Sebastian Baez and Lloyd Harris will square off in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on Court 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lloyd Harris who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lloyd Harris is the pick to win this match.
Lloyd Harris -> 1.68
Sebastian Baez -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Lloyd Harris

There is no head to head record between Sebastian Baez and Lloyd Harris since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Sebastian Baez

Sebastian Baez

19 - 20win/loss

Hard
2-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-13
Grass
0-1
Rank
45
High
18
LLLLLWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-27 3-9 17-14 0-3 0-1 0-0
2024 31-28 5-9 26-11 0-5 0-3 0-0
2023 33-27 9-7 22-13 1-5 1-2 0-0
2022 35-32 6-12 27-12 0-6 2-2 0-0
2021 56-16 2-1 52-12 2-2 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 40, Sebastian will start his run at the U.S. Open after he played his last match in Winston Salem where he lost 0-6 6-1 6-4 to Van De Zandschulp in the 3rd round on the 20th of August.

Baez has an overall 19-20 win-loss record in 2025, 2-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Alexandre Muller in the final 6-2 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, Sebastian has an overall 270-169 record. He has a negative 35-39 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.

U.S. Open
Baez's Record

Lloyd Harris

Lloyd Harris

13 - 14win/loss

Hard
5-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-4
Grass
5-4
Rank
224
High
31
LWWLLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-19 13-11 3-4 0-0 5-4 0-0
2024 30-14 16-3 2-3 0-5 12-3 0-0
2023 28-23 21-16 2-2 0-1 5-4 0-0
2022 7-14 4-6 2-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2021 32-22 23-11 2-4 3-3 4-4 0-0

Ranked no. 353, Harris reached the 1st round after beating Daniel Evans 6-4 3-6 7-5, Fajing Sun 6-2 6-2 and Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-1 7-6(2).

In the qualifications, Harris had a good straight sets win against Merida Aguilar (6-1 7-62). During the match Lloyd scored 69 points vs Merida Aguilar’s 45. The South African was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Lloyd managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Lloyd Harris was very efficient on serve to win 100% (24/24) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Harris broke Merida Aguilar 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lloyd started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

The South African has an overall 13-14 win-loss record in 2025, 5-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open
Lloyd's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw