[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Iga Swiatek’s draw vs Rybakina, Paolini to win the Cincinnati

Cincinnati draw preview with H2H - Iga Swiatek may need to beat Elena Rybakina, Jasmine Paolini to conquer the title in the Cincinnati Open.

Iga Swiatek Stats info

Iga Swiatek is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Cincinnati. Swiatek has defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-1 6-4, Marta Kostyuk w/o, Sorana Cirstea 6-4 6-3 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-4 to reach the semifinal where she will face Elena Rybakina.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Iga Swiatek’s projected draw includingherplausible opposition in Cincinnati Open. Iga has a good record (10-4) against the plausible opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Anastasia Potapova (45) – 6-1 6-4
R3 – Marta Kostyuk (27) – w/o
R4 – Sorana Cirstea (136) – 6-4 6-3
1/4 – Anna Kalinskaya (34) – 6-3 6-4
1/2 – Elena Rybakina (10) – H2H 5-4
Fin – Jasmine Paolini (9) – H2H 5-0
or Veronika Kudermetova (36) – H2H 4-1
Swiatek
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Draw

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1/2 – Elena Rybakina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-4 for Iga Swiatek

59 - 19win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0
2019 57-21 19-9 15-6 16-4 7-2 0-0
2018 32-22 11-8 7-9 13-4 0-0 1-1

Elena Rybakina has a 41-15 win-loss record in 2025, 25-9 on hard. Regarding the previous 11 years, Rybakina has a 175-80 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Elena won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current year was winning the title in Strasbourg where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

Last year in Cincinnati Open Rybakina capitulated to Leylah Annie Fernandez in the 2nd round 3-6 7-6(3) 6-4.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Elena Rybakina

This would be the 10th time that Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina play each other. The head to head is 5-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-0 for Iga Swiatek

46 - 21win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0

Jasmine Paolini has a 32-13 win-loss record in 2025, 16-7 on hard. In the course of the last 13 years, Jasmine has a 143-104 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this season was conquering the title in Rome where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

Last year in Cincinnati Open the Italian was overcome by Mirra Andreeva in the 3rd round 3-6 6-3 6-2.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Jasmine Paolini

This would be the 6th time that Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini face off. The head to head is 5-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Iga Swiatek may fight against Veronika Kudermetova. Their H2H record is 4-1 for Iga Swiatek.