Pablo Carreno-Busta and Pablo Llamas Ruiz will play each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Court 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.46
Pablo Llamas Ruiz -> 2.72

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz

There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Pablo Llamas Ruiz since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

25 - 20win/loss

Hard
15-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
9-11
Rank
89
High
10
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-26 25-10 14-14 1-2 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 113, Carreno-Busta will start his run at the U.S. Open after he played his last match in Winston Salem where he lost 7-5 6-2 to Baez in the 2nd round on the 19th of August.

Pablo has an overall 25-20 win-loss record in 2025, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.

Talking about his overall career, Pablo has an overall 596-347 record. He has a positive 188-104 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017 and 2020. See his history.

U.S. Open
Carreno-Busta's Record

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

19 - 16win/loss

Hard
5-4
I Hard
1-2
Clay
13-9
Grass
0-1
Rank
210
High
131
LWLWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-21 5-5 23-13 1-2 0-1 0-0
2024 16-16 2-5 10-8 4-3 0-0 0-0
2023 46-21 12-6 33-12 0-2 1-1 0-0
2022 37-23 2-4 35-19 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 22-16 2-2 20-14 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 355, the Spaniard reached the 1st round after defeating Yannick Hanfmann 1-6 6-3 6-4, Andres Martin 6-4 6-4 and Marco Trungelliti 3-6 6-1 6-2.

In the qualifications against Trungelliti, Llamas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Llamas scored 82 points vs Trungelliti’s 61. Pablo was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Llamas bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pablo Llamas Ruiz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 78% (18/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pablo broke Trungelliti 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pablo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Pablo has a composed 19-16 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.

U.S. Open
Llamas's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw