Madison Keys and Renata Zarazua will clash against each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:30 am on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.048
Renata Zarazua -> 10.25

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Renata Zarazua

This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Renata Zarazua face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Keys won 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2024.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

37 - 12win/loss

Hard
24-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-4
Grass
4-3
Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 6, Keys will start her run at the U.S. Open after she played her last match in Cincinnati where she lost 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 to Rybakina in the 4th round on the 13th of August.

The American has a compiled 37-12 win-loss record in 2025, 24-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Talking about her overall career, Madison has an overall 422-233 record. She has a positive 253-142 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2017. See her history.

U.S. Open
Keys's Record

Renata Zarazua

Renata Zarazua

20 - 25win/loss

Hard
9-13
I Hard
0-1
Clay
9-9
Grass
2-2
Rank
70
High
51
LWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-30 29-18 9-9 0-1 2-2 0-0
2024 50-30 25-15 18-11 4-1 3-3 0-0
2023 63-31 21-12 37-16 5-3 0-0 0-0
2022 14-24 5-14 9-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 21-21 14-12 3-6 1-1 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 73, Renata will start her run at the New York after she played her last match in Monterrey where she lost 4-6 6-3 7-6(1) to Tomljanovic in the 1st round on the 19th of August.

Zarazua has an overall 20-25 win-loss record in 2025, 9-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Renata’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the W100 Madrid.

In terms of her career, Zarazua has an overall 337-259 record. She has a positive 129-115 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.

U.S. Open
Zarazua's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw