Matej Dodig and Alexander Donski will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Sofia 2 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matej Dodig who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matej Dodig is the pick to win this match.
Matej Dodig -> 1.48
Alexander Donski -> 2.5

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Matej Dodig vs. Alexander Donski

There is no head to head record between Matej Dodig and Alexander Donski since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Matej Dodig

Ranked no. 268, the Croatian reached the 2^nd round after defeating Filip Cristian Jianu 6-2 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Dodig had a good straight sets win against Cristian Jianu (6-2 6-2). During the match, Dodig scored 59 points vs Cristian Jianu’s 38. The Croatian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Regarding the service games, Dodig bagged 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matej Dodig was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (20/27) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Croatian broke Cristian Jianu 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Dodig has a solid record in the last 3 years having won 64% of his matches (110-63). 21-17 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dodig has an aggregate89-49 win-loss record in the last 3 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Trieste Challenger where he overcame Thiago Agustin Tirante in the final 6-3 6-4.

Dodig has an aggregate 21-21 win-loss record in 2025, 21-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sofia 2 Challenger

The Croatian has never competed in this tournament before.

Alexander Donski

Ranked no. 662, Alexander reached the 2^nd round after beating Daniel Michalski 6-1 7-6(6).

In the 1^st round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Michalski (6-1 7-6⁶). During the match Donski scored 71 points vs Michalski’s 57. Alexander was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Donski blasted 10 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Alexander Donski lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Donski put 55% of his first serves in, winning 89% (32/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Michalski 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Alexander’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Pretoria.

Donski has a composed 14-10 win-loss record in 2025, 6-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Dodig	Donski
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	20
Pts	59-38	71-57
Total Points	97	128
Winners	20	32
%Winners	34%	45%

Both Dodig and Donski played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Dodig and Donski have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Dodig played 4 games less than Donski. The Croatian scored 20 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander bagged 32 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Dodig	Donski
Aces	8	10
Avg per match	8	10
1st in	27/51	36/66
%1st in	53%	55%
1st pts	20/27	32/36
%1st pts	74%	89%
2nd pts	14/24	12/30
%2nd pts	58%	40%

Dodig made 8 aces . Donski blasted 10 aces . Dodig won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Donski won 89% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 40% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Dodig	Donski
Won	5	4
Converted	5/9	4/9
% Converted	56%	44%
Conceded	3	5
Saved	2	3
% Saved	67%	60%
Times Broken	1	2

Matej broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Croatian surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Donski broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Dodig
	R1 Cristian	Total
Score	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	59-38	59-38
Total points	97	97
Winners	20	20
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	8	8
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	27/51	27/51
% 1st in	53%	53%
1st pts	20/27	20/27
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	14/24	14/24
% 2nd pts	58%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/9	5/9
Converted %	56%	56%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Donski
	R1 Michalski	Total
Score	6-1 7-66
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	71-57	71-57
Total points	128	128
Winners	32	32
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	36/66	36/66
% 1st in	55%	55%
1st pts	32/36	32/36
% 1st pts	89%	89%
2nd pts	12/30	12/30
% 2nd pts	40%	40%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/9	4/9
Converted %	44%	44%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores in Sofia 2 Challenger

• Mika BrunoldBrunold – Dali BlanchBlanch (7-5 5-7 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Daniel RinconRincon (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• David Jorda SanchisJorda Sanchis – Naoya HondaHonda (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Mats Hermans/Tiago PereiraHermans/Tiago Pereira – Yanaki Milev/Petr NesterovMilev/Petr Nesterov (6-4 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Ivan IvanovIvanov (6-2 7-6²) – See score progression
• Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Sumit NagalNagal – Filip PieczonkaPieczonka (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Murkel DellienDellien (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrej NedicNedic – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Milos KarolKarol – Federico BondioliBondioli (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrej NedicNedic – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Lautaro MidonMidon (6-4 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Matej DodigDodig – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Marat SharipovSharipov – Aryan ShahShah (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Tiago PereiraPereira (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander DonskiDonski – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (6-1 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Alexander VasilevVasilev – Ivan GakhovGakhov (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrej NedicNedic – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Ivan IvanovIvanov (6-2 7-6(2)) – See score progression
• Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Lautaro MidonMidon (6-4 7-6(6)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sumit NagalNagal – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander DonskiDonski – (0-0) – H2H and prediction