Aryna Sabalenka and Rebeka Masarova will face off in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.013
Rebeka Masarova -> 15.25

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Rebeka Masarova

This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Rebeka Masarova square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-2 7-6(6) in the 2nd round in Berlin back in June 2025.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebeka Masarova – Berlin 19-June-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

50 - 10win/loss

Hard
26-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-3
Grass
7-2
Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Belarussian will start her run at the U.S. Open after she played her last match in Cincinnati where she lost 6-1 6-4 to Rybakina in the quarter on the 15th of August.

Sabalenka has a compiled 50-10 win-loss record in 2025, 26-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Talking about her overall career, Sabalenka has an overall 424-178 record. She has a positive 253-97 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, she won this tournament once in 2024. See her history.

U.S. Open
Sabalenka's Record

Rebeka Masarova

Rebeka Masarova

32 - 21win/loss

Hard
12-7
I Hard
0-5
Clay
13-5
Grass
7-4
Rank
117
High
62
LLWLLWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-24 13-10 13-5 0-5 7-4 0-0
2024 25-29 11-14 12-11 0-1 2-3 0-0
2023 38-23 16-11 10-5 9-4 3-3 0-0
2022 34-26 8-8 21-15 5-1 0-2 0-0
2021 42-13 27-7 14-5 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 109, Rebeka will start her run at the New York after she played her last match in Cleveland where she lost 6-2 6-2 to Cirstea in the qualifications on the 17th of August.

Rebeka has an overall 32-21 win-loss record in 2025, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

The Swiss’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Vic.

In terms of her career, Masarova has an overall 253-153 record. She has a positive 78-50 record on hard.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2023. See her history.

U.S. Open
Masarova's Record

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw