Tomas Machac and Joao Fonseca will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Grandstand. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.87
Tomas Machac -> 1.93

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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Joao Fonseca

There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Joao Fonseca since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

20 - 14win/loss

Hard
12-6
I Hard
3-1
Clay
2-5
Grass
3-2
Rank
32
High
20
LLLWLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-19 15-9 2-5 3-3 3-2 0-0
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2

Ranked no. 22, Machac got to the 2nd round after defeating Luca Nardi 6-3 6-1 6-1.

In the 1st round, Tomas had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-3 6-1 6-1). During the match, Machac scored 81 points vs Nardi’s 49. The Czech was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Machac struck 10 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Tomas Machac was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (31/40) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Czech broke Nardi 7 times after converting 50% of his break points (7/14).

Machac has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 66% of his matches (277-145). 12-6 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Machac has an aggregate84-39 record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Acapulco where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Machac has a compiled 20-14 win-loss record in 2025, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Machac's Record

Joao Fonseca

Joao Fonseca

31 - 14win/loss

Hard
20-5
I Hard
0-1
Clay
8-5
Grass
3-3
Rank
24
High
24
LWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-17 22-6 8-5 6-3 3-3 0-0
2024 37-23 8-3 14-11 13-5 2-4 0-0
2023 11-6 1-1 10-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 5-4 0-0 5-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 45, Joao reached the 2nd round after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-3.

In the 1st round, Fonseca had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (7-63 7-65 6-3). During the match Fonseca scored 119 points vs Kecmanovic’s 105. Joao was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about serving, Fonseca fired 14 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Joao Fonseca was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (47/63) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Joao broke Kecmanovic 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Canberra Challenger where he overcame Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he overcame Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0).

The Brazilian has a compiled 31-14 win-loss record in 2025, 20-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Fonseca's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

T.Machac
J.Fonseca
1h:20
1h:20
Time on court​
!
2h:26
2h:26
1h:20
1h:20
Last match​
!
2h:26
2h:26
1
1
Match played
1
1
23
23
Games Played​
35
35
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
81
81
Total points​
119
119
81
81
Avg point​
119
119
31
31
Winners
47
47
31
31
Avg Winners​
47
47
38%
38%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
14
14
10
10
Avg Aces
!
14
14
0
0
Double Faults
0
0
0
0
Avg Double Faults
0
0
31/40
31/40
1st won total​
47/63
47/63
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
14/18
14/18
2nd won total​
24/38
24/38
!
78%
78%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
7/14
7/14
BP won
4/9
4/9
7/14
7/14
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
50%
50%
Won
44%
44%
2
2
Conceded
3
3
2
2
Avg Conceded
3
3
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
2
2
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Machac Fonseca
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 23 35
Pts 81-49 119-105
Total Points 130 224
Winners 31 47
%Winners 38% 39%

Both Machac and Fonseca played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Machac and Fonseca have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Machac played 12 games less than Fonseca. Machac scored 31 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian bagged 47 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Machac Fonseca
Aces 10 14
Avg per match 10 14
1st in 40/58 63/101
%1st in 69% 62%
1st pts 31/40 47/63
%1st pts 78% 75%
2nd pts 14/18 24/38
%2nd pts 78% 63%

Machac recorded 10 aces . Fonseca managed to score 14 aces . Machac won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Machac Fonseca
Won 7 4
Converted 7/14 4/9
% Converted 50% 44%
Conceded 2 3
Saved 2 1
% Saved 100% 33%
Times Broken 0 2

The Czech broke his opponent 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Czech very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Brazilian broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Fonseca conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Machac
R1
Nardi
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 23 23
pts 81-49 81-49
Total points 130 130
Winners 31 31
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 40/58 40/58
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 31/40 31/40
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 14/18 14/18
% 2nd pts 78% 78%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/14 7/14
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Fonseca
R1
Kecmanovic
Total
Score 7-63 7-65 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 35 35
pts 119-105 119-105
Total points 224 224
Winners 47 47
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 14 14
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 63/101 63/101
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 47/63 47/63
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 24/38 24/38
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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