Dalibor Svrcina and Thiago Agustin Tirante will play each other in the final of the Cancun Challenger for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:30 pm on ESTADIO KATAN. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Agustin Tirante who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Thiago Agustin Tirante is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Agustin Tirante -> 1.69
Dalibor Svrcina -> 2.07

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Prediction and head to head Dalibor Svrcina vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante

This will be the 4^th time that Dalibor Svrcina and Thiago Agustin Tirante square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Svrcina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Svrcina won 6-3 6-4 in the semifinal in the Poznan Challenger back in June 2025.

Dalibor Svrcina

Ranked no. 115, Dalibor got to the final after beating Juan Alejandro Hernandez 6-1 6-3, Alexis Galarneau 6-1 6-1, Jesper De Jong 7-5 6-2 and Ignacio Buse 6-1 6-1.

In the semifinal, Dalibor had a good straight sets win against Buse (6-1 6-1). During the match, Svrcina scored 64 points vs Buse’s 43. Svrcina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Svrcina scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Dalibor Svrcina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 7 break points. Furthermore, Svrcina put 76% of his first serves in, winning 64% (29/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the 2nd serve. Dalibor broke Buse 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Svrcina hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points he played.

Svrcina has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (199-142). 20-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Svrcina has an overall81-50 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Pune Challenger where he overcame Brandon Holt in the final 7-6(3) 6-1 and the Barletta Challenger where he beat Vitaliy Sachko in the final 7-5 6-3.

Dalibor has a composed 39-22 win-loss record in 2025, 20-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cancun Challenger

The Czech has never competed in this tournament before.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Ranked no. 135, the Argentine reached the final after beating Matteo Gigante 6-1 4-2 ret., Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 6-4, Arthur Cazaux 6-4 6-2 and Stan Wawrinka 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, Thiago had a good straight sets win against Wawrinka (6-3 6-3). During the match Agustin scored 62 points vs Wawrinka’s 42. Agustin was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Agustin bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Thiago Agustin Tirante was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Thiago broke Wawrinka 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Agustin hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Cordoba Challenger where he beat Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final 6-4 6-0.

The Argentine has an overall 37-22 win-loss record in 2025, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Svrcina	Agustin
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	64	67
Pts	240-159	235-171
Total Points	399	406
Winners	96	86
%Winners	40%	37%

Both Svrcina and Agustin played 4 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Svrcina has played 1 set(s) less than Agustin (8 vs 9). Therefore, Svrcina played 3 games less than Agustin. The Czech scored 96 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Thiago fired 86 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Svrcina	Agustin
Aces	2	24
Avg per match	0.5	6
1st in	144/205	112/196
%1st in	70%	57%
1st pts	96/144	86/112
%1st pts	67%	77%
2nd pts	32/61	51/84
%2nd pts	52%	61%

Svrcina managed to score 2 aces (0.5 per match). Agustin scored 24 aces (6 per match). Svrcina won 67% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Agustin won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Svrcina	Agustin
Won	22	15
Converted	22/34	15/30
% Converted	65%	50%
Conceded	16	13
Saved	11	10
% Saved	69%	77%
Times Broken	5	3

Dalibor broke his opponents 22 times with a 65% conversion rate. Dalibor surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 15 times with a 50% conversion rate. Agustin conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Svrcina
	R1 Alejandro	R2 Galarneau	1/4 De	1/2 Buse	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	6-1 6-1	7-5 6-2	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	16	14	20	14	64
pts	59-36	51-28	66-52	64-43	240-159
Total points	95	79	118	107	399
Winners	22	17	28	29	96
%Winners	37%	33%	42%	45%	40%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	0	1	2
Double Faults	2	2	3	1	8
1st in	34/52	27/39	38/55	45/59	144/205
% 1st in	65%	69%	69%	76%	70%
1st pts	22/34	17/27	28/38	29/45	96/144
% 1st pts	65%	63%	74%	64%	67%
2nd pts	10/18	5/12	9/17	8/14	32/61
% 2nd pts	56%	42%	53%	57%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	7	4	5	22
Converted	6/6	7/11	4/9	5/8	22/34
Converted %	100%	64%	44%	63%	65%
Conceded	4	4	1	7	16
Saved	2/4	2/4	0/1	7/7	11
Saved %	50%	50%	0%	100%	50%
Times Broken	2	2	1	0	5

Agustin
	R1 Gigante	R2 Tabilo	1/4 Cazaux	1/2 Wawrinka	Total
Score	6-1 4-2 ret.	6-2 6-4	6-4 6-2	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	13	18	18	18	67
pts	54-35	59-47	60-47	62-42	235-171
Total points	89	106	107	104	406
Winners	17	24	18	27	86
%Winners	31%	41%	30%	44%	37%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	9	7	24
Double Faults	0	4	1	1	6
1st in	23/41	29/54	26/46	34/55	112/196
% 1st in	56%	54%	57%	62%	57%
1st pts	17/23	24/29	18/26	27/34	86/112
% 1st pts	74%	83%	69%	79%	77%
2nd pts	13/18	13/25	14/20	11/21	51/84
% 2nd pts	72%	52%	70%	52%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	4	4	4	15
Converted	3/11	4/6	4/8	4/5	15/30
Converted %	27%	67%	50%	80%	50%
Conceded	3	5	1	4	13
Saved	3/3	4/5	0/1	3/4	10
Saved %	100%	80%	0%	75%	64%
Times Broken	0	1	1	1	3

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (2-1) – H2H and prediction