Varvara Gracheva and Ena Shibahara will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on Court 10. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Varvara Gracheva who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Varvara Gracheva is the pick to win this match.
Varvara Gracheva -> 1.41
Ena Shibahara -> 2.82

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Varvara Gracheva vs. Ena Shibahara

There is no head to head record between Varvara Gracheva and Ena Shibahara since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Varvara Gracheva

Varvara Gracheva

27 - 23win/loss

Hard
13-9
I Hard
1-3
Clay
9-8
Grass
4-3
Rank
80
High
39
LWWWLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-28 20-14 9-8 1-3 4-3 0-0
2024 29-28 13-15 15-10 0-1 1-2 0-0
2023 36-30 23-18 7-6 3-3 3-3 0-0
2022 29-32 7-11 12-14 10-7 0-0 0-0
2021 27-31 11-10 7-10 9-9 0-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 83, Varvara reached the qualifications after defeating Madison Brengle 7-5 6-3 and Tara Wuerth 7-5 6-2.

In the qualifications, Varvara had a good straight sets win against Wuerth (7-5 6-2). During the match, Gracheva scored 66 points vs Wuerth’s 58. Gracheva was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gracheva wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 6 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve 5 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 69% of her first serves in, winning 49% (22/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Gracheva broke Wuerth 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gracheva started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Gracheva has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (291-213). 13-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Gracheva has a compiled 89-84 match record in the last years on hard.

Varvara’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Paris and Eastbourne.

Varvara has a composed 27-22 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Gracheva's Record

Ena Shibahara

Ena Shibahara

24 - 20win/loss

Hard
13-10
I Hard
2-2
Clay
6-4
Grass
3-4
Rank
197
High
116
LLLLLLWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-27 14-16 6-4 2-3 3-4 0-0
2024 51-19 42-14 5-3 2-0 2-2 0-0
2023 16-15 12-12 4-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 16-15 11-8 1-3 4-4 0-0 0-0
2021 5-7 5-7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 130, the American reached the qualifications after defeating Kayla Day 7-5 6-1 and Elena Pridankina 7-6(5) 7-6(7).

In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Pridankina (7-65 7-67). During the match Shibahara scored 85 points vs Pridankina’s 81. Shibahara was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Shibahara made 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ena Shibahara lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Shibahara put 73% of her first serves in, winning 72% (44/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Ena broke Pridankina 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Shibahara’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the W100 Tokyo and the W75 Prague.

The American has an aggregate 23-20 win-loss record in 2025, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.

U.S. Open
Shibahara's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

V.Gracheva
E.Shibahara
2h:51
2h:51
Time on court​
3h:24
3h:24
1h:22
1h:22
Last match​
1h:57
1h:57
2
2
Match played
2
2
41
41
Games Played​
45
45
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
145
145
Total points​
154
154
72.5
72.5
Avg point​
77
77
50
50
Winners
70
70
25
25
Avg Winners​
35
35
34%
34%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
7
7
1
1
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
11
11
Double Faults
7
7
!
5.5
5.5
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
50/88
50/88
1st won total​
70/100
70/100
57%
57%
1st won %
70%
70%
24/54
24/54
2nd won total​
25/54
25/54
44%
44%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
13/22
13/22
BP won
8/14
8/14
6.5/11
6.5/11
Avg BP won
4/7
4/7
!
59%
59%
Won
!
57%
57%
22
22
Conceded
13
13
11
11
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
9
9
Broken
5
5
!
4.5
4.5
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
13
13
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gracheva Shibahara
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 41 45
Pts 145-125 154-136
Total Points 270 290
Winners 50 70
%Winners 34% 45%

Both Gracheva and Shibahara played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gracheva and Shibahara have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Gracheva played 4 games less than Shibahara. Gracheva scored 50 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 70 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gracheva Shibahara
Aces 2 7
Avg per match 1 3.5
1st in 88/142 100/154
%1st in 62% 65%
1st pts 50/88 70/100
%1st pts 57% 70%
2nd pts 24/54 25/54
%2nd pts 44% 46%

Gracheva fired 2 aces (1 per match). Shibahara made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Gracheva won 57% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Shibahara won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gracheva Shibahara
Won 13 8
Converted 13/22 8/14
% Converted 59% 57%
Conceded 22 13
Saved 13 8
% Saved 59% 62%
Times Broken 9 5

Gracheva broke her opponents 13 times with a 59% conversion rate. The French player surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.

Gracheva
Q1
Brengle		 Q2
Wuerth		 Total
Score 7-5 6-3 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 20 41
pts 79-67 66-58 145-125
Total points 146 124 270
Winners 28 22 50
%Winners 35% 33% 34%
SERVE
Aces 2 0 2
Double Faults 5 6 11
1st in 43/77 45/65 88/142
% 1st in 56% 69% 62%
1st pts 28/43 22/45 50/88
% 1st pts 65% 49% 57%
2nd pts 14/34 10/20 24/54
% 2nd pts 41% 50% 44%
Breaks
Won 6 7 13
Converted 6/11 7/11 13/22
Converted % 55% 64% 59%
Conceded 16 6 22
Saved 12/16 1/6 13
Saved % 75% 17% 46%
Times Broken 4 5 9
Shibahara
Q1
Day		 Q2
Pridankina		 Total
Score 7-5 6-1 7-65 7-67
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 26 45
pts 69-55 85-81 154-136
Total points 124 166 290
Winners 26 44 70
%Winners 38% 52% 45%
SERVE
Aces 4 3 7
Double Faults 6 1 7
1st in 39/70 61/84 100/154
% 1st in 56% 73% 65%
1st pts 26/39 44/61 70/100
% 1st pts 67% 72% 70%
2nd pts 15/31 10/23 25/54
% 2nd pts 48% 43% 46%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/8 3/6 8/14
Converted % 63% 50% 57%
Conceded 5 8 13
Saved 3/5 5/8 8
Saved % 60% 63% 62%
Times Broken 2 3 5

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Gracheva
More Stats
Click here
Shibahara

Click for FULL STATS