Jordan Thompson and Adrian Mannarino will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on Court 11. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.63
Jordan Thompson -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Jordan Thompson vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 11th time that Jordan Thompson and Adrian Mannarino play each other. The head to head is 6-4 for Mannarino (see full H2H stats), but Thompson has a winning record of 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Mannarino won 6-2 6-2 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in August 2025.

Jordan Thompson

Jordan Thompson

12 - 11win/loss

Hard
6-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-3
Grass
4-3
Rank
108
High
26
LWWLWLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-18 7-10 2-3 3-2 4-3 0-0
2024 35-24 23-13 3-5 5-3 4-3 0-0
2023 41-28 22-15 0-3 7-4 12-6 0-0
2022 40-26 18-14 2-6 8-1 12-5 0-0
2021 23-25 10-11 2-6 0-1 9-5 2-2

Ranked no. 58, the Australian reached the 2nd round after defeating Corentin Moutet 6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, Thompson had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3). During the match, Thompson scored 114 points vs Moutet’s 99. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Thompson managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jordan Thompson was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (45/63) of his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Thompson broke Moutet 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Thompson has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (332-236). 6-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Thompson has an aggregate 185-125 match record in the last years on hard.

Thompson has an aggregate 12-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Thompson's Record

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

29 - 30win/loss

Hard
10-12
I Hard
0-3
Clay
5-9
Grass
14-6
Rank
69
High
17
LLLLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-37 16-16 5-9 0-6 14-6 0-0
2024 17-33 9-17 0-5 7-6 1-5 0-0
2023 44-29 15-13 2-8 15-4 12-4 0-0
2022 31-32 18-14 1-6 8-7 4-5 0-0
2021 14-26 5-7 0-7 5-8 4-4 0-0

Ranked no. 77, the French player got to the 2nd round after defeating Tallon Griekspoor 7-5 6-4 6-0.

In the 1st round, Adrian had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (7-5 6-4 6-0). During the match Mannarino scored 110 points vs Griekspoor’s 75. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Mannarino blasted 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was very efficient on serve to win 89% (42/47) of his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Adrian broke Griekspoor 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).

The French player best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Newport Challenger.

The French player has a compiled 29-30 win-loss record in 2025, 10-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2013, 2014, 2017, 2020 and 2023. See his history.

U.S. Open
Mannarino's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Thompson
A.Mannarino
2h:55
2h:55
Time on court​
2h:26
2h:26
!
2h:55
2h:55
Last match​
!
2h:26
2h:26
1
1
Match played
1
1
34
34
Games Played​
28
28
4
4
Set played​​
3
3
114
114
Total points​
110
110
114
114
Avg point​
110
110
45
45
Winners
42
42
45
45
Avg Winners​
42
42
39%
39%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
14
14
10
10
Avg Aces
!
14
14
2
2
Double Faults
3
3
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3
3
45/63
45/63
1st won total​
42/47
42/47
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
89%
89%
22/37
22/37
2nd won total​
20/39
20/39
59%
59%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
5/14
5/14
BP won
6/16
6/16
5/14
5/14
Avg BP won
6/16
6/16
36%
36%
Won
38%
38%
8
8
Conceded
9
9
8
8
Avg Conceded
9
9
3
3
Broken
1
1
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
5
5
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Thompson Mannarino
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 4 3
Tot Games 34 28
Pts 114-99 110-75
Total Points 213 185
Winners 45 42
%Winners 39% 38%

Both Thompson and Mannarino played 1 match. At the moment, Jordan Thompson dropped 1 set while Adrian Mannarino hasn’t conceded a set so far. Thompson has played 1 set more than Mannarino (4 vs 3). Therefore, Thompson played 6 games more than Mannarino. Thompson scored 45 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Adrian struck 42 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Thompson Mannarino
Aces 10 14
Avg per match 10 14
1st in 63/100 47/86
%1st in 63% 55%
1st pts 45/63 42/47
%1st pts 71% 89%
2nd pts 22/37 20/39
%2nd pts 59% 51%

Thompson fired 10 aces . Mannarino made 14 aces . Thompson won 71% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 89% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Thompson Mannarino
Won 5 6
Converted 5/14 6/16
% Converted 36% 38%
Conceded 8 9
Saved 5 8
% Saved 63% 89%
Times Broken 3 1

The Australian broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Jordan surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponent 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Mannarino conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Thompson
R1
Moutet
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 34 34
pts 114-99 114-99
Total points 213 213
Winners 45 45
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 63/100 63/100
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 45/63 45/63
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 22/37 22/37
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/14 5/14
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 5/8 5
Saved % 63% 63%
Times Broken 3 3
Mannarino
R1
Griekspoor
Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 110-75 110-75
Total points 185 185
Winners 42 42
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 14 14
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 47/86 47/86
% 1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 42/47 42/47
% 1st pts 89% 89%
2nd pts 20/39 20/39
% 2nd pts 51% 51%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/16 6/16
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 8/9 8
Saved % 89% 89%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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