Frances Tiafoe and Yoshihito Nishioka will clash against each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.06
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 9.1

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Yoshihito Nishioka

This will be the 7th time that Frances Tiafoe and Yoshihito Nishioka face off. The head to head is 3-3 for Tiafoe and Nishioka (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Nishioka won 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Dallas back in February 2025.

Highlights Yoshihito Nishioka vs Frances Tiafoe – Dallas 06-February-2025

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

24 - 18win/loss

Hard
11-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
11-7
Grass
1-2
Rank
30
High
10
LLLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-23 13-13 11-7 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0

Ranked no. 17, Francis will start his run at the U.S. Open after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 6-4 3-1 ret. to Rune in the 4th round on the 13th of August.

Francis has a compiled 24-18 win-loss record in 2025, 11-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tiafoe’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Houston.

Talking about his overall career, Francis has an overall 398-278 record. He has a positive 190-130 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022 and 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Tiafoe's Record

Yoshihito Nishioka

Yoshihito Nishioka

10 - 16win/loss

Hard
6-9
I Hard
4-1
Clay
0-2
Grass
0-4
Rank
111
High
24
WWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 16-14 0-2 10-2 0-4 0-0
2024 29-24 17-15 6-7 1-0 5-2 0-0
2023 23-22 14-15 5-5 4-1 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 25-13 2-5 17-6 0-1 0-0
2021 19-26 5-11 8-7 5-5 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 149, Nishioka will start his run at the New York after he played his last match in Winston Salem where he lost 6-0 6-3 to Carreno-Busta in the 1st round on the 17th of August.

The Japanese has a compiled 10-16 win-loss record in 2025, 6-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

In terms of his career, The Japanese has an overall 433-288 record. He has a positive 244-158 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2015 and 2019. See his history.

U.S. Open
Nishioka's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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