Joel Schwaerzler and Alex Molcan will fight against each other in the final of the Sofia 2 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Molcan who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex Molcan is the pick to win this match.
Alex Molcan -> 1.5
Joel Schwaerzler -> 2.45

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Prediction and head to head Joel Schwaerzler vs. Alex Molcan

There is no head to head record between Joel Schwaerzler and Alex Molcan since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Joel Schwaerzler

Ranked no. 313, Schwaerzler reached the final after beating Duje Ajdukovic 6-1 6-4, David Jorda Sanchis 6-4 6-3, Franco Agamenone 6-3 7-5 and Marat Sharipov 6-2 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Sharipov (6-2 6-2). During the match, Schwaerzler scored 58 points vs Sharipov’s 38. Joel was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.

Regarding the service games, Schwaerzler struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Joel Schwaerzler lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Schwaerzler put 52% of his first serves in, winning 70% (16/23) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. Schwaerzler broke Sharipov 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Schwaerzler hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Schwaerzler has a winning match record in the last 3 years having won 56% of his matches (66-52). 35-20 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Schwaerzler has a compiled61-43 record in the last 3 years on clay.

Schwaerzler’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Klosters and Lucciana.

Joel has a composed 35-20 win-loss record in 2025, 35-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sofia 2 Challenger

Alex Molcan

Ranked no. 362, the Slovakian got to the final after beating S D Prajwal Dev 6-0 6-2, Filip Pieczonka 6-3 6-1, Ivan Ivanov 6-2 7-6(2), Alexander Vasilev 6-4 6-0, Franco Roncadelli 6-3 6-1 and Matej Dodig 6-3 6-0.

In the semifinal, Alex had a good straight sets win against Dodig (6-3 6-0). During the match Molcan scored 64 points vs Dodig’s 38. The Slovakian was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Molcan scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex Molcan was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (23/30) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Slovakian broke Dodig 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Molcan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 61% of the points he played.

The Slovakian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Antalya and M25 Reggio Emilia.

Alex has an aggregate 37-11 win-loss record in 2025, 37-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Schwaerzler	Molcan
Match played	4	6
Tot Set	8	12
Tot Games	73	98
Pts	253-184	398-253
Total Points	437	651
Winners	88	126
%Winners	35%	32%

Schwaerzler played 4 matches while Molcan competed in 6 matches. Molcan started his run from the qualifications while Schwaerzler had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Schwaerzler has played 4 set(s) less than Molcan (8 vs 12). Therefore, Schwaerzler played 25 games less than Molcan. Joel scored 88 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Alex bagged 126 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Schwaerzler	Molcan
Aces	15	19
Avg per match	3.8	3.2
1st in	118/221	165/302
%1st in	53%	55%
1st pts	88/118	126/165
%1st pts	75%	76%
2nd pts	61/103	85/137
%2nd pts	59%	62%

Schwaerzler made 15 aces (3.8 per match). Molcan managed to score 19 aces (3.2 per match). Schwaerzler won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Molcan won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Schwaerzler	Molcan
Won	16	28
Converted	16/27	28/65
% Converted	59%	43%
Conceded	16	16
Saved	11	11
% Saved	69%	69%
Times Broken	5	5

The Austrian broke his opponents 16 times with a 59% conversion rate. Schwaerzler surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 28 times with a 43% conversion rate. Molcan conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Schwaerzler
	R1 Ajdukovic	R2 Jorda Sanchis	1/4 Agamenone	1/2 Sharipov	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-4 6-3	6-3 7-5	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	17	19	21	16	73
pts	65-47	65-54	65-45	58-38	253-184
Total points	112	119	110	96	437
Winners	23	23	26	16	88
%Winners	35%	35%	40%	28%	35%
SERVE
Aces	7	1	3	4	15
Double Faults	3	2	5	3	13
1st in	26/52	38/68	31/57	23/44	118/221
% 1st in	50%	56%	54%	52%	53%
1st pts	23/26	23/38	26/31	16/23	88/118
% 1st pts	88%	61%	84%	70%	75%
2nd pts	15/26	18/30	16/26	12/21	61/103
% 2nd pts	58%	60%	62%	57%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	6	16
Converted	3/8	4/7	3/3	6/9	16/27
Converted %	38%	57%	100%	67%	59%
Conceded	3	8	1	4	16
Saved	3/3	6/8	0/1	2/4	11
Saved %	100%	75%	0%	50%	56%
Times Broken	0	2	1	2	5

Molcan
	Q1 D Prajwal Dev	Q3 Pieczonka	R1 Ivanov	R2 Vasilev	1/4 Roncadelli	1/2 Dodig	Total
Score	6-0 6-2	6-3 6-1	6-2 7-62	6-4 6-0	6-3 6-1	6-3 6-0
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	2	12
Tot Games	14	16	21	16	16	15	98
pts	59-30	62-39	86-70	71-49	56-27	64-38	398-253
Total points	89	101	156	120	83	102	651
Winners	17	21	28	16	21	23	126
%Winners	29%	34%	33%	23%	38%	36%	32%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	5	0	3	1	19
Double Faults	3	1	1	1	0	1	7
1st in	22/46	29/49	36/57	23/51	25/44	30/55	165/302
% 1st in	48%	59%	63%	45%	57%	55%	55%
1st pts	17/22	21/29	28/36	16/23	21/25	23/30	126/165
% 1st pts	77%	72%	78%	70%	84%	77%	76%
2nd pts	16/24	11/20	13/21	18/28	11/19	16/25	85/137
% 2nd pts	67%	55%	62%	64%	58%	64%	62%
Breaks
Won	5	6	3	5	5	4	28
Converted	5/6	6/13	3/16	5/19	5/5	4/6	28/65
Converted %	83%	46%	19%	26%	100%	67%	43%
Conceded	5	5	2	2	1	1	16
Saved	5/5	3/5	1/2	1/2	0/1	1/1	11
Saved %	100%	60%	50%	50%	0%	100%	90%
Times Broken	0	2	1	1	1	0	5

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alex MolcanMolcan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction