Shintaro Mochizuki and Hugo Gaston will square off in the 1^st round of the U.S. Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on Court 10. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.68
Hugo Gaston -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Hugo Gaston

This will be the 3^rd time that Shintaro Mochizuki and Hugo Gaston clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Mochizuki and Gaston (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Gaston won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the qualifications in at the Wimbledon back in 2024.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Ranked no. 112 (career-high), Mochizuki got to the 1^st round after defeating Jurij Rodionov 6-2 4-6 6-2, Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-4 1-6 6-4 and Daniel Elahi Galan 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Elahi Galan Riveros (6-4 6-4). During the match, Mochizuki scored 74 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 63. Mochizuki was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mochizuki bagged 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 45% of his first serves in, winning 82% (27/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. Shintaro broke Elahi Galan Riveros 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Mochizuki has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (211-174). 23-12 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mochizuki has an aggregate119-97 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he beat Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.

The Japanese has an aggregate 36-21 win-loss record in 2025, 23-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Hugo Gaston

Ranked no. 125, Gaston will start his run at the New York after he played his last match in Winston Salem where he lost 6-3 6-3 to Fucsovics in the 1^st round on the 18^th of August.

Hugo has a compiled 15-26 win-loss record in 2025, 9-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

In terms of his career, Hugo has an overall 256-209 record. He has a negative 48-49 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jakub MensikMensik – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6⁵ 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ben SheltonShelton – Ignacio Buse
  Buse (6-3 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• James DuckworthDuckworth – Tristan BoyerBoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo DellienDellien – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Benjamin BonziBonzi (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Marin CilicCilic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – David GoffinGoffin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Casper RuudRuud (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Billy HarrisHarris – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-6) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo GastonGaston – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emilio NavaNava – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Borna CoricCoric (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – Marcos GironGiron (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefan DostanicDostanic – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (0-0) – H2H and prediction