Holger Rune and Jan-Lennard Struff will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on Stadium 17. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.31
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 3.45

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Jan-Lennard Struff

This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Jan-Lennard Struff square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Struff (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Struff won 6-2 6-0 in the semifinal in Munich back in 2024.

Highlights Jan-Lennard Struff vs Holger Rune – Munich 20-April-2024

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

28 - 16win/loss

Hard
15-7
I Hard
2-2
Clay
9-5
Grass
2-2
Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 11, Holger got to the 2nd round after defeating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(2).

In the 1st round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Van De Zandschulp (6-3 7-64 7-62). During the match, Rune scored 125 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 106. Rune was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rune scored 9 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 54% of his first serves in, winning 69% (45/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (33/56) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Van De Zandschulp 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Rune has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (279-146). 15-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has a composed66-49 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Barcelona where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Rune has an aggregate 28-16 win-loss record in 2025, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Rune's Record

Jan-Lennard Struff

Jan-Lennard Struff

15 - 22win/loss

Hard
5-9
I Hard
2-2
Clay
5-8
Grass
3-3
Rank
84
High
21
LLWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-30 7-11 5-8 12-8 3-3 0-0
2024 30-21 4-8 15-5 5-6 6-2 0-0
2023 45-24 21-9 14-7 5-6 5-2 0-0
2022 23-22 3-10 7-4 12-4 1-4 0-0
2021 26-30 8-11 11-8 6-8 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 144, the German reached the 2nd round after beating Clement Chidekh 6-4 6-1, Taro Daniel 2-6 6-4 6-1, Arthur Cazaux 7-6(4) 6-3 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 6-3.

In the 1st round against Mcdonald, Jan-Lennard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-64 6-3 6-3). During the match Struff scored 140 points vs Mcdonald’s 122. Struff was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.

About the serving games, Struff blasted 18 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 14 double faults. Jan-Lennard Struff lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Struff put 49% of his first serves in, winning 89% (57/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (27/66) on the 2nd serve. Jan-Lennard broke Mcdonald 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

The German has a compiled 15-22 win-loss record in 2025, 5-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2020. See his history.

U.S. Open
Struff's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

H.Rune
J.Struff
3h:00
3h:00
Time on court​
!
7h:42
7h:42
!
3h:00
3h:00
Last match​
!
2h:52
2h:52
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
35
35
Games Played​
104
104
3
3
Set played​​
11
11
125
125
Total points​
377
377
125
125
Avg point​
94.3
94.3
45
45
Winners
142
142
45
45
Avg Winners​
35.5
35.5
36%
36%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
34
34
9
9
Avg Aces
8.5
8.5
7
7
Double Faults
24
24
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
45/65
45/65
1st won total​
142/181
142/181
69%
69%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
33/56
33/56
2nd won total​
77/169
77/169
59%
59%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
18/42
18/42
4/9
4/9
Avg BP won
4.5/10.5
4.5/10.5
44%
44%
Won
43%
43%
5
5
Conceded
25
25
5
5
Avg Conceded
6.3
6.3
3
3
Broken
11
11
3
3
Avg Broken
2.8
2.8
2
2
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rune Struff
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 3 11
Tot Games 35 104
Pts 125-106 377-325
Total Points 231 702
Winners 45 142
%Winners 36% 38%

Rune played 1 match while Struff competed in 4 matches. Struff started his run from the qualifications while Rune had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jan-Lennard Struff surrendered 2 sets while Holger Rune hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Rune has played 8 set(s) less than Struff (3 vs 11). Therefore, Rune played 69 games less than Struff. The Dane scored 45 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Struff struck 142 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rune Struff
Aces 9 34
Avg per match 9 8.5
1st in 65/121 181/350
%1st in 54% 52%
1st pts 45/65 142/181
%1st pts 69% 78%
2nd pts 33/56 77/169
%2nd pts 59% 46%

Rune fired 9 aces . Struff bagged 34 aces (8.5 per match). Rune won 69% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rune Struff
Won 4 18
Converted 4/9 18/42
% Converted 44% 43%
Conceded 5 25
Saved 2 14
% Saved 40% 56%
Times Broken 3 11

Rune broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Rune dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Jan-Lennard broke his opponents 18 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jan-Lennard conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
R1
Van De Zandschulp
Total
Score 6-3 7-64 7-62
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 35 35
pts 125-106 125-106
Total points 231 231
Winners 45 45
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 65/121 65/121
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 45/65 45/65
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 33/56 33/56
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 2/5 2
Saved % 40% 40%
Times Broken 3 3
Struff
Q1
Chidekh
Q2
Daniel
Q3
Cazaux
R1
Mcdonald
Total
Score 6-4 6-1 2-6 6-4 6-1 7-64 6-3 3-6 7-64 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 2 4 11
Tot Games 17 25 22 40 104
pts 65-46 92-82 80-75 140-122 377-325
Total points 111 174 155 262 702
Winners 22 33 30 57 142
%Winners 34% 36% 38% 41% 38%
SERVE
Aces 4 7 5 18 34
Double Faults 3 4 3 14 24
1st in 32/52 49/91 36/77 64/130 181/350
% 1st in 62% 54% 47% 49% 52%
1st pts 22/32 33/49 30/36 57/64 142/181
% 1st pts 69% 67% 83% 89% 78%
2nd pts 10/20 22/42 18/41 27/66 77/169
% 2nd pts 50% 52% 44% 41% 46%
Breaks
Won 6 4 3 5 18
Converted 6/15 4/9 3/10 5/8 18/42
Converted % 40% 44% 30% 63% 43%
Conceded 6 7 5 7 25
Saved 3/6 4/7 3/5 4/7 14
Saved % 50% 57% 60% 57% 224%
Times Broken 3 3 2 3 11

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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