Michael Geerts and Naoya Honda will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Manacor Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 10:00 am on PISTA 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Michael Geerts who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Michael Geerts is the pick to win this match.
Michael Geerts -> 1.33
Naoya Honda -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Michael Geerts vs. Naoya Honda
There is no head to head record between Michael Geerts and Naoya Honda since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Michael Geerts
26 - 25win/loss
294
212
WWWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-34 | 27-15 | 10-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-37 | 18-11 | 10-12 | 17-13 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| 2023 | 32-39 | 13-10 | 13-19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 42-37 | 5-8 | 24-14 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 13-7 | 14-14 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 311, Michael got to the qualifications after defeating Hongjin Qi 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Geerts had a good straight sets win against Qi (6-2 6-1). During the match, Geerts scored 65 points vs Qi’s 41. Michael was extremely aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Talking about the service games, Geerts scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Michael Geerts was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (15/21) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Geerts broke Qi 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Geerts has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (309-244). 15-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Geerts has a compiled 122-78 record in the last years on hard.
The Belgian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Loule and the Abidjan 2 Challenger.
Michael has an aggregate 26-25 win-loss record in 2025, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Manacor Challenger
Naoya Honda
17 - 21win/loss
773
733
LWLWLLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-28 | 19-20 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 823, the Japanese reached the qualifications after beating Laurent Lokoli 2-6 4-5 ret..
In the qualifications against Lokoli, the Japanese had a free pass after Lokoli retired on a 2-6 4-5 . scoreline.
The Japanese’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Manacor.
Naoya has a compiled 17-21 win-loss record in 2025, 11-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Manacor Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Geerts | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 |
| Pts | 65-41 | 58-68 |
| Total Points | 106 | 126 |
| Winners | 15 | 21 |
| %Winners | 23% | 36% |
Both Geerts and Honda played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Naoya Honda dropped 2 sets while Michael Geerts hasn’t dropped a set so far. Geerts has played 1 set(s) less than Honda (2 vs 3). Therefore, Geerts played 2 games less than Honda. Michael scored 15 winners (23% of the total points). On the other side, Naoya fired 21 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Geerts | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
| 1st in | 21/41 | 40/60 |
| %1st in | 51% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 21/40 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 53% |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 10/20 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 50% |
Geerts blasted 3 aces . Honda didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Geerts won 71% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Honda won 53% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Geerts | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 2 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 46% | 40% |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Geerts broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Michael dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Naoya broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Geerts | |||
| Q1 Qi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 65-41 | 65-41 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 15 | 15 | |
| %Winners | 23% | 23% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 21/41 | 21/41 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 13/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Honda | |||
| Q1 Lokoli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 4-5 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 58-68 | 58-68 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 40/60 | 40/60 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 21/40 | 21/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 53% | 53% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 10/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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