Xiyu Wang and Alina Charaeva will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:30 pm on Court 8. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Xiyu Wang who should win in 2 sets.
Xiyu Wang -> 1.33
Alina Charaeva -> 3.22
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Prediction and head to head Xiyu Wang vs. Alina Charaeva
There is no head to head record between Xiyu Wang and Alina Charaeva since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Xiyu Wang
18 - 12win/loss
175
49
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-18 | 17-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-30 | 18-19 | 9-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-25 | 17-17 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-25 | 15-10 | 23-11 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-19 | 8-7 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 138, Wang got to the qualifications after beating Carson Branstine 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Petra Martic 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, Xiyu had a good straight sets win against Martic (7-5 6-4). During the match, Wang scored 89 points vs Martic’s 76. Wang was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Wang bagged 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Xiyu Wang lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Wang put 73% of her first serves in, winning 60% (35/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Martic 5 times after converting 31% of her break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Xiyu started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has lost 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points she played.
Wang has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (231-170). 13-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Wang has an aggregate 143-103 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title the W75 Lexington where she beat Janice Tjen in the final 3-6 6-2 6-4.
Xiyu has a compiled 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Alina Charaeva
27 - 19win/loss
160
142
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-25 | 7-8 | 25-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-23 | 20-9 | 8-8 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-17 | 31-11 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-4 | 2-3 | 10-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-19 | 16-8 | 4-7 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 196, Charaeva reached the qualifications after beating Monika Ekstrand 6-3 6-4 and Petra Marcinko 1-6 6-1 7-5.
In the qualifications against Marcinko, Alina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-1 7-5). During the match Charaeva scored 89 points vs Marcinko’s 88. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Charaeva bagged 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Alina Charaeva lost the serve 4 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Charaeva put 66% of her first serves in, winning 63% (44/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Marcinko 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Charaeva started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title the W75 Kursumlijska Banja where she defeated Teodora Kostovic in the final 6-4 7-6(5).
The Russian has an aggregate 27-18 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Alina has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Wang | Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 45 |
| Pts | 180-159 | 157-141 |
| Total Points | 339 | 298 |
| Winners | 74 | 66 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Both Wang and Charaeva played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Xiyu Wang conceded 1 set, while Alina Charaeva dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Wang and Charaeva have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Wang played 4 games more than Charaeva. Xiyu scored 74 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Charaeva fired 66 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Wang | Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 119/170 | 100/165 |
| %1st in | 70% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 74/119 | 66/100 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 30/51 | 30/65 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 46% |
Wang managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Charaeva struck 8 aces (4 per match). Wang won 62% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Charaeva won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Wang | Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 10/18 |
| % Converted | 41% | 56% |
| Conceded | 16 | 20 |
| Saved | 11 | 14 |
| % Saved | 69% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
The Chinese broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Xiyu surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Charaeva conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Wang | ||||
| Q1 Branstine | Q2 Martic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 22 | 49 | |
| pts | 91-83 | 89-76 | 180-159 | |
| Total points | 174 | 165 | 339 | |
| Winners | 39 | 35 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 61/91 | 58/79 | 119/170 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 73% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 39/61 | 35/58 | 74/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 60% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 12/21 | 30/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 57% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/16 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 31% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 | 16 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 4/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 57% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Charaeva | ||||
| Q1 Ekstrand | Q2 Marcinko | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 1-6 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 | 45 | |
| pts | 68-53 | 89-88 | 157-141 | |
| Total points | 121 | 177 | 298 | |
| Winners | 22 | 44 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 49% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 30/59 | 70/106 | 100/165 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 66% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 44/70 | 66/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 63% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 15/36 | 30/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 42% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/7 | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 71% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 14 | 20 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 10/14 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 71% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
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