Marat Sharipov and Joel Schwaerzler will play each other in the semifinal of the Sofia 2 Challenger for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joel Schwaerzler who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Joel Schwaerzler is the pick to win this match.
Joel Schwaerzler -> 1.55
Marat Sharipov -> 2.33

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Prediction and head to head Marat Sharipov vs. Joel Schwaerzler

This will be the 4^th time that Marat Sharipov and Joel Schwaerzler fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Schwaerzler (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.

The last time that they played, Schwaerzler won 6-3 2-6 7-6(11) in the quarter in M25 Kiseljak back in June 2025.

Marat Sharipov

Ranked no. 276, the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Aryan Shah 7-5 6-2

, Alvaro Guillen Meza 7-6(2) 5-7 6-4 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 6-3 5-7 6-1.

In the quarter, Sharipov defeated Ferreira Silva (6-3 5-7 6-1). During the match, Sharipov scored 95 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 81. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sharipov bagged 9 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Marat Sharipov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sharipov put 52% of his first serves in, winning 74% (35/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (18/44) on the 2nd serve. Marat broke Ferreira Silva 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Sharipov has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (180-89). 14-8 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sharipov has a composed73-46 match record in the last 6 years on clay.

Marat’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Uriage.

Sharipov has an overall 38-18 win-loss record in 2025, 14-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sofia 2 Challenger

Joel Schwaerzler

Ranked no. 313, the Austrian reached the semifinal after defeating Duje Ajdukovic 6-1 6-4, David Jorda Sanchis 6-4 6-3 and Franco Agamenone 6-3 7-5.

In the quarter, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Agamenone (6-3 7-5). During the match Schwaerzler scored 65 points vs Agamenone’s 45. The Austrian was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Schwaerzler fired 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Joel Schwaerzler was pretty effective on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Schwaerzler was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Agamenone 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Joel hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

The Austrian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Klosters and Lucciana.

Joel has a compiled 34-20 win-loss record in 2025, 34-20 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sharipov	Schwaerzler
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	6
Tot Games	83	57
Pts	281-244	195-146
Total Points	525	341
Winners	100	72
%Winners	36%	37%

Both Sharipov and Schwaerzler played 3 matches. At the moment, Marat Sharipov lost 2 sets while Joel Schwaerzler hasn’t lost a set so far. Sharipov has played 2 sets more than Schwaerzler (8 vs 6). Therefore, Sharipov played 26 games more than Schwaerzler. The Russian scored 100 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Austrian recorded 72 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sharipov	Schwaerzler
Aces	37	11
Avg per match	12.3	3.7
1st in	133/262	95/177
%1st in	51%	54%
1st pts	100/133	72/95
%1st pts	75%	76%
2nd pts	64/129	49/82
%2nd pts	50%	60%

Sharipov struck 37 aces (12.3 per match). Schwaerzler recorded 11 aces (3.7 per match). Sharipov won 75% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Schwaerzler won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sharipov	Schwaerzler
Won	15	10
Converted	15/31	10/18
% Converted	48%	56%
Conceded	22	12
Saved	13	9
% Saved	59%	75%
Times Broken	9	3

Marat broke his opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve 9 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. The Austrian broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Austrian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Sharipov
	R1 Shah	R2 Guillen	1/4 Ferreira Silva	Total
Score	7-5 6-2	7-62 5-7 6-4	6-3 5-7 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	20	35	28	83
pts	73-56	113-107	95-81	281-244
Total points	129	220	176	525
Winners	26	39	35	100
%Winners	36%	35%	37%	36%
SERVE
Aces	13	15	9	37
Double Faults	5	6	6	17
1st in	34/64	52/107	47/91	133/262
% 1st in	53%	49%	52%	51%
1st pts	26/34	39/52	35/47	100/133
% 1st pts	76%	75%	74%	75%
2nd pts	17/30	29/55	18/44	64/129
% 2nd pts	57%	53%	41%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	4	7	15
Converted	4/8	4/13	7/10	15/31
Converted %	50%	31%	70%	48%
Conceded	3	11	8	22
Saved	2/3	7/11	4/8	13
Saved %	67%	64%	50%	60%
Times Broken	1	4	4	9

Schwaerzler
	R1 Ajdukovic	R2 Jorda Sanchis	1/4 Agamenone	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-4 6-3	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	17	19	21	57
pts	65-47	65-54	65-45	195-146
Total points	112	119	110	341
Winners	23	23	26	72
%Winners	35%	35%	40%	37%
SERVE
Aces	7	1	3	11
Double Faults	3	2	5	10
1st in	26/52	38/68	31/57	95/177
% 1st in	50%	56%	54%	54%
1st pts	23/26	23/38	26/31	72/95
% 1st pts	88%	61%	84%	76%
2nd pts	15/26	18/30	16/26	49/82
% 2nd pts	58%	60%	62%	60%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/8	4/7	3/3	10/18
Converted %	38%	57%	100%	56%
Conceded	3	8	1	12
Saved	3/3	6/8	0/1	9
Saved %	100%	75%	0%	58%
Times Broken	0	2	1	3

Tennis Scores in Sofia 2 Challenger

• Marat SharipovSharipov – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (6-3 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Matej DodigDodig – Andrej NedicNedic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Matej DodigDodig – Andrej NedicNedic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-3 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw