Ben Shelton and Pablo Carreno-Busta will play each other in the 2^nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.149
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 5.5

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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This will be the 2^nd time that Ben Shelton and Pablo Carreno-Busta fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shelton (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Shelton won 6-3 6-3 6-7(4) 6-4 in the 2^nd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2025.

Highlights Ben Shelton vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Australian Open 16-January-2025

Ben Shelton

Ranked no. 6 (career-high), the American got to the 2^nd round after beating Ignacio Buse 6-3 6-2 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Shelton had a good straight sets win against Buse (6-3 6-2 6-4). During the match, Shelton scored 100 points vs Buse’s 79. Shelton was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shelton made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Ben Shelton was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (43/55) of his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ben broke Buse 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Shelton has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (164-87). 22-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shelton has a composed88-45 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Toronto where he overcame Karen Khachanov in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(3).

Shelton has a composed 36-17 win-loss record in 2025, 22-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 137, Pablo got to the 2^nd round after beating Pablo Llamas Ruiz 7-6(7) 6-4 6-2.

In the 1^st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Llamas Ruiz (7-6⁷ 6-4 6-2). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 118 points vs Llamas Ruiz’s 98. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (46/62) of his 1st serve and 72% (26/36) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carreno-Busta broke Llamas Ruiz 3 times after converting 21% of his break points (3/14).

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he defeated Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.

Pablo has an aggregate 26-20 win-loss record in 2025, 16-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017 and 2020. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shelton	Carreno-Busta
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	31
Pts	100-79	118-98
Total Points	179	216
Winners	43	46
%Winners	43%	39%

Both Shelton and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shelton and Carreno-Busta have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Shelton played 4 games less than Carreno-Busta. The American scored 43 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Carreno-Busta struck 46 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shelton	Carreno-Busta
Aces	5	4
Avg per match	5	4
1st in	55/88	62/98
%1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	43/55	46/62
%1st pts	78%	74%
2nd pts	19/33	26/36
%2nd pts	58%	72%

Shelton made 5 aces . Carreno-Busta recorded 4 aces . Shelton won 78% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shelton	Carreno-Busta
Won	4	3
Converted	4/13	3/14
% Converted	31%	21%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	5	5
% Saved	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Ben broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Ben pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 5 break points. The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 21% conversion rate. Pablo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.

Shelton
	R1 Buse	Total
Score	6-3 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
pts	100-79	100-79
Total points	179	179
Winners	43	43
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	55/88	55/88
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	43/55	43/55
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	19/33	19/33
% 2nd pts	58%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/13	4/13
Converted %	31%	31%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	5/5	5
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Carreno-Busta
	R1 Llamas	Total
Score	7-67 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	31	31
pts	118-98	118-98
Total points	216	216
Winners	46	46
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	62/98	62/98
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	46/62	46/62
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	26/36	26/36
% 2nd pts	72%	72%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/14	3/14
Converted %	21%	21%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	5/5	5
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-4 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-6³ 7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (3-6 7-6⁴ 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-3 7-6⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Jaime FariaFaria (6-0 6-3 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy (6-7⁵ 6-3 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Adam WaltonWalton – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 7-6⁴ 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 7-6⁴ 7-6²) – See score progression
• Tristan BoyerBoyer – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (1-6 6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Dino PrizmicPrizmic (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Hugo DellienDellien (6-1 6-4 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Francesco PassaroPassaro (7-5 4-6 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 7-5 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-1 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Lloyd HarrisHarris – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (6-4 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Juncheng ShangShang (7-6⁰ 1-6 6-3 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Raphael CollignonCollignon – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (6-4 7-5 6-7⁷ 6-2) – See score progression
• Martin DammDamm – Darwin BlanchBlanch (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (7-6⁴ 4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-5 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Learner TienTien (6-1 7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 3-6 7-6⁷ 6-2) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Ignacio BuseBuse (6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Stefan DostanicDostanic (7-5 6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-2 6-7⁵ 2-6 6-2 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-3 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-0 7-5 4-6 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Emilio NavaNava (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6⁵ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Luca NardiNardi (6-3 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-2 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-3 7-5 6-7⁵ 0-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (7-6⁷ 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jerome KymKym – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-3 6-2 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (7-6² 7-5 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Borna CoricCoric (3-6 6-4 7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Zsombor PirosPiros (6-4 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-5 6-4 6-0) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (4-6) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Marin CilicCilic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – David GoffinGoffin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marcos GironGiron (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Billy HarrisHarris – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lloyd HarrisHarris – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Jack DraperDraper (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo GastonGaston – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adam WaltonWalton – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tristan BoyerBoyer – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-0) – H2H and prediction