Madison Keys is about to begin her campaign in the draw at the U.S. Open. Last year at the U.S. Open, the American lost in the 3rd round to Elise Mertens 6-75 7-5 6-4. In the previous edition of this tournament, she ousted Katerina Siniakova 6-4 6-1 and Maya Joint 6-4 6-0. Madison will try to conquer the title after she was the runner-up once in 2017.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw together withherprojected opponents at the U.S. Open. Keys has a unfavourable record (12-13) with the plausible opposition.

R1 – Renata Zarazua (82) – H2H 1-0
R2 – Diane Parry (107) – H2H 0-0
or Petra Kvitova (543) – H2H 4-5
R3 – Marta Kostyuk (28) – H2H 2-0
or Katie Boulter (48) – H2H 1-0
R4 – Karolina Muchova (13) – H2H 2-0
or Linda Noskova (32) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 3-3
or Daria Kasatkina (18) – H2H 10-2
1/2 – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 2-5
or Amanda Anisimova (9) – H2H 0-0
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-5
or Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 2-1
Latest Updated
Draw

R1 – Renata Zarazua’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Madison Keys

40 - 30win/loss in 2025

Rank
70
High
51
LWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-30 29-18 9-9 0-1 2-2 0-0
2024 50-30 25-15 18-11 4-1 3-3 0-0
2023 63-31 21-12 37-16 5-3 0-0 0-0
2022 14-24 5-14 9-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 21-21 14-12 3-6 1-1 3-2 0-0
2020 31-12 11-5 18-6 2-1 0-0 0-0
2019 37-25 6-7 31-18 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 25-28 6-8 18-17 0-0 1-3 0-0

Renata Zarazua has a 20-25 win-loss record in 2025, 9-13 on hard. Talking about the last 10 years, Zarazua has a 129-115 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Mexican won 4 of her last 10 matches.

Renata’s most significant achievement of this current year was reaching the final the W100 Madrid.

Last year at the U.S. Open Zarazua was overcome by Caroline Wozniacki in the 2nd round 6-3 6-3

.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Renata Zarazua

This contest would be 2nd time that Madison Keys and Renata Zarazua square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

R2 – Diane Parry’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

20 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
127
High
48
LWLLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-23 6-10 7-10 0-0 7-3 0-0
2024 34-26 20-14 10-9 0-0 4-3 0-0
2023 43-36 6-15 35-18 1-1 1-2 0-0
2022 24-28 11-12 7-9 1-5 5-2 0-0
2021 51-23 0-0 50-20 1-3 0-0 0-0
2020 17-17 7-6 9-9 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 17-12 1-2 16-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 11-7 0-0 11-7 0-0 0-0 0-0

Diane Parry has a 16-17 win-loss record in 2025, 2-4 on hard. As for the previous 4 years, Diane has a 39-45 record on hard. The French player won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Last year at the U.S. Open Parry lost to Yafan Wang in the 2nd round 6-0 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Diane Parry

There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Diane Parry since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Possibly, Madison Keys could fight against Petra Kvitova. Their head to head record is 5-4 for Petra Kvitova.

R3 – Marta Kostyuk’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Madison Keys

28 - 20win/loss in 2025

Rank
26
High
16
LLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-20 19-13 7-4 2-0 0-3 0-0
2024 34-22 24-14 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2020 27-12 16-6 7-3 4-3 0-0 0-0
2019 35-16 5-4 24-8 4-2 2-2 0-0
2018 28-15 20-7 5-5 0-0 3-3 0-0

Marta Kostyuk has a 21-17 record in 2025, 14-10 on hard. In connection to the previous 10 years, Marta has a 129-78 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Ukrainian won 4 of her last 10 matches.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Ukrainian lost to Emma Navarro in the 3rd round 6-4 4-6 6-3.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Marta Kostyuk

This would be the 3rd time that Madison Keys and Marta Kostyuk face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Madison Keys may face Katie Boulter. Their H2H is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

R4 – Karolina Muchova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Madison Keys

26 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
19
High
8
LWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-17 23-13 0-1 2-1 1-2 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 7-8 6-6 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 38-14 25-9 6-2 3-1 4-2 0-0
2018 29-11 5-2 7-4 10-1 3-3 4-1

Karolina Muchova has a 16-12 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard. In connection to the previous 10 years, Muchova has a 125-53 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Karolina won 4 of her last 10 matches.

Muchova’s most significant achievement of this year was getting to the semifinal Australia, Linz and Dubai.

Last year at the U.S. Open Muchova was defeated by Jessica Pegula in the semifinal 1-6 6-4 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Karolina Muchova

This match would represent the 3rd time that Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Madison Keys may square off with Linda Noskova. Their H2H is 0-0.

1/4 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 3-3

48 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 35-12 win-loss record in 2025, 17-7 on hard. During the last 9 years, Gauff has a 147-65 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Gauff won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current year was winning the competition in Australia where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4, and at the French Open where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open the American was defeated by Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 4-6 6-3.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Cori Gauff

This would be the 7th time that Madison Keys and Cori Gauff fight against each other. The head to head is 3-3 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 for Gauff on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Madison Keys may come up against Daria Kasatkina. Their head to head record is 10-2 for Madison Keys.

1/2 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 49-12 record in 2025, 28-7 on hard. As for the last 10 years, Iga has a 190-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Pole will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 5 matches winning streak.

Her best achievement of the year was winning the competition at the Wimbledon where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she defeated Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Pole surrendered to Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 8th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 5-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but Keys leads 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Madison Keys may compete against Amanda Anisimova. Their head to head is 0-0.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 51-10 record in 2025, 27-5 on hard. As for the previous 10 years, Sabalenka has a 254-97 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Last year at the U.S. Open Aryna won the competition after ousting Jessica Pegula 7-5 7-5.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 8th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka fight against each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Madison Keys may square off with Jessica Pegula. Their H2H is 2-1 for Madison Keys.