Sebastian Baez and Pablo Carreno-Busta will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Winston-Salem for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.65
Sebastian Baez -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This will be the 3rd time that Sebastian Baez and Pablo Carreno-Busta square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Carreno-Busta won 6-2 6-1 in the 1st round in Basel back in 2022.

Sebastian Baez

Sebastian Baez

19 - 19win/loss

Hard
2-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-13
Grass
0-1
Rank
45
High
18
LLLLLWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-27 3-9 17-14 0-3 0-1 0-0
2024 31-28 5-9 26-11 0-5 0-3 0-0
2023 33-27 9-7 22-13 1-5 1-2 0-0
2022 35-32 6-12 27-12 0-6 2-2 0-0
2021 56-16 2-1 52-12 2-2 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 43, Sebastian will start his run in Winston-Salem after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 7-5 6-4 to Diallo in the 2nd round on the 9th of August.

Baez has a composed 18-19 win-loss record in 2025, 1-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Alexandre Muller in the final 6-2 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, The Argentine has an overall 269-168 record. He has a negative 34-38 record on hard.

Previously in Winston-Salem

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2023. See his history.

Salem Open
Baez's Record

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

25 - 20win/loss

Hard
15-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
9-11
Rank
89
High
10
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-26 25-10 14-14 1-2 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 93, Carreno-Busta reached the 2nd round after beating Yoshihito Nishioka 6-0 6-3.

In the 1st round, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (6-0 6-3). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 56 points vs Nishioka’s 26. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta blasted 3 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (20/24) of his 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Nishioka 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he defeated Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.

The Spaniard has a compiled 25-19 win-loss record in 2025, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Winston-Salem

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2016. See his history.

Salem Open
Carreno-Busta's Record

Tennis Scores in Salem Open

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