Flavio Cobolli and Francesco Passaro will fight against each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:00 pm on Court 5. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Flavio Cobolli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Flavio Cobolli is the pick to win this match.
Flavio Cobolli -> 1.21
Francesco Passaro -> 4.45

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Prediction and head to head Flavio Cobolli vs. Francesco Passaro

This will be the 2nd time that Flavio Cobolli and Francesco Passaro fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Cobolli (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Cobolli won 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in the Vicenza Challenger back in 2022.

Flavio Cobolli

Flavio Cobolli

27 - 21win/loss

Hard
6-10
I Hard
0-2
Clay
15-6
Grass
6-3
Rank
22
High
17
LLWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-29 9-13 15-6 3-7 6-3 0-0
2024 43-29 26-13 10-9 4-3 3-4 0-0
2023 56-36 10-6 43-23 3-6 0-1 0-0
2022 35-34 6-4 24-21 5-8 0-1 0-0
2021 46-30 5-4 39-21 2-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 26, Cobolli will start his run at the U.S. Open after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 6-4 3-6 7-6(5) to Atmane in the 2nd round on the 9th of August.

The Italian has an overall 27-21 win-loss record in 2025, 6-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Bucharest where he beat Sebastian Baez in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hamburg where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-4.

Talking about his overall career, The Italian has an overall 217-163 record. He has a positive 57-40 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Cobolli's Record

Francesco Passaro

Francesco Passaro

28 - 16win/loss

Hard
8-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
20-11
Grass
0-1
Rank
128
High
89
WLLWWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-26 8-5 23-14 9-6 0-1 0-0
2024 39-25 4-5 35-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 28-35 8-11 18-20 2-3 0-1 0-0
2022 49-28 12-6 35-18 2-4 0-0 0-0
2021 43-27 4-5 39-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 121, Passaro got to the 1st round after defeating Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-3 1-6 6-4, Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 4-6 7-6(2) 6-4 and Henrique Rocha 7-5 6-3.

In the qualifications, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Rocha (7-5 6-3). During the match Passaro scored 73 points vs Rocha’s 59. Passaro was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Passaro blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Francesco Passaro was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (35/44) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Francesco broke Rocha twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Passaro started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Passaro’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Sassuolo Challenger.

The Italian has a composed 28-16 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022 and 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Passaro's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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