Aryna Sabalenka is about to start her run in the draw at the U.S. Open. Last year at the U.S. Open, the Belarussian has won this tournament after she defeated Jessica Pegula 7-5 7-5 in the final. In the previous edition of this tournament, she beat Priscilla Hon 6-3 6-3, Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-1, Ekaterina Alexandrova 2-6 6-1 6-2, Elise Mertens 6-2 6-4, Qinwen Zheng 6-1 6-2, Emma Navarro 6-3 7-6(2) and Jessica Pegula 7-5 7-5. The Belarussian won the U.S. Open once in 2024 and she was the runner-up once in 2023.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw includingherprojected opposition at the U.S. Open. Aryna has a winning record (20-14) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Rebeka Masarova (109) – H2H 1-0
R2 – Polina Kudermetova (64) – H2H 1-0
or Nuria Parrizas-Diaz (135) – H2H 0-0
R3 – Leylah Annie Fernandez (33) – H2H 0-1
or Marie Bouzkova (53) – H2H 3-1
R4 – Clara Tauson (15) – H2H 1-1
or Elise Mertens (21) – H2H 11-2
1/4 – Jasmine Paolini (8) – H2H 5-2
or Elena Rybakina (10) – H2H 7-5
1/2 – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 7-2
or Mirra Andreeva (5) – H2H 4-2
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 5-8
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 5-6
Latest Updated
Draw

R1 – Rebeka Masarova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Aryna Sabalenka

33 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
117
High
62
LLWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-24 13-10 13-5 0-5 7-4 0-0
2024 25-29 11-14 12-11 0-1 2-3 0-0
2023 38-23 16-11 10-5 9-4 3-3 0-0
2022 34-26 8-8 21-15 5-1 0-2 0-0
2021 42-13 27-7 14-5 1-1 0-0 0-0
2020 12-4 0-0 12-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 20-10 0-1 18-8 0-0 0-0 2-1
2018 18-3 0-0 18-3 0-0 0-0 0-0

Rebeka Masarova has a 32-21 win-loss record in 2025, 12-7 on hard. In connection to the last 10 years, Rebeka has a 78-50 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Masarova won 5 of her last 10 matches.

The Swiss’s best achievement of the current season was reaching the final the Vic.

Last year at the U.S. Open Masarova was defeated by Francesca Jones in the qualifications 6-1 2-6 7-6(6).

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Rebeka Masarova

This match would represent the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Rebeka Masarova square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

R2 – Polina Kudermetova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Aryna Sabalenka

19 - 26win/loss in 2025

Rank
90
High
54
LLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-26 18-18 1-5 0-1 0-2 0-0
2024 53-35 28-13 21-14 4-6 0-1 0-1
2023 33-26 5-5 13-13 10-5 3-2 2-1
2022 54-19 30-14 8-3 16-2 0-0 0-0
2021 21-13 3-2 9-7 9-4 0-0 0-0
2020 11-4 2-2 7-1 2-1 0-0 0-0
2019 6-2 5-1 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2018 2-2 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Polina Kudermetova has a 15-19 win-loss record in 2025, 14-11 on hard. In the previous 8 years, Polina has a 87-48 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Polina won 1 of her last 10 matches.

Polina’s best result of the current year was reaching the final Brisbane.

Last year at the U.S. Open Kudermetova lost to Mary Stoiana in the qualifications 7-6(3) 7-6(3).

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Polina Kudermetova

This contest would be 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Polina Kudermetova play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Aryna Sabalenka could square off with Nuria Parrizas-Diaz. Their head to head is 0-0.

R3 – Leylah Annie Fernandez’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Leylah Annie Fernandez

34 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
22
High
13
LWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-25 28-16 2-5 0-0 4-4 0-0
2024 31-25 18-15 6-6 0-1 7-3 0-0
2023 41-24 28-16 5-6 6-0 2-2 0-0
2022 21-15 12-10 6-4 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 25-17 19-10 3-5 2-0 1-2 0-0
2020 20-10 17-7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 35-17 23-10 10-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2018 9-9 4-4 4-4 1-1 0-0 0-0

Leylah Annie Fernandez has a 22-20 record in 2025, 16-11 on hard. In the previous 9 years, Leylah has a 141-87 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Canadian won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current season was winning the tournament in Washington where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-1 6-2.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Canadian lost to Anastasia Potapova in the 1st round 2-6 6-4 7-5.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez

This match would represent the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Leylah Annie Fernandez play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Annie Fernandez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Aryna Sabalenka may play Marie Bouzkova. Their head to head is 3-1 for Aryna Sabalenka.

R4 – Clara Tauson’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

36 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
12
High
12
LLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 23-13 4-5 3-1 6-3 0-0
2024 38-28 19-16 14-5 5-3 0-3 0-1
2023 38-21 6-7 13-5 12-8 2-1 5-0
2022 26-18 10-12 0-1 16-4 0-1 0-0
2021 42-15 13-4 4-5 21-4 0-2 4-0
2020 30-7 8-3 12-2 10-2 0-0 0-0
2019 42-13 26-3 16-8 0-2 0-0 0-0
2018 3-2 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Clara Tauson has a 33-17 record in 2025, 20-8 on hard. Talking about the last 9 years, the Dane has a 102-53 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). The Dane won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current year was conquering the competition in Auckland where she defeated Naomi Osaka in the final 4-6 ret..

Last year at the U.S. Open Tauson was defeated by Diana Shnaider in the 2nd round 6-4 6-4.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Clara Tauson

This match would represent the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Clara Tauson play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Sabalenka and Tauson (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Aryna Sabalenka may take on Elise Mertens. Their H2H is 11-2 for Aryna Sabalenka.

1/4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

46 - 21win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0

Jasmine Paolini has a 33-14 win-loss record in 2025, 17-8 on hard. During the previous 13 years, the Italian has a 144-105 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Paolini won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the current season was winning the tournament in Rome where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

Last year at the U.S. Open Paolini was defeated by Karolina Muchova in the 4th round 6-3 6-3.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jasmine Paolini

This match would represent the 8th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Aryna Sabalenka could play Elena Rybakina. Their head to head record is 7-5 for Aryna Sabalenka.

1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 7-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 37-16 win-loss record in 2025, 22-9 on hard. In connection to the previous 17 years, the American has a 273-135 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Pegula won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the current year was winning the competition in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, in Charleston where she overcame Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5, and in Bad Homburg where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.

Last year at the U.S. Open Jessica lost to Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 7-5.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula

This match would represent the 10th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 7-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 4-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Aryna Sabalenka may square off with Mirra Andreeva. Their H2H is 4-2 for Aryna Sabalenka.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-5 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 49-12 win-loss record in 2025, 28-7 on hard. In the course of the last 10 years, Iga has a 190-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Pole will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 5 matches winning streak.

Her most significant achievement of this current season was winning the tournament at the Wimbledon where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0, and in Cincinnati where she defeated Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4.

Last year at the U.S. Open the Pole surrendered to Jessica Pegula in the quarter 6-2 6-4.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 14th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 8-5 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Aryna Sabalenka may compete against Cori Gauff. Their head to head is 6-5 for Cori Gauff.