Francesca Jones and Arianne Hartono will play each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on Court 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesca Jones who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francesca Jones is the pick to win this match.
Francesca Jones -> 1.23
Arianne Hartono -> 3.98

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Prediction and head to head Francesca Jones vs. Arianne Hartono

This will be the 2nd time that Francesca Jones and Arianne Hartono fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Jones (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Jones won 6-4 6-1 in the quarter in the W60 Biarritz back in 2021.

Francesca Jones

Francesca Jones

40 - 13win/loss

Hard
10-3
I Hard
2-1
Clay
26-5
Grass
2-4
Rank
77
High
71
LLLWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-18 15-8 26-5 2-1 2-4 0-0
2024 33-18 3-3 28-13 0-0 2-2 0-0
2023 21-11 1-2 18-7 2-2 0-0 0-0
2022 0-2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 30-21 6-5 24-12 0-0 0-4 0-0

Ranked no. 86, Jones got to the qualifications after defeating Viktoria Hruncakova 6-3 6-4 and Ekaterine Gorgodze 6-1 7-6(11).

In the qualifications, Francesca had a good straight sets win against Gorgodze (6-1 7-611). During the match, Jones scored 85 points vs Gorgodze’s 71. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Jones managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Francesca Jones lost the serve once and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Jones put 70% of her first serves in, winning 68% (38/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Gorgodze 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jones started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.

Jones has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of her matches (240-127). 9-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Jones has a composed31-24 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the W75 Vacaria where she defeated Leolia Jeanjean in the final 1-6 6-4 6-1 and the W75 Prague where she overcame Ena Shibahara in the final 6-3 6-4 and the Contrexeville where she beat Elsa Jacquemot in the final 6-4 7-6(2) and the Palermo where she beat Anouk Koevermans in the final 6-3 6-2.

Francesca has an overall 39-13 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Jones's Record

Arianne Hartono

Arianne Hartono

19 - 23win/loss

Hard
11-11
I Hard
5-5
Clay
0-2
Grass
3-5
Rank
254
High
135
LLWWLWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-30 15-17 0-2 5-6 3-5 0-0
2024 32-28 32-24 0-2 0-0 0-2 0-0
2023 53-36 49-29 0-1 2-4 2-2 0-0
2022 24-27 8-13 7-8 7-3 2-3 0-0
2021 48-28 12-5 23-15 13-7 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 187, Arianne reached the qualifications after beating Ana Sofia Sanchez 2-6 6-4 6-3 and Olivia Gadecki 6-4 4-6 6-4.

In the qualifications, Arianne defeated Gadecki (6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match Hartono scored 97 points vs Gadecki’s 88. The Dutch was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Hartono scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Arianne Hartono lost the serve 5 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Hartono put 57% of her first serves in, winning 64% (32/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Gadecki 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arianne started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Hartono’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the W75 Targu Mures.

Arianne has an overall 19-22 win-loss record in 2025, 11-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023 and 2024. See her history.

U.S. Open
Hartono's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

F.Jones
A.Hartono
3h:06
3h:06
Time on court​
4h:30
4h:30
1h:45
1h:45
Last match​
!
2h:19
2h:19
2
2
Match played
2
2
39
39
Games Played​
57
57
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
152
152
Total points​
194
194
76
76
Avg point​
97
97
65
65
Winners
69
69
32.5
32.5
Avg Winners​
34.5
34.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
4
4
6
6
Avg Aces
2
2
2
2
Double Faults
9
9
1
1
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
65/87
65/87
1st won total​
69/108
69/108
!
75%
75%
1st won %
64%
64%
28/48
28/48
2nd won total​
36/84
36/84
58%
58%
2nd won %
43%
43%
-- Break Points --
5/17
5/17
BP won
13/21
13/21
2.5/8.5
2.5/8.5
Avg BP won
6.5/10.5
6.5/10.5
!
29%
29%
Won
!
62%
62%
10
10
Conceded
26
26
5
5
Avg Conceded
13
13
1
1
Broken
12
12
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
6
6
9
9
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Jones Hartono
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 39 57
Pts 152-118 194-183
Total Points 270 377
Winners 65 69
%Winners 43% 36%

Both Jones and Hartono played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Arianne Hartono lost 2 sets while Francesca Jones hasn’t lost a set so far. Jones has played 2 set(s) less than Hartono (4 vs 6). Therefore, Jones played 18 games less than Hartono. The Brit scored 65 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Hartono managed to score 69 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Jones Hartono
Aces 12 4
Avg per match 6 2
1st in 87/135 108/192
%1st in 64% 56%
1st pts 65/87 69/108
%1st pts 75% 64%
2nd pts 28/48 36/84
%2nd pts 58% 43%

Jones bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Hartono scored 4 aces (2 per match). Jones won 75% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Hartono won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Jones Hartono
Won 5 13
Converted 5/17 13/21
% Converted 29% 62%
Conceded 10 26
Saved 9 14
% Saved 90% 54%
Times Broken 1 12

Francesca broke her opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Francesca conceded her serve once and she saved 90% of the break points that she conceded. Hartono broke her opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Jones
Q1
Kuzmova
Q2
Gorgodze
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-1 7-611
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 20 39
pts 67-47 85-71 152-118
Total points 114 156 270
Winners 27 38 65
%Winners 40% 45% 43%
SERVE
Aces 8 4 12
Double Faults 0 2 2
1st in 31/55 56/80 87/135
% 1st in 56% 70% 64%
1st pts 27/31 38/56 65/87
% 1st pts 87% 68% 75%
2nd pts 15/24 13/24 28/48
% 2nd pts 63% 54% 58%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/9 3/8 5/17
Converted % 22% 38% 29%
Conceded 2 8 10
Saved 2/2 7/8 9
Saved % 100% 88% 94%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Hartono
Q1
Sofia Sanchez
Q2
Gadecki
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 27 30 57
pts 97-95 97-88 194-183
Total points 192 185 377
Winners 37 32 69
%Winners 38% 33% 36%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 4
Double Faults 6 3 9
1st in 58/105 50/87 108/192
% 1st in 55% 57% 56%
1st pts 37/58 32/50 69/108
% 1st pts 64% 64% 64%
2nd pts 16/47 20/37 36/84
% 2nd pts 34% 54% 43%
Breaks
Won 7 6 13
Converted 7/12 6/9 13/21
Converted % 58% 67% 62%
Conceded 19 7 26
Saved 12/19 2/7 14
Saved % 63% 29% 46%
Times Broken 7 5 12

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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