Ekaterina Alexandrova and Marie Bouzkova will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Abierto GNP Seguros for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:30 am on ESTADIO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.64
Marie Bouzkova -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Marie Bouzkova

This will be the 3^rd time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Marie Bouzkova square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Alexandrova won 6-7(4) 6-0 7-5 in the 3^rd round in Madrid back in 2022.

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranked no. 14 (career-high), the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4 6-3 and Linda Noskova 7-6(5) 4-6 6-2.

In the quarter, Alexandrova defeated Noskova (7-6⁵ 4-6 6-2). During the match, Alexandrova scored 93 points vs Noskova’s 87. Ekaterina was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alexandrova recorded 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 74% of her first serves in, winning 66% (46/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Alexandrova broke Noskova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexandrova has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points she played.

Alexandrova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (327-213). 9-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alexandrova has an aggregate 116-95 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Linz where she defeated Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

Ekaterina has a composed 34-17 win-loss record in 2025, 9-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monterrey

Marie Bouzkova

Ranked no. 53, Marie got to the semifinal after defeating Zeynep Sonmez 3-6 6-2 6-4, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 6-4 and Antonia Ruzic 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Ruzic (6-3 6-2). During the match Bouzkova scored 59 points vs Ruzic’s 39. Bouzkova was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.

About the serving games, Bouzkova scored 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 59% of her first serves in, winning 77% (20/26) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Ruzic 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marie has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Prague where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 2-6 6-1 6-3.

Bouzkova has an aggregate 26-15 win-loss record in 2025, 15-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monterrey

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2020. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alexandrova	Bouzkova
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	7
Tot Games	50	63
Pts	170-149	228-181
Total Points	319	409
Winners	75	88
%Winners	44%	39%

Alexandrova played 2 matches while Bouzkova competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost 1 set, while Marie Bouzkova conceded 1 set. Alexandrova has played 2 set(s) less than Bouzkova (5 vs 7). Therefore, Alexandrova played 13 games less than Bouzkova. Ekaterina scored 75 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Bouzkova blasted 88 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alexandrova	Bouzkova
Aces	7	12
Avg per match	3.5	4
1st in	116/173	119/191
%1st in	67%	62%
1st pts	75/116	88/119
%1st pts	65%	74%
2nd pts	33/57	34/72
%2nd pts	58%	47%

Alexandrova struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Bouzkova blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Alexandrova won 65% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Bouzkova won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alexandrova	Bouzkova
Won	9	14
Converted	9/13	14/24
% Converted	69%	58%
Conceded	20	19
Saved	14	13
% Saved	70%	68%
Times Broken	6	6

Alexandrova broke her opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. Bouzkova broke her opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. Bouzkova conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Alexandrova
	R2 Tomljanovic	1/4 Noskova	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	7-65 4-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	19	31	50
pts	77-62	93-87	170-149
Total points	139	180	319
Winners	29	46	75
%Winners	38%	49%	44%
SERVE
Aces	5	2	7
Double Faults	5	2	7
1st in	46/79	70/94	116/173
% 1st in	58%	74%	67%
1st pts	29/46	46/70	75/116
% 1st pts	63%	66%	65%
2nd pts	20/33	13/24	33/57
% 2nd pts	61%	54%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/7	5/6	9/13
Converted %	57%	83%	69%
Conceded	13	7	20
Saved	11/13	3/7	14
Saved %	85%	43%	64%
Times Broken	2	4	6

Bouzkova
	R1 Sonmez	R2 Haddad Maia	1/4 Ruzic	Total
Score	3-6 6-2 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	27	19	17	63
pts	97-82	72-60	59-39	228-181
Total points	179	132	98	409
Winners	31	37	20	88
%Winners	32%	51%	34%	39%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	6	12
Double Faults	2	5	2	9
1st in	45/76	48/71	26/44	119/191
% 1st in	59%	68%	59%	62%
1st pts	31/45	37/48	20/26	88/119
% 1st pts	69%	77%	77%	74%
2nd pts	18/31	8/23	8/18	34/72
% 2nd pts	58%	35%	44%	47%
Breaks
Won	5	3	6	14
Converted	5/10	3/6	6/8	14/24
Converted %	50%	50%	75%	58%
Conceded	8	8	3	19
Saved	5/8	7/8	1/3	13
Saved %	63%	88%	33%	92%
Times Broken	3	1	2	6

Tennis Scores in Monterrey

• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Alycia ParksParks (6-3 7-6⁸) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Federico CoriaCoria (6-2 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andrej MartinMartin – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (5-7 7-6⁴ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-2) – H2H and prediction