Xiyu Wang and Alina Charaeva will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:30 pm on Court 8. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Xiyu Wang who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Xiyu Wang is the pick to win this match.
Xiyu Wang -> 1.33
Alina Charaeva -> 3.22

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Prediction and head to head Xiyu Wang vs. Alina Charaeva

There is no head to head record between Xiyu Wang and Alina Charaeva since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Xiyu Wang

Xiyu Wang

18 - 12win/loss

Hard
14-5
I Hard
0-1
Clay
3-5
Grass
1-1
Rank
175
High
49
LLWLLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-18 17-11 3-5 0-1 1-1 0-0
2024 28-30 18-19 9-8 1-1 0-2 0-0
2023 27-25 17-17 5-4 0-0 5-4 0-0
2022 41-25 15-10 23-11 3-3 0-1 0-0
2021 21-19 8-7 9-7 0-1 4-3 0-1

Ranked no. 138, Wang got to the qualifications after beating Carson Branstine 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Petra Martic 7-5 6-4.

In the qualifications, Xiyu had a good straight sets win against Martic (7-5 6-4). During the match, Wang scored 89 points vs Martic’s 76. Wang was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Wang bagged 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Xiyu Wang lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Wang put 73% of her first serves in, winning 60% (35/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Martic 5 times after converting 31% of her break points (5/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Xiyu started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has lost 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points she played.

Wang has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (231-170). 13-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Wang has an aggregate 143-103 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title the W75 Lexington where she beat Janice Tjen in the final 3-6 6-2 6-4.

Xiyu has a compiled 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Wang's Record

Alina Charaeva

Alina Charaeva

27 - 19win/loss

Hard
5-5
I Hard
2-4
Clay
19-9
Grass
1-1
Rank
160
High
142
LLWWLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-25 7-8 25-11 3-5 1-1 0-0
2024 38-23 20-9 8-8 10-6 0-0 0-0
2023 37-17 31-11 5-5 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 13-4 2-3 10-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2021 27-19 16-8 4-7 7-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 196, Charaeva reached the qualifications after beating Monika Ekstrand 6-3 6-4 and Petra Marcinko 1-6 6-1 7-5.

In the qualifications against Marcinko, Alina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-1 7-5). During the match Charaeva scored 89 points vs Marcinko’s 88. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

About the serving games, Charaeva bagged 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Alina Charaeva lost the serve 4 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Charaeva put 66% of her first serves in, winning 63% (44/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Marcinko 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Charaeva started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title the W75 Kursumlijska Banja where she defeated Teodora Kostovic in the final 6-4 7-6(5).

The Russian has an aggregate 27-18 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Alina has never competed in this tournament before.

U.S. Open
Charaeva's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

X.Wang
A.Charaeva
4h:25
4h:25
Time on court​
3h:21
3h:21
!
2h:08
2h:08
Last match​
1h:53
1h:53
2
2
Match played
2
2
49
49
Games Played​
45
45
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
180
180
Total points​
157
157
90
90
Avg point​
78.5
78.5
74
74
Winners
66
66
37
37
Avg Winners​
33
33
41%
41%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
8
8
2
2
Avg Aces
4
4
11
11
Double Faults
10
10
!
5.5
5.5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
74/119
74/119
1st won total​
66/100
66/100
62%
62%
1st won %
66%
66%
30/51
30/51
2nd won total​
30/65
30/65
59%
59%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
9/22
9/22
BP won
10/18
10/18
4.5/11
4.5/11
Avg BP won
5/9
5/9
41%
41%
Won
!
56%
56%
16
16
Conceded
20
20
8
8
Avg Conceded
10
10
5
5
Broken
6
6
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
3
3
11
11
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Wang Charaeva
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 49 45
Pts 180-159 157-141
Total Points 339 298
Winners 74 66
%Winners 41% 42%

Both Wang and Charaeva played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Xiyu Wang conceded 1 set, while Alina Charaeva dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Wang and Charaeva have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Wang played 4 games more than Charaeva. Xiyu scored 74 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Charaeva fired 66 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Wang Charaeva
Aces 4 8
Avg per match 2 4
1st in 119/170 100/165
%1st in 70% 61%
1st pts 74/119 66/100
%1st pts 62% 66%
2nd pts 30/51 30/65
%2nd pts 59% 46%

Wang managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Charaeva struck 8 aces (4 per match). Wang won 62% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Charaeva won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Wang Charaeva
Won 9 10
Converted 9/22 10/18
% Converted 41% 56%
Conceded 16 20
Saved 11 14
% Saved 69% 70%
Times Broken 5 6

The Chinese broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Xiyu surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Charaeva conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Wang
Q1
Branstine
Q2
Martic
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 6-3 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 27 22 49
pts 91-83 89-76 180-159
Total points 174 165 339
Winners 39 35 74
%Winners 43% 39% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 4
Double Faults 8 3 11
1st in 61/91 58/79 119/170
% 1st in 67% 73% 70%
1st pts 39/61 35/58 74/119
% 1st pts 64% 60% 62%
2nd pts 18/30 12/21 30/51
% 2nd pts 60% 57% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/6 5/16 9/22
Converted % 67% 31% 41%
Conceded 9 7 16
Saved 7/9 4/7 11
Saved % 78% 57% 68%
Times Broken 2 3 5
Charaeva
Q1
Ekstrand
Q2
Marcinko
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 1-6 6-1 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 26 45
pts 68-53 89-88 157-141
Total points 121 177 298
Winners 22 44 66
%Winners 32% 49% 42%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 8
Double Faults 5 5 10
1st in 30/59 70/106 100/165
% 1st in 51% 66% 61%
1st pts 22/30 44/70 66/100
% 1st pts 73% 63% 66%
2nd pts 15/29 15/36 30/65
% 2nd pts 52% 42% 46%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/11 5/7 10/18
Converted % 45% 71% 56%
Conceded 6 14 20
Saved 4/6 10/14 14
Saved % 67% 71% 69%
Times Broken 2 4 6

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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