Elise Mertens and Diana Shnaider will play each other in the quarter of the Abierto GNP Seguros for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on ESTADIO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Diana Shnaider who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Diana Shnaider is the pick to win this match.
Diana Shnaider -> 1.83
Elise Mertens -> 1.98

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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Diana Shnaider

This will be the 4^th time that Elise Mertens and Diana Shnaider face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Shnaider won 6-2 6-3 in the 4^th round in Rome back in May 2025.

Highlights Diana Shnaider vs Elise Mertens – Rome 12-May-2025

Elise Mertens

Ranked no. 21, Mertens got to the quarter after beating Anna Blinkova 6-4 6-3 and Donna Vekic 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Elise had a good straight sets win against Vekic (6-3 6-3). During the match, Mertens scored 67 points vs Vekic’s 50. Mertens was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mertens made 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 54% of her first serves in, winning 76% (22/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (9/25) on the 2nd serve. Mertens broke Vekic 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mertens hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (354-219). 13-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has an overall 200-120 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Singapore where she defeated Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where she beat Elena Gabriela Ruse in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

Mertens has a compiled 32-15 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monterrey

Diana Shnaider

Ranked no. 22, Diana got to the quarter after defeating Kamilla Rakhimova 7-6(3) 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Shnaider had a good straight sets win against Rakhimova (7-6³ 6-1). During the match Shnaider scored 79 points vs Rakhimova’s 65. Shnaider was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Shnaider struck 4 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Diana Shnaider lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Shnaider put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Rakhimova 3 times after converting 27% of her break points (3/11).

Diana has a composed 20-19 win-loss record in 2025, 8-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mertens	Shnaider
Match played	2	1
Tot Set	4	2
Tot Games	37	20
Pts	139-105	79-65
Total Points	244	144
Winners	49	26
%Winners	35%	33%

Mertens played 2 matches while Shnaider competed in 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Mertens has played 2 sets more than Shnaider (4 vs 2). Therefore, Mertens played 17 games more than Shnaider. The Belgian scored 49 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Diana scored 26 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mertens	Shnaider
Aces	7	4
Avg per match	3.5	4
1st in	64/115	39/61
%1st in	56%	64%
1st pts	49/64	26/39
%1st pts	77%	67%
2nd pts	20/51	15/22
%2nd pts	39%	68%

Mertens fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Shnaider fired 4 aces . Mertens won 77% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Shnaider won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mertens	Shnaider
Won	11	3
Converted	11/21	3/11
% Converted	52%	27%
Conceded	10	2
Saved	5	1
% Saved	50%	50%
Times Broken	5	1

Mertens broke her opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Mertens dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Diana broke her opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Diana conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Mertens
	R1 Blinkova	R2 Vekic	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	18	37
pts	72-55	67-50	139-105
Total points	127	117	244
Winners	27	22	49
%Winners	38%	33%	35%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	7
Double Faults	6	4	10
1st in	35/61	29/54	64/115
% 1st in	57%	54%	56%
1st pts	27/35	22/29	49/64
% 1st pts	77%	76%	77%
2nd pts	11/26	9/25	20/51
% 2nd pts	42%	36%	39%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/8	6/13	11/21
Converted %	63%	46%	52%
Conceded	6	4	10
Saved	4/6	1/4	5
Saved %	67%	25%	46%
Times Broken	2	3	5

Shnaider
	R2 Rakhimova	Total
Score	7-63 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	79-65	79-65
Total points	144	144
Winners	26	26
%Winners	33%	33%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	39/61	39/61
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	26/39	26/39
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	15/22	15/22
% 2nd pts	68%	68%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/11	3/11
Converted %	27%	27%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	25%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Monterrey

• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver (6-7⁴ 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Nicola KuhnKuhn (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andrej MartinMartin – Aleksandr NedovesovNedovesov (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico CoriaCoria – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (6-7⁵ 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Nikola Cacic/Tsung-Hua YangCacic/Tsung-Hua Yang – Ariel Behar/Gonzalo EscobarBehar/Gonzalo Escobar (4-6 7-5 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alycia ParksParks – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction