Daniel Merida Aguilar and Lloyd Harris will clash against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 15. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lloyd Harris who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lloyd Harris is the pick to win this match.
Lloyd Harris -> 1.47
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 2.61

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Lloyd Harris

There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Lloyd Harris since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Ranked no. 171, Merida Aguilar got to the qualifications after beating Dalibor Svrcina 1-6 6-3 7-5 and Titouan Droguet 6-4 3-6 6-4.

In the qualifications, Merida Aguilar defeated Droguet (6-4 3-6 6-4). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 95 points vs Droguet’s 85. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Regarding the service games, Merida Aguilar scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Daniel Merida Aguilar was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (42/54) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Merida Aguilar broke Droguet twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Merida Aguilar started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points he played.

Merida Aguilar has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (174-122). 12-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Merida Aguilar has a composed54-38 record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he overcame Fajing Sun in the final 6-3 6-4.

The Spaniard has a composed 38-15 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Merida Aguilar has never competed in this tournament before.

Lloyd Harris

Ranked no. 353, Harris reached the qualifications after defeating Daniel Evans 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Fajing Sun 6-2 6-2.

In the qualifications, Harris had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-2 6-2). During the match Lloyd scored 64 points vs Sun’s 36. Lloyd was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about serving, Lloyd made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lloyd Harris was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lloyd broke Sun 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Harris started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Harris has a composed 12-14 win-loss record in 2025, 4-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Merida Aguilar	Lloyd
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	5
Tot Games	57	47
Pts	188-178	163-134
Total Points	366	297
Winners	81	57
%Winners	43%	35%

Both Merida Aguilar and Lloyd played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Daniel Merida Aguilar dropped 2 sets, while Lloyd Harris lost 1 set. Merida Aguilar has played 1 set more than Lloyd (6 vs 5). Therefore, Merida Aguilar played 10 games more than Lloyd. The Spaniard scored 81 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Lloyd struck 57 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Merida Aguilar	Lloyd
Aces	3	18
Avg per match	1.5	9
1st in	120/176	73/133
%1st in	68%	55%
1st pts	81/120	57/73
%1st pts	68%	78%
2nd pts	27/56	35/60
%2nd pts	48%	58%

Merida Aguilar bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Lloyd bagged 18 aces (9 per match). Merida Aguilar won 68% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Lloyd won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Merida Aguilar	Lloyd
Won	8	7
Converted	8/21	7/18
% Converted	38%	39%
Conceded	17	4
Saved	10	2
% Saved	59%	50%
Times Broken	7	2

Daniel broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. The South African broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The South African conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Merida Aguilar
	Q1 Svrcina	Q2 Droguet	Total
Score	1-6 6-3 7-5	6-4 3-6 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	28	29	57
pts	93-93	95-85	188-178
Total points	186	180	366
Winners	39	42	81
%Winners	42%	44%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	3
Double Faults	6	3	9
1st in	66/95	54/81	120/176
% 1st in	69%	67%	68%
1st pts	39/66	42/54	81/120
% 1st pts	59%	78%	68%
2nd pts	11/29	16/27	27/56
% 2nd pts	38%	59%	48%
Breaks
Won	6	2	8
Converted	6/16	2/5	8/21
Converted %	38%	40%	38%
Conceded	15	2	17
Saved	9/15	1/2	10
Saved %	60%	50%	55%
Times Broken	6	1	7

Lloyd
	Q1 Evans	Q2 Sun	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 7-5	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	31	16	47
pts	99-98	64-36	163-134
Total points	197	100	297
Winners	35	22	57
%Winners	35%	34%	35%
SERVE
Aces	9	9	18
Double Faults	4	1	5
1st in	46/89	27/44	73/133
% 1st in	52%	61%	55%
1st pts	35/46	22/27	57/73
% 1st pts	76%	81%	78%
2nd pts	23/43	12/17	35/60
% 2nd pts	53%	71%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/9	4/9	7/18
Converted %	33%	44%	39%
Conceded	3	1	4
Saved	1/3	1/1	2
Saved %	33%	100%	67%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Federico CinaCina (6-3 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Jerome KymKym – Michael ZhengZheng (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-4 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Martin LandaluceLandaluce (6-3 7-6³) – See score progression
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong – Matteo GiganteGigante (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Billy HarrisHarris – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-7⁵ 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Arthur CazauxCazaux – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Dino PrizmicPrizmic – Murphy CassoneCassone (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Cristian GarinGarin (7-6³ 7-5) – See score progression
• Garrett JohnsJohns – Oliver CrawfordCrawford (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Andrea CollariniCollarini (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Harold MayotMayot (7-6¹¹ 6-7⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Titouan DroguetDroguet (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Alexander BlockxBlockx (7-6⁵ ret.) – See score progression
• Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jaime FariaFaria – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (7-6⁵ 7-5) – See score progression
• Yibing WuWu – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (7-6⁵ 7-5) – See score progression
• Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Dmitry PopkoPopko (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Henrique Rocha
  Rocha – Bernard TomicTomic (7-6⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Zsombor PirosPiros – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (6-3 7-6³) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Rei SakamotoSakamoto (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Lloyd HarrisHarris – Fajing SunSun (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Leandro RiediRiedi – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (7-6⁸ 6-4) – See score progression
• Martin DammDamm – Benjamin HassanHassan (7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Andres MartinMartin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Patrick MaloneyMaloney (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Taro DanielDaniel (2-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (4-6 7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• James DuckworthDuckworth – James McCabeMcCabe (7-5 5-7 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jerome KymKym – Michael ZhengZheng (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Yibing WuWu – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Patrick MaloneyMaloney (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Dmitry PopkoPopko (6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• James DuckworthDuckworth – Zsombor PirosPiros (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo DellienDellien – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Benjamin BonziBonzi (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Laslo DjereDjere – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Marin CilicCilic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – David GoffinGoffin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Casper RuudRuud (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-6) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emilio NavaNava – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Borna CoricCoric (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – Marcos GironGiron (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefan DostanicDostanic – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (0-0) – H2H and prediction