Jasmine Paolini and Iva Jovic will square off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 2 sets.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.41
Iva Jovic -> 2.91
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Iva Jovic
This will be the 2nd time that Jasmine Paolini and Iva Jovic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Paolini won 7-6(3) 1-6 6-3 in the 2nd round in Indian Wells back in March 2025.
Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Iva Jovic – Indian Wells 08-March-2025
Jasmine Paolini
34 - 14win/loss
8
4
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Italian reached the 2nd round after defeating Destanee Aiava 6-2 7-6(4).
In the 1st round, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Aiava (6-2 7-64). During the match, Paolini scored 78 points vs Aiava’s 66. Jasmine was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paolini couldn’t to score even 1 ace and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Paolini put 63% of her first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Aiava 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Paolini has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (344-245). 18-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has a composed 122-94 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Rome where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.
The Italian has an overall 34-14 win-loss record in 2025, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Iva Jovic
30 - 12win/loss
35
33
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-18 | 24-13 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-10 | 20-7 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 73 (career-high), Iva got to the 2nd round after defeating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-6(6) 6-3.
In the 1st round, Jovic had a good straight sets win against Sasnovich (7-66 6-3). During the match Jovic scored 79 points vs Sasnovich’s 72. Jovic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Jovic recorded 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Iva Jovic lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Jovic put 64% of her first serves in, winning 65% (32/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. Iva broke Sasnovich 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Her best result of the year was winning the title the W100 Charlottesville where she overcame Irina Maria Bara in the final 6-0 6-1 and the Ilkley where she overcame Rebecca Marino in the final 6-1 6-3.
Iva has a compiled 30-12 win-loss record in 2025, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Jovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 22 |
| Pts | 78-66 | 79-72 |
| Total Points | 144 | 151 |
| Winners | 27 | 32 |
| %Winners | 35% | 41% |
Both Paolini and Jovic played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Paolini and Jovic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Paolini played 1 game less than Jovic. Jasmine scored 27 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 32 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Jovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 49/76 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 32/49 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 15/27 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 56% |
Paolini didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Jovic struck 4 aces . Paolini won 69% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Jovic won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Jovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 |
| Saved | 0 | 6 |
| % Saved | 0% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Paolini broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Paolini lost her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Iva conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||
| R1 Aiava | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 78-66 | 78-66 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 39/62 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 27/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Jovic | |||
| R1 Sasnovich | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 79-72 | 79-72 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/76 | 49/76 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 32/49 | 32/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 15/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
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