Rebecca Marino and Mai Hontama will square off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on Court 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rebecca Marino who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rebecca Marino is the pick to win this match.
Rebecca Marino -> 1.41
Mai Hontama -> 2.82

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Prediction and head to head Rebecca Marino vs. Mai Hontama

This will be the 4^th time that Rebecca Marino and Mai Hontama play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Marino (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Marino won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in the Mumbai back in February 2025.

Rebecca Marino

Ranked no. 119, the Canadian reached the qualifications after beating Lanlana Tararudee 6-3 2-6 7-5.

In the qualifications, Rebecca defeated Tararudee (6-3 2-6 7-5). During the match, Marino scored 97 points vs Tararudee’s 94. Marino was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Marino fired 8 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Rebecca Marino lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Marino put 58% of her first serves in, winning 66% (40/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the 2nd serve. Rebecca broke Tararudee 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Marino has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (236-141). 12-13 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Marino has a composed 175-92 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Marino’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Ilkley.

Marino has a composed 16-18 win-loss record in 2025, 12-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Mai Hontama

Ranked no. 181, the Japanese reached the qualifications after beating Kristina Penickova 6-0 4-6 7-6(4).

In the qualifications, The Japanese defeated Penickova (6-0 4-6 7-6⁴). During the match Hontama scored 105 points vs Penickova’s 85. Mai was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Hontama scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Mai Hontama lost the serve 5 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Hontama put 61% of her first serves in, winning 59% (37/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Penickova 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).

Mai’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the W75 Trnava.

Mai has a composed 19-21 win-loss record in 2025, 11-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Marino	Hontama
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
Pts	97-94	105-85
Total Points	191	190
Winners	40	37
%Winners	41%	35%

Both Marino and Hontama played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Rebecca Marino surrendered 1 set, while Mai Hontama surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Marino and Hontama have played the same amount of sets 3. They also played the same amount of games (29). Rebecca scored 40 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese fired 37 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Marino	Hontama
Aces	8	1
Avg per match	8	1
1st in	61/105	63/103
%1st in	58%	61%
1st pts	40/61	37/63
%1st pts	66%	59%
2nd pts	23/44	21/40
%2nd pts	52%	53%

Marino made 8 aces . Hontama recorded 1 ace . Marino won 66% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Hontama won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Marino	Hontama
Won	4	7
Converted	4/5	7/9
% Converted	80%	78%
Conceded	11	15
Saved	7	10
% Saved	64%	67%
Times Broken	4	5

Marino broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Rebecca lost her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Mai broke her opponent 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Marino
	Q1 Tararudee	Total
Score	6-3 2-6 7-5
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	97-94	97-94
Total points	191	191
Winners	40	40
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	8	8
Double Faults	8	8
1st in	61/105	61/105
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	40/61	40/61
% 1st pts	66%	66%
2nd pts	23/44	23/44
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/5	4/5
Converted %	80%	80%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	7/11	7
Saved %	64%	64%
Times Broken	4	4

Hontama
	Q1 Penickova	Total
Score	6-0 4-6 7-64
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	105-85	105-85
Total points	190	190
Winners	37	37
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	63/103	63/103
% 1st in	61%	61%
1st pts	37/63	37/63
% 1st pts	59%	59%
2nd pts	21/40	21/40
% 2nd pts	53%	53%
Breaks
Won	7	7
Converted	7/9	7/9
Converted %	78%	78%
Conceded	15	15
Saved	10/15	10
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	5	5

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Guiomar Zuleta De RealesZuleta De Reales – Tiantsoa Rakotomanga RajaonahRakotomanga Rajaonah (6-2 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Arianne HartonoHartono – Ana Sofia SanchezSofia Sanchez (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Linda KlimovicovaKlimovicova – Alina KorneevaKorneeva (7-6⁴ 6-7² 6-4) – See score progression
• Aoi ItoIto – Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam (6-4 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
• Harriet DartDart – Anca Alexia TodoniAlexia Todoni (7-5 6-7³ 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Mary StoianaStoiana (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Darja VidmanovaVidmanova – Maya IyengarIyengar (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Veronika ErjavecErjavec – Maria TimofeevaTimofeeva (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Daria SavilleSaville (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Francesca JonesJones – Viktoria HruncakovaHruncakova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Justina MikulskyteMikulskyte – Kyoka OkamuraOkamura (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Carol ZhaoZhao – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (7-6⁸ 6-2) – See score progression
• Ayana AkliAkli – Eva VedderVedder (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Iryna ShymanovichShymanovich – Sinja KrausKraus (6-3 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Viktoriya TomovaTomova – Irene BurilloBurillo (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Oksana SelekhmetevaSelekhmeteva – Julia RieraRiera (2-6 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Ella SeidelSeidel – Kathinka Von DeichmannVon Deichmann (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jessika PonchetPonchet – Elizabeth MandlikMandlik (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Olivia GadeckiGadecki – Anouk KoevermansKoevermans (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Lizette CabreraCabrera – Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Priscilla HonHon – Nuria BrancaccioBrancaccio (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Janice TjenTjen – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Sachia VickeryVickery – Anastasiia SobolievaSobolieva (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Ekaterine GorgodzeGorgodze – Heather WatsonWatson (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini – Vitalia DiatchenkoDiatchenko (7-6⁶ 6-2) – See score progression
• Destanee AiavaAiava – Sara BejlekBejlek (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Sijia WeiWei – Berfu CengizCengiz (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Hanne VandewinkelVandewinkel – Marina StakusicStakusic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska – Georgia PedonePedone (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Darja SemenistajaSemenistaja – Andrea Lazaro GarciaLazaro Garcia (2-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Cadence BraceBrace – Nao HibinoHibino (2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Leyre Romero GormazRomero Gormaz – Celine NaefNaef (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Hina InoueInoue – Lauren DavisDavis (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Laura PigossiPigossi – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (5-7 7-6² 6-3) – See score progression
• Petra MarticMartic – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Fiona CrawleyCrawley – Louisa ChiricoChirico (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Madison BrengleBrengle (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Petra MarcinkoMarcinko – Xinyu GaoGao (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Ena ShibaharaShibahara – Kayla DayDay (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Mai HontamaHontama – Kristina PenickovaPenickova (6-0 4-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tereza ValentovaValentova – Mona BarthelBarthel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Rebecca MarinoMarino – Lanlana TararudeeTararudee (6-3 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Tara WuerthWuerth – Arina RodionovaRodionova (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Elena PridankinaPridankina – Barbora PalicovaPalicova (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Claire LiuLiu – Katarzyna KawaKawa (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Maddison InglisInglis – Storm HunterHunter (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage – Patricia Maria TigMaria Tig (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Kristina DmitrukDmitruk – Kaja JuvanJuvan (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Dalma GalfiGalfi – Akasha UrhoboUrhobo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jana FettFett – Joanna GarlandGarland (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Astra SharmaSharma – Lola RadivojevicRadivojevic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Arantxa RusRus – Carlota Martinez CirezMartinez Cirez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alina CharaevaCharaeva – Monika EkstrandEkstrand (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Tatiana ProzorovaProzorova – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Tessah AndrianjafitrimoAndrianjafitrimo – Polona HercogHercog (5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Amelia HonerHoner – Whitney OsuigweOsuigwe (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Panna UdvardyUdvardy – Paula OrmaecheaOrmaechea (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaJimenez Kasintseva – Alexis NguyenNguyen (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Dominika SalkovaSalkova – Julia GrabherGrabher (7-5 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Emerson JonesJones – Bernarda PeraPera (6-1 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Simona WaltertWaltert – Daria SnigurSnigur (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Sofia CostoulasCostoulas (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Manon LeonardLeonard – Sada NahimanaNahimana (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Xiyu WangWang – Carson BranstineBranstine (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Francesca JonesJones – Ekaterine GorgodzeGorgodze (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arianne HartonoHartono – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage – Arantxa RusRus (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dalma GalfiGalfi – Fiona CrawleyCrawley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Manon LeonardLeonard – Panna UdvardyUdvardy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Viktoriya TomovaTomova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Priscilla HonHon (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Varvara GrachevaGracheva – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tessah AndrianjafitrimoAndrianjafitrimo – Jana FettFett (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Destanee AiavaAiava – Justina MikulskyteMikulskyte (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sachia VickeryVickery – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sijia WeiWei – Leyre Romero GormazRomero Gormaz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Astra SharmaSharma – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Petra MarticMartic – Xiyu WangWang (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Harriet DartDart – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mai HontamaHontama – Rebecca MarinoMarino (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Carol ZhaoZhao – Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hina InoueInoue – Simona WaltertWaltert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Claire LiuLiu – Maddison InglisInglis (0-0) – H2H and prediction