi Osaka.

R3 – Daria Kasatkina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Naomi Osaka

19 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
37
High
8
LLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-22 12-13 5-5 0-0 2-4 0-0
2024 40-23 24-16 8-4 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0
2020 18-14 7-8 5-3 6-3 0-0 0-0
2019 13-21 8-13 4-4 1-2 0-2 0-0
2018 42-24 15-13 12-7 8-1 7-3 0-0

Daria Kasatkina has a 18-19 record in 2025, 11-10 on hard. During the previous 13 years, Darya has a 183-132 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Australian won 4 of her last 10 matches.

Last year at the U.S. Open Kasatkina lost to Peyton Stearns in the 2nd round 6-1 7-6(3).

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Daria Kasatkina

This match would represent the 3rd time that Naomi Osaka and Daria Kasatkina face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Naomi Osaka may come up against Kamilla Rakhimova. Their head to head is 0-0.

R4 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Cori Gauff

48 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 35-12 win-loss record in 2025, 17-7 on hard. During the last 9 years, Cori has a 147-65 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the current season was winning the competition in Australia where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4, and at the French Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Cori capitulated to Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 4-6 6-3.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Cori Gauff

This match would represent the 6th time that Naomi Osaka and Cori Gauff fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Naomi Osaka could fight against Magdalena Frech. Their H2H is 0-0.

1/4 – Karolina Muchova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

26 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
19
High
8
LWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-17 23-13 0-1 2-1 1-2 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 7-8 6-6 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 38-14 25-9 6-2 3-1 4-2 0-0
2018 29-11 5-2 7-4 10-1 3-3 4-1

Karolina Muchova has a 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 14-8 on hard. Talking about the previous 10 years, the Czech has a 126-53 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). The Czech won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Karolina’s most significant result of this season was getting to the semifinal Australia, Linz and Dubai.

Last year at the U.S. Open Muchova was overcome by Jessica Pegula in the semifinal 1-6 6-4 6-2.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova

This match would represent the 5th time that Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova face off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 for Osaka on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Naomi Osaka could come up against Marta Kostyuk. Their H2H is 2-0 for Naomi Osaka.

1/2 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 50-12 record in 2025, 29-7 on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, Iga has a 191-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 6 matches winning streak.

Her most significant result of the year was winning the title at the Wimbledon where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open Swiatek lost to Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 4th time that Naomi Osaka and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Naomi Osaka could face Amanda Anisimova. Their head to head record is 2-0 for Amanda Anisimova.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Naomi Osaka

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 51-10 win-loss record in 2025, 27-5 on hard. In the last 10 years, Sabalenka has a 254-97 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Last year at the U.S. Open Aryna conquered the tournament after ousting Jessica Pegula 7-5 7-5.

H2H Naomi Osaka vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 2nd time that Naomi Osaka and Aryna Sabalenka face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Naomi Osaka could come up against Jessica Pegula. Their head to head record is 1-1.