Matej Dodig and Alex Molcan will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Sofia 2 Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Molcan who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex Molcan is the pick to win this match.
Alex Molcan -> 1.4
Matej Dodig -> 2.77

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Prediction and head to head Matej Dodig vs. Alex Molcan

This will be the 2^nd time that Matej Dodig and Alex Molcan clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Dodig (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Dodig won 6-2 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Split Challenger back in 2024.

Matej Dodig

Ranked no. 268, the Croatian got to the semifinal after defeating Filip Cristian Jianu 6-2 6-2, Alexander Donski 6-0 4-6 6-3 and Andrej Nedic 6-3 7-5.

In the quarter, Matej had a good straight sets win against Nedic (6-3 7-5). During the match, Dodig scored 87 points vs Nedic’s 71. Matej was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Dodig bagged 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Matej Dodig lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Dodig put 53% of his first serves in, winning 66% (27/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Matej broke Nedic 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dodig has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Dodig has a solid match record in the last 3 years having won 64% of his matches (112-63). 23-17 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dodig has an overall91-49 win-loss record in the last 3 years on clay.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Trieste Challenger where he defeated Thiago Agustin Tirante in the final 6-3 6-4.

Matej has a compiled 23-21 win-loss record in 2025, 23-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sofia 2 Challenger

Dodig has never competed in this tournament before.

Alex Molcan

Ranked no. 362, Alex reached the semifinal after defeating S D Prajwal Dev 6-0 6-2, Filip Pieczonka 6-3 6-1, Ivan Ivanov 6-2 7-6(2), Alexander Vasilev 6-4 6-0 and Franco Roncadelli 6-3 6-1.

In the quarter, Alex had a good straight sets win against Roncadelli (6-3 6-1). During the match Molcan scored 56 points vs Roncadelli’s 27. Molcan was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Molcan bagged 3 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Alex Molcan was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (21/25) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Roncadelli 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Slovakian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 61% of the points he played.

Alex’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Antalya and M25 Reggio Emilia.

Molcan has an overall 36-11 win-loss record in 2025, 36-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Dodig	Molcan
Match played	3	5
Tot Set	7	10
Tot Games	62	83
Pts	236-178	334-215
Total Points	414	549
Winners	85	103
%Winners	36%	31%

Dodig played 3 matches while Molcan competed in 5 matches. Molcan started his run from the qualifications while Dodig had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Matej Dodig lost 1 set while Alex Molcan hasn’t dropped a set so far. Dodig has played 3 set(s) less than Molcan (7 vs 10). Therefore, Dodig played 21 games less than Molcan. The Croatian scored 85 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Alex bagged 103 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Dodig	Molcan
Aces	13	18
Avg per match	4.3	3.6
1st in	118/207	135/247
%1st in	57%	55%
1st pts	85/118	103/135
%1st pts	72%	76%
2nd pts	45/89	69/112
%2nd pts	51%	62%

Dodig managed to score 13 aces (4.3 per match). Molcan managed to score 18 aces (3.6 per match). Dodig won 72% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Molcan won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Dodig	Molcan
Won	16	24
Converted	16/34	24/59
% Converted	47%	41%
Conceded	18	15
Saved	11	10
% Saved	61%	67%
Times Broken	7	5

Dodig broke his opponents 16 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Croatian lost his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 24 times with a 41% conversion rate. Molcan conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Dodig
	R1 Cristian	R2 Donski	1/4 Nedic	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-0 4-6 6-3	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	16	25	21	62
pts	59-38	90-69	87-71	236-178
Total points	97	159	158	414
Winners	20	38	27	85
%Winners	34%	42%	31%	36%
SERVE
Aces	8	3	2	13
Double Faults	3	5	5	13
1st in	27/51	50/79	41/77	118/207
% 1st in	53%	63%	53%	57%
1st pts	20/27	38/50	27/41	85/118
% 1st pts	74%	76%	66%	72%
2nd pts	14/24	15/29	16/36	45/89
% 2nd pts	58%	52%	44%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	5	6	16
Converted	5/9	5/11	6/14	16/34
Converted %	56%	45%	43%	47%
Conceded	3	6	9	18
Saved	2/3	4/6	5/9	11
Saved %	67%	67%	56%	63%
Times Broken	1	2	4	7

Molcan
	Q1 D Prajwal Dev	Q3 Pieczonka	R1 Ivanov	R2 Vasilev	1/4 Roncadelli	Total
Score	6-0 6-2	6-3 6-1	6-2 7-62	6-4 6-0	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	10
Tot Games	14	16	21	16	16	83
pts	59-30	62-39	86-70	71-49	56-27	334-215
Total points	89	101	156	120	83	549
Winners	17	21	28	16	21	103
%Winners	29%	34%	33%	23%	38%	31%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	5	0	3	18
Double Faults	3	1	1	1	0	6
1st in	22/46	29/49	36/57	23/51	25/44	135/247
% 1st in	48%	59%	63%	45%	57%	55%
1st pts	17/22	21/29	28/36	16/23	21/25	103/135
% 1st pts	77%	72%	78%	70%	84%	76%
2nd pts	16/24	11/20	13/21	18/28	11/19	69/112
% 2nd pts	67%	55%	62%	64%	58%	62%
Breaks
Won	5	6	3	5	5	24
Converted	5/6	6/13	3/16	5/19	5/5	24/59
Converted %	83%	46%	19%	26%	100%	41%
Conceded	5	5	2	2	1	15
Saved	5/5	3/5	1/2	1/2	0/1	10
Saved %	100%	60%	50%	50%	0%	87%
Times Broken	0	2	1	1	1	5

Tennis Scores in Sofia 2 Challenger

• Alex MolcanMolcan – Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Matej DodigDodig – Andrej NedicNedic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Marat SharipovSharipov – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (6-3 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
• Matej DodigDodig – Andrej NedicNedic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-3 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw