Carlos Alcaraz and Reilly Opelka will face off in the 1^st round of the U.S. Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.086
Reilly Opelka -> 7.6

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Reilly Opelka

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Reilly Opelka since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, Alcaraz will start his run at the U.S. Open after he won the title in Cincinnati after beating 5-0 ret. Sinner in the final.

Alcaraz has an aggregate 54-6 win-loss record in 2025, 16-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2 and in Cincinnati where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret..

The Spaniard won his last 6 matches.

Talking about his overall career, Carlos has an overall 341-82 record. He has a positive 113-29 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.

Reilly Opelka

Ranked no. 66, Reilly will start his run at the New York after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 6-7(4) 6-4 7-5 to Comesana in the 3^rd round on the 12^th of August.

The American has a compiled 28-21 win-loss record in 2025, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Opelka’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Brisbane.

In terms of his career, Reilly has an overall 245-192 record. He has a positive 116-98 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2021. See his history.

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Henrique RochaRocha (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Lloyd HarrisHarris – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (6-1 7-6²) – See score progression
• Jerome KymKym – Yibing WuWu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Zsombor PirosPiros – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-1 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-7⁵ 7-6⁵ 6-2) – See score progression
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Dino PrizmicPrizmic – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-3 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Billy HarrisHarris (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Martin DammDamm – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (7-6¹⁰ 6-4) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Arthur CazauxCazaux (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Leandro RiediRiedi – Garrett JohnsJohns (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Jaime FariaFaria (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• James DuckworthDuckworth – Tristan BoyerBoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo DellienDellien – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Benjamin BonziBonzi (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Laslo DjereDjere – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Marin CilicCilic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – David GoffinGoffin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Casper RuudRuud (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Billy HarrisHarris – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-6) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo GastonGaston – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emilio NavaNava – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Borna CoricCoric (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – Marcos GironGiron (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefan DostanicDostanic – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (0-0) – H2H and prediction