Shintaro Mochizuki and Roman Andres Burruchaga will play each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on Court 9. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.63
Roman Andres Burruchaga -> 2.22

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga

This will be the 3rd time that Shintaro Mochizuki and Roman Andres Burruchaga fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Andres won 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Mauthausen Challenger back in April 2025.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Shintaro Mochizuki

35 - 21win/loss

Hard
22-12
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-6
Grass
11-3
Rank
94
High
92
LLWLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 43-30 27-16 2-6 3-5 11-3 0-0
2024 28-33 19-22 7-5 0-1 2-5 0-0
2023 41-33 22-16 13-8 2-5 4-4 0-0
2022 37-34 18-17 13-12 6-5 0-0 0-0
2021 35-30 11-10 18-11 5-7 1-1 0-1

Ranked no. 112 (career-high), Mochizuki reached the qualifications after beating Jurij Rodionov 6-2 4-6 6-2.

In the qualifications, The Japanese defeated Rodionov (6-2 4-6 6-2). During the match, Mochizuki scored 97 points vs Rodionov’s 81. Shintaro was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mochizuki fired 2 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 46% of his first serves in, winning 62% (28/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (29/52) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Rodionov 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Mochizuki has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (209-174). 21-12 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mochizuki has a composed117-97 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he defeated Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.

Mochizuki has an aggregate 34-21 win-loss record in 2025, 21-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Mochizuki's Record

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Roman Andres Burruchaga

35 - 25win/loss

Hard
4-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
30-19
Grass
1-1
Rank
107
High
105
LWWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-31 4-5 51-25 0-0 1-1 0-0
2024 44-28 2-3 40-24 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 39-30 4-2 35-28 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 45-32 5-3 40-29 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 43-24 18-9 25-15 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 144, Andres reached the qualifications after defeating Justin Engel 3-6 6-3 7-5.

In the qualifications against Engel, Roman recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-5). During the match Andres scored 95 points vs Engel’s 85. Roman was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Andres struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Roman Andres Burruchaga lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Andres put 63% of his first serves in, winning 80% (39/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Engel 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he overcame Facundo Mena in the final 7-6(8) 6-7(6) 7-6(4).

The Argentine has a compiled 35-24 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open
Andres's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

S.Mochizuki
R.Andres Burruchaga
1h:55
1h:55
Time on court​
2h:06
2h:06
1h:55
1h:55
Last match​
!
2h:06
2h:06
1
1
Match played
1
1
26
26
Games Played​
30
30
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
97
97
Total points​
95
95
97
97
Avg point​
95
95
28
28
Winners
39
39
28
28
Avg Winners​
39
39
29%
29%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
4
4
2
2
Avg Aces
4
4
7
7
Double Faults
3
3
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
3
3
28/45
28/45
1st won total​
39/49
39/49
62%
62%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
29/52
29/52
2nd won total​
13/29
13/29
56%
56%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
6/10
6/10
BP won
4/12
4/12
6/10
6/10
Avg BP won
4/12
4/12
!
60%
60%
Won
33%
33%
10
10
Conceded
3
3
10
10
Avg Conceded
3
3
3
3
Broken
3
3
3
3
Avg Broken
3
3
7
7
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mochizuki Andres
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 26 30
Pts 97-81 95-85
Total Points 178 180
Winners 28 39
%Winners 29% 41%

Both Mochizuki and Andres played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Shintaro Mochizuki dropped 1 set, while Roman Andres Burruchaga conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Mochizuki and Andres have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Mochizuki played 4 games less than Andres. Shintaro scored 28 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine fired 39 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mochizuki Andres
Aces 2 4
Avg per match 2 4
1st in 45/97 49/78
%1st in 46% 63%
1st pts 28/45 39/49
%1st pts 62% 80%
2nd pts 29/52 13/29
%2nd pts 56% 45%

Mochizuki bagged 2 aces . Andres made 4 aces . Mochizuki won 62% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Andres won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mochizuki Andres
Won 6 4
Converted 6/10 4/12
% Converted 60% 33%
Conceded 10 3
Saved 7 0
% Saved 70% 0%
Times Broken 3 3

Mochizuki broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Mochizuki surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Mochizuki
Q1
Rodionov
Total
Score 6-2 4-6 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 26 26
pts 97-81 97-81
Total points 178 178
Winners 28 28
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 45/97 45/97
% 1st in 46% 46%
1st pts 28/45 28/45
% 1st pts 62% 62%
2nd pts 29/52 29/52
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/10 6/10
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 7/10 7
Saved % 70% 70%
Times Broken 3 3
Andres
Q1
Engel
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 95-85 95-85
Total points 180 180
Winners 39 39
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 49/78 49/78
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 39/49 39/49
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 13/29 13/29
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 0/3 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 3 3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw