Tomas Machac and Luca Nardi will clash against each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Court 5. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.43
Luca Nardi -> 2.83

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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Luca Nardi

This will be the 4th time that Tomas Machac and Luca Nardi fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Machac (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Machac won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in the Captif Challenger back in 2023.

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

19 - 14win/loss

Hard
11-6
I Hard
3-1
Clay
2-5
Grass
3-2
Rank
32
High
20
LLLWLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-19 15-9 2-5 3-3 3-2 0-0
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2

Ranked no. 22, Machac will start his run at the U.S. Open after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 6-3 6-3 to Mannarino in the 2nd round on the 9th of August.

Machac has a compiled 19-14 win-loss record in 2025, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Talking about his overall career, Machac has an overall 276-145 record. He has a positive 83-39 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Machac's Record

Luca Nardi

Luca Nardi

27 - 24win/loss

Hard
13-10
I Hard
6-3
Clay
8-9
Grass
0-2
Rank
87
High
67
LWWLLLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-30 14-13 8-9 8-6 0-2 0-0
2024 32-27 14-14 8-5 9-4 1-4 0-0
2023 41-36 20-10 8-13 12-12 1-1 0-0
2022 33-20 5-2 11-10 17-8 0-0 0-0
2021 33-24 3-3 26-13 4-8 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 83, the Italian will start his run at the New York after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 6-1 6-4 to Alcaraz in the 4th round on the 13th of August.

The Italian has a compiled 27-24 win-loss record in 2025, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Luca’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Koblenz Challenger.

In terms of his career, Luca has an overall 180-144 record. He has a positive 62-41 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Nardi's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw