Lucrezia Stefanini and Carol Zhao will clash against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on Court 7. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucrezia Stefanini who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lucrezia Stefanini is the pick to win this match.
Lucrezia Stefanini -> 1.41
Carol Zhao -> 2.82

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Carol Zhao

There is no head to head record between Lucrezia Stefanini and Carol Zhao since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Lucrezia Stefanini

Ranked no. 149, the Italian got to the qualifications after defeating Vitalia Diatchenko 7-6(6) 6-2.

In the qualifications, Lucrezia had a good straight sets win against Diatchenko (7-6⁶ 6-2). During the match, Stefanini scored 84 points vs Diatchenko’s 69. Stefanini was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Stefanini couldn’t to score even 1 ace and she committed only 7 double faults. Lucrezia Stefanini lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Stefanini put 67% of her first serves in, winning 74% (32/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. Lucrezia broke Diatchenko 4 times after converting 25% of her break points (4/16).

Stefanini has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (316-234). 11-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Stefanini has a compiled 107-64 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Lucrezia has a composed 28-22 win-loss record in 2025, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Carol Zhao

Ranked no. 230, the Canadian got to the qualifications after beating Maria Lourdes Carle 7-6(8) 6-2.

In the qualifications, Zhao had a good straight sets win against Lourdes Carle (7-6⁸ 6-2). During the match Zhao scored 90 points vs Lourdes Carle’s 78. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Zhao scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 9 double faults. Carol Zhao lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Zhao put 62% of her first serves in, winning 58% (30/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Zhao broke Lourdes Carle 6 times after converting 33% of her break points (6/18).

The Canadian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the W50 Spring and the Newport.

Zhao has a compiled 17-19 win-loss record in 2025, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2018 and 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Stefanini	Zhao
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
Pts	84-69	90-78
Total Points	153	168
Winners	32	30
%Winners	38%	33%

Both Stefanini and Zhao played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Stefanini and Zhao have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (21). The Italian scored 32 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Zhao blasted 30 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Stefanini	Zhao
Aces	0	1
Avg per match	0	1
1st in	43/64	52/84
%1st in	67%	62%
1st pts	32/43	30/52
%1st pts	74%	58%
2nd pts	9/21	15/32
%2nd pts	43%	47%

Stefanini didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Zhao managed to score 1 ace . Stefanini won 74% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Zhao won 58% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Stefanini	Zhao
Won	4	6
Converted	4/16	6/18
% Converted	25%	33%
Conceded	2	10
Saved	0	6
% Saved	0%	60%
Times Broken	2	4

The Italian broke her opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. Stefanini surrendered her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Carol broke her opponent 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Stefanini
	Q1 Diatchenko	Total
Score	7-66 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	84-69	84-69
Total points	153	153
Winners	32	32
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	43/64	43/64
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	32/43	32/43
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	9/21	9/21
% 2nd pts	43%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/16	4/16
Converted %	25%	25%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	0/2	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	2	2

Zhao
	Q1 Lourdes	Total
Score	7-68 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	90-78	90-78
Total points	168	168
Winners	30	30
%Winners	33%	33%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	9	9
1st in	52/84	52/84
% 1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	30/52	30/52
% 1st pts	58%	58%
2nd pts	15/32	15/32
% 2nd pts	47%	47%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/18	6/18
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	6/10	6
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	4	4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Guiomar Zuleta De RealesZuleta De Reales – Tiantsoa Rakotomanga RajaonahRakotomanga Rajaonah (6-2 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Ayana AkliAkli – Eva VedderVedder (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Linda KlimovicovaKlimovicova – Alina KorneevaKorneeva (7-6⁴ 6-7² 6-4) – See score progression
• Aoi ItoIto – Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam (6-4 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
• Viktoriya TomovaTomova – Irene BurilloBurillo (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Iryna ShymanovichShymanovich – Sinja KrausKraus (6-3 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Oksana SelekhmetevaSelekhmeteva – Julia RieraRiera (2-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Darja VidmanovaVidmanova – Maya IyengarIyengar (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jessika PonchetPonchet – Elizabeth MandlikMandlik (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Veronika ErjavecErjavec – Maria TimofeevaTimofeeva (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Daria SavilleSaville (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Francesca JonesJones – Viktoria HruncakovaHruncakova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Justina MikulskyteMikulskyte – Kyoka OkamuraOkamura (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Carol ZhaoZhao – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-6⁸ 6-2) – See score progression
• Ekaterine GorgodzeGorgodze – Heather WatsonWatson (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Destanee AiavaAiava – Sara BejlekBejlek (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Sijia WeiWei – Berfu CengizCengiz (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Ella SeidelSeidel – Kathinka Von DeichmannVon Deichmann (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska – Georgia PedonePedone (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Cadence BraceBrace – Nao HibinoHibino (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Darja SemenistajaSemenistaja – Andrea Lazaro GarciaLazaro Garcia (2-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Lizette CabreraCabrera – Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Mary StoianaStoiana (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Priscilla HonHon – Nuria BrancaccioBrancaccio (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Janice TjenTjen – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Arianne HartonoHartono – Ana Sofia SanchezSofia Sanchez (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Sachia VickeryVickery – Anastasiia SobolievaSobolieva (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini – Vitalia DiatchenkoDiatchenko (7-6⁶ 6-2) – See score progression
• Harriet DartDart – Anca Alexia TodoniAlexia Todoni (7-5 6-7³ 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Olivia GadeckiGadecki – Anouk KoevermansKoevermans (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Hanne VandewinkelVandewinkel – Marina StakusicStakusic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Leyre Romero GormazRomero Gormaz – Celine NaefNaef (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Claire LiuLiu – Katarzyna KawaKawa (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Xiyu WangWang – Carson BranstineBranstine (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Maddison InglisInglis – Storm HunterHunter (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Laura PigossiPigossi – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (5-7 7-6² 6-3) – See score progression
• Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage – Patricia Maria TigMaria Tig (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Fiona CrawleyCrawley – Louisa ChiricoChirico (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Madison BrengleBrengle (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Jana FettFett – Joanna GarlandGarland (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tereza ValentovaValentova – Mona BarthelBarthel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Arantxa RusRus – Carlota Martinez CirezMartinez Cirez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alina CharaevaCharaeva – Monika EkstrandEkstrand (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Tatiana ProzorovaProzorova – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Tessah AndrianjafitrimoAndrianjafitrimo – Polona HercogHercog (5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Panna UdvardyUdvardy – Paula OrmaecheaOrmaechea (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaJimenez Kasintseva – Alexis NguyenNguyen (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Kristina DmitrukDmitruk – Kaja JuvanJuvan (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Dalma GalfiGalfi – Akasha UrhoboUrhobo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Emerson JonesJones – Bernarda PeraPera (6-1 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Astra SharmaSharma – Lola RadivojevicRadivojevic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Sofia CostoulasCostoulas (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Manon LeonardLeonard – Sada NahimanaNahimana (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Hina InoueInoue – Lauren DavisDavis (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Amelia HonerHoner – Whitney OsuigweOsuigwe (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Petra MarticMartic – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Dominika SalkovaSalkova – Julia GrabherGrabher (7-5 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Petra MarcinkoMarcinko – Xinyu GaoGao (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Ena ShibaharaShibahara – Kayla DayDay (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Simona WaltertWaltert – Daria SnigurSnigur (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Mai HontamaHontama – Kristina PenickovaPenickova (6-0 4-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Rebecca MarinoMarino – Lanlana TararudeeTararudee (6-3 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Tara WuerthWuerth – Arina RodionovaRodionova (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Elena PridankinaPridankina – Barbora PalicovaPalicova (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Francesca JonesJones – Ekaterine GorgodzeGorgodze (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arianne HartonoHartono – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage – Arantxa RusRus (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dalma GalfiGalfi – Fiona CrawleyCrawley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Manon LeonardLeonard – Panna UdvardyUdvardy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Viktoriya TomovaTomova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Priscilla HonHon (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Varvara GrachevaGracheva – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tessah AndrianjafitrimoAndrianjafitrimo – Jana FettFett (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Destanee AiavaAiava – Justina MikulskyteMikulskyte (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sachia VickeryVickery – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sijia WeiWei – Leyre Romero GormazRomero Gormaz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Astra SharmaSharma – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Petra MarticMartic – Xiyu WangWang (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Harriet DartDart – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mai HontamaHontama – Rebecca MarinoMarino (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Carol ZhaoZhao – Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hina InoueInoue – Simona WaltertWaltert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Claire LiuLiu – Maddison InglisInglis (0-0) – H2H and prediction