Ekaterina Alexandrova and Diana Shnaider will clash against each other in the final of the Abierto GNP Seguros for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:30 pm on ESTADIO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.571
Diana Shnaider -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Diana Shnaider

This will be the 2nd time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Diana Shnaider play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Alexandrova won 6-2 6-1 in the 3rd round in Charleston back in April 2025.

Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider – Charleston 03-April-2025

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

35 - 18win/loss

Hard
10-10
I Hard
4-0
Clay
13-5
Grass
8-3
Rank
10
High
10
LLWLWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-25 22-16 13-5 4-1 8-3 0-0
2024 26-25 17-13 1-7 3-2 5-3 0-0
2023 33-21 17-13 6-5 0-1 10-2 0-0
2022 35-18 12-10 13-5 4-2 6-1 0-0
2021 26-23 10-9 6-5 7-7 3-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Ekaterina got to the final after defeating Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4 6-3, Linda Noskova 7-6(5) 4-6 6-2 and Marie Bouzkova 6-3 ret..

In the semifinal against Bouzkova, Alexandrova had a free pass after Bouzkova retired on a 6-3 . scoreline.

Alexandrova has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (328-213). 10-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alexandrova has a composed 117-95 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

The Russian has an aggregate 35-17 win-loss record in 2025, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monterrey

Monterrey
Alexandrova's Record

Diana Shnaider

Diana Shnaider

23 - 19win/loss

Hard
11-10
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-5
Grass
4-4
Rank
21
High
11
LWLWWWLLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-25 16-16 8-5 0-0 4-4 0-0
2024 55-23 31-15 15-5 0-0 9-3 0-0
2023 25-22 14-13 10-8 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 58-17 11-4 46-11 1-2 0-0 0-0
2021 9-3 0-0 8-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 22, Shnaider reached the final after beating Kamilla Rakhimova 7-6(3) 6-1, Elise Mertens 3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(4) and Alycia Parks 6-3 7-6(8).

In the semifinal, Shnaider had a good straight sets win against Parks (6-3 7-68). During the match Shnaider scored 82 points vs Parks’s 74. Diana was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Shnaider scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Diana Shnaider was very efficient on serve to win 74% (40/54) of her 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shnaider broke Parks twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Diana has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Diana’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Monterrey.

The Russian has an aggregate 22-19 win-loss record in 2025, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monterrey

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.

Monterrey
Shnaider's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Alexandrova
D.Shnaider
4h:38
4h:38
Time on court​
6h:33
6h:33
!
0h:52
0h:52
Last match​
1h:46
1h:46
3
3
Match played
3
3
59
59
Games Played​
77
77
7
7
Set played​​
7
7
199
199
Total points​
278
278
66.3
66.3
Avg point​
92.7
92.7
89
89
Winners
119
119
29.7
29.7
Avg Winners​
39.7
39.7
45%
45%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
6
6
2.3
2.3
Avg Aces
2
2
9
9
Double Faults
7
7
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
89/136
89/136
1st won total​
119/173
119/173
65%
65%
1st won %
69%
69%
36/65
36/65
2nd won total​
48/89
48/89
55%
55%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
11/15
11/15
BP won
8/26
8/26
3.7/5
3.7/5
Avg BP won
2.7/8.7
2.7/8.7
!
73%
73%
Won
31%
31%
21
21
Conceded
20
20
7
7
Avg Conceded
6.7
6.7
7
7
Broken
6
6
2.3
2.3
Avg Broken
2
2
14
14
Saved
14
14
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alexandrova Shnaider
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 7
Tot Games 59 77
Pts 199-170 278-260
Total Points 369 538
Winners 89 119
%Winners 45% 43%

Both Alexandrova and Shnaider played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded 1 set, while Diana Shnaider lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alexandrova and Shnaider have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Alexandrova played 18 games less than Shnaider. Ekaterina scored 89 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Diana struck 119 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alexandrova Shnaider
Aces 7 6
Avg per match 2.3 2
1st in 136/201 173/262
%1st in 68% 66%
1st pts 89/136 119/173
%1st pts 65% 69%
2nd pts 36/65 48/89
%2nd pts 55% 54%

Alexandrova made 7 aces (2.3 per match). Shnaider struck 6 aces (2 per match). Alexandrova won 65% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Shnaider won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alexandrova Shnaider
Won 11 8
Converted 11/15 8/26
% Converted 73% 31%
Conceded 21 20
Saved 14 14
% Saved 67% 70%
Times Broken 7 6

The Russian broke her opponents 11 times with a 73% conversion rate. Alexandrova lost her serve 7 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Shnaider broke her opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Alexandrova
R2
Tomljanovic		 1/4
Noskova		 1/2
Bouzkova		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3 7-65 4-6 6-2 6-3 ret.
Tot Set 2 3 1 6
Tot Games 19 31 9 59
pts 77-62 93-87 29-21 199-170
Total points 139 180 50 369
Winners 29 46 14 89
%Winners 38% 49% 48% 45%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 0 7
Double Faults 5 2 2 9
1st in 46/79 70/94 20/28 136/201
% 1st in 58% 74% 71% 68%
1st pts 29/46 46/70 14/20 89/136
% 1st pts 63% 66% 70% 65%
2nd pts 20/33 13/24 3/8 36/65
% 2nd pts 61% 54% 38% 55%
Breaks
Won 4 5 2 11
Converted 4/7 5/6 2/2 11/15
Converted % 57% 83% 100% 73%
Conceded 13 7 1 21
Saved 11/13 3/7 0/1 14
Saved % 85% 43% 0% 43%
Times Broken 2 4 1 7
Shnaider
R2
Rakhimova		 1/4
Mertens		 1/2
Parks		 Total
Score 7-63 6-1 3-6 7-66 7-64 6-3 7-68
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 20 35 22 77
pts 79-65 117-121 82-74 278-260
Total points 144 238 156 538
Winners 26 53 40 119
%Winners 33% 45% 49% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 1 6
Double Faults 0 4 3 7
1st in 39/61 80/123 54/78 173/262
% 1st in 64% 65% 69% 66%
1st pts 26/39 53/80 40/54 119/173
% 1st pts 67% 66% 74% 69%
2nd pts 15/22 19/43 14/24 48/89
% 2nd pts 68% 44% 58% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 3 2 8
Converted 3/11 3/10 2/5 8/26
Converted % 27% 30% 40% 31%
Conceded 2 12 6 20
Saved 1/2 7/12 6/6 14
Saved % 50% 58% 100% 69%
Times Broken 1 5 0 6

Tennis Scores in Monterrey

Upcoming matches in the draw

    Alexandrova
    More Stats
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    Shnaider

    Click for FULL STATS