Carlos Alcaraz and Mattia Bellucci will face off in the 2^nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.029
Mattia Bellucci -> 12.25

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Mattia Bellucci

This will be the 2^nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Mattia Bellucci face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 6-2 6-1 in the 1^st round in M15 Manacor back in 2020.

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the 2^nd round after defeating Reilly Opelka 6-4 7-5 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Opelka (6-4 7-5 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 107 points vs Opelka’s 82. Alcaraz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz made 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was pretty efficient on serve to win 86% (50/58) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Opelka 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 81% of his matches (342-82). 17-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a composed114-29 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2 and in Cincinnati where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

Carlos has an overall 55-6 win-loss record in 2025, 17-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Mattia Bellucci

Ranked no. 65, Bellucci got to the 2^nd round after beating Juncheng Shang 7-6(0) 1-6 6-3 3-0 ret..

In the 1^st round against Shang, Mattia had a free pass after Shang retired on a 7-6⁰ 1-6 6-3 3-0 . scoreline.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Sumter Challenger where he defeated Alexander Shevchenko in the final 7-6(5) 3-1 ret..

Bellucci has an aggregate 22-25 win-loss record in 2025, 8-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Bellucci
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	32	32
Pts	107-82	122-107
Total Points	189	229
Winners	50	43
%Winners	47%	35%

Both Alcaraz and Bellucci played 1 match. At the moment, Mattia Bellucci dropped 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t lost a set so far. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Bellucci (3 vs 5). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (32). Carlos scored 50 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Bellucci managed to score 43 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Bellucci
Aces	4	12
Avg per match	4	12
1st in	58/84	64/106
%1st in	69%	60%
1st pts	50/58	43/64
%1st pts	86%	67%
2nd pts	17/26	22/42
%2nd pts	65%	52%

Alcaraz managed to score 4 aces . Bellucci scored 12 aces . Alcaraz won 86% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Bellucci won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Bellucci
Won	3	5
Converted	3/11	5/11
% Converted	27%	45%
Conceded	3	16
Saved	3	12
% Saved	100%	75%
Times Broken	0	4

The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Carlos quite strong on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Mattia broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R1 Opelka	Total
Score	6-4 7-5 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	107-82	107-82
Total points	189	189
Winners	50	50
%Winners	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	6	6
1st in	58/84	58/84
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	50/58	50/58
% 1st pts	86%	86%
2nd pts	17/26	17/26
% 2nd pts	65%	65%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/11	3/11
Converted %	27%	27%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	3/3	3
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Bellucci
	R1 Shang	Total
Score	7-60 1-6 6-3 3-0 ret.
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	32	32
pts	122-107	122-107
Total points	229	229
Winners	43	43
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	64/106	64/106
% 1st in	60%	60%
1st pts	43/64	43/64
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	22/42	22/42
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/11	5/11
Converted %	45%	45%
Conceded	16	16
Saved	12/16	12
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	4	4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-4 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Hugo DellienDellien (6-1 6-4 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy (6-7⁵ 6-3 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-5 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-6³ 7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Lloyd HarrisHarris – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (6-4 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Juncheng ShangShang (7-6⁰ 1-6 6-3 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Raphael CollignonCollignon – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 7-6⁴ 7-6²) – See score progression
• Tristan BoyerBoyer – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (1-6 6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Dino PrizmicPrizmic (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (7-6⁴ 4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 7-5 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Adam WaltonWalton – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 7-6⁴ 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (3-6 7-6⁴ 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-3 7-6⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Jaime FariaFaria (6-0 6-3 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (6-4 7-5 6-7⁷ 6-2) – See score progression
• Martin DammDamm – Darwin BlanchBlanch (6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Francesco PassaroPassaro (7-5 4-6 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-1 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Luca NardiNardi (6-3 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-2 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-3 7-5 6-7⁵ 0-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (7-6⁷ 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-2 6-7⁵ 2-6 6-2 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-0 7-5 4-6 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Emilio NavaNava (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jerome KymKym – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-3 6-2 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (7-6² 7-5 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 3-6 7-6⁷ 6-2) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Ignacio BuseBuse (6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Stefan DostanicDostanic (7-5 6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Borna CoricCoric (3-6 6-4 7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Zsombor PirosPiros (6-4 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-3 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-5 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Learner TienTien (6-1 7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6⁵ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (4-6) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Marin CilicCilic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – David GoffinGoffin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Marcos GironGiron (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Billy HarrisHarris – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lloyd HarrisHarris – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Jack DraperDraper (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo GastonGaston – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adam WaltonWalton – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tristan BoyerBoyer – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-0) – H2H and prediction