Tommy Paul and Elmer Moller will play each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 9:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.021
Elmer Moller -> 13.5

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Elmer Moller

This will be the 2nd time that Tommy Paul and Elmer Moller square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Paul won 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 6-1 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in May 2025.

Highlights Tommy Paul vs Elmer Moller – French Open 25-May-2025

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

27 - 12win/loss

Hard
11-5
I Hard
3-1
Clay
12-4
Grass
1-2
Rank
20
High
8
LWWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-13 13-6 12-4 3-1 1-2 0-0
2024 45-20 17-12 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 14, the American will start his run at the U.S. Open after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 5-7 6-3 6-4 to Mannarino in the 3rd round on the 11th of August.

Tommy has a compiled 27-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Paul’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide, Dallas, Houston and Rome.

Talking about his overall career, Paul has an overall 422-237 record. He has a positive 203-118 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Paul's Record

Elmer Moller

Elmer Moller

24 - 20win/loss

Hard
0-5
I Hard
3-2
Clay
21-12
Grass
0-1
Rank
152
High
102
WLLWWLLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-25 0-6 25-16 3-2 0-1 0-0
2024 62-26 5-3 52-21 5-2 0-0 0-0
2023 48-21 14-11 31-8 3-2 0-0 0-0
2022 26-15 10-5 12-7 4-3 0-0 0-0
2021 13-9 8-4 2-4 3-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 110, the Dane will start his run at the New York after he played his last match in the Bonn Challenger where he lost 6-2 2-6 6-2 to Milev in the 2nd round on the 6th of August.

Elmer has a composed 24-20 win-loss record in 2025, 0-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Oeiras 4 Challenger where he defeated Francisco Comesana in the final 6-0 6-4 and the Iasi Challenger where he overcame Titouan Droguet in the final 3-6 6-1 7-6(2).

In terms of his career, Moller has an overall 176-92 record. He has a positive 37-28 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Elmer has never competed in this tournament before.

U.S. Open
Moller's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw