Jasmine Paolini and Veronika Kudermetova will square off in the semifinal of the Cincinnati Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.61
Veronika Kudermetova -> 2.32

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Veronika Kudermetova

This will be the 5^th time that Jasmine Paolini and Veronika Kudermetova square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Kudermetova (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Kudermetova won 6-3 6-2 in the 1^st round in Cincinnati back in 2021.

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 9, Paolini got to the semifinal after defeating Maria Sakkari 7-6(2) 7-6(5), Ashlyn Krueger 7-6(2) 6-1, Barbora Krejcikova 6-1 6-2 and Cori Gauff 2-6 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter against Gauff, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-3).During the match, Paolini scored less points (1) than Gauff. In fact, the world no. 9 won 85 points vs Gauff’s. That means that Paolini was more focused during the important points. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paolini was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 7 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 62% of her first serves in, winning 57% (31/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (12/33) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Gauff 7 times after converting 47% of her break points (7/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jasmine has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Paolini has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (342-244). 16-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has a composed 120-93 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Rome where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

The Italian has a compiled 32-13 win-loss record in 2025, 16-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Veronika Kudermetova

Ranked no. 36, the Russian reached the semifinal after defeating Suzan Lamens 6-1 6-3, Belinda Bencic 6-4 7-6(0), Clara Tauson 3-6 7-6(4) 6-4, Magda Linette 6-4 6-3 and Varvara Gracheva 6-1 6-2.

In the quarter, Kudermetova had a good straight sets win against Gracheva (6-1 6-2). During the match Kudermetova scored 55 points vs Gracheva’s 34. Kudermetova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 15 winners.

Talking about serving, Kudermetova made 4 aces and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Veronika Kudermetova was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (15/21) of her 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kudermetova broke Gracheva 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Veronika has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Kudermetova has an overall 33-19 win-loss record in 2025, 20-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2020 and 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paolini	Kudermetova
Match played	4	5
Tot Set	9	11
Tot Games	88	105
Pts	308-264	368-280
Total Points	572	648
Winners	122	124
%Winners	40%	34%

Paolini played 4 matches while Kudermetova competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jasmine Paolini lost 1 set, while Veronika Kudermetova conceded 1 set. Paolini has played 2 set(s) less than Kudermetova (9 vs 11). Therefore, Paolini played 17 games less than Kudermetova. Paolini scored 122 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian blasted 124 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paolini	Kudermetova
Aces	7	30
Avg per match	1.8	6
1st in	182/285	161/293
%1st in	64%	55%
1st pts	122/182	124/161
%1st pts	67%	77%
2nd pts	53/103	81/132
%2nd pts	51%	61%

Paolini made 7 aces (1.8 per match). Kudermetova struck 30 aces (6 per match). Paolini won 67% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kudermetova won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paolini	Kudermetova
Won	17	20
Converted	17/43	20/38
% Converted	40%	53%
Conceded	22	16
Saved	11	9
% Saved	50%	56%
Times Broken	11	7

The Italian broke her opponents 17 times with a 40% conversion rate. Jasmine lost her serve 11 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 20 times with a 53% conversion rate. Kudermetova conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
	R2 Sakkari	R3 Krueger	R4 Krejcikova	1/4 Gauff	Total
Score	7-62 7-65	7-62 6-1	6-1 6-2	2-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	26	20	15	27	88
pts	91-87	73-55	59-36	85-86	308-264
Total points	178	128	95	171	572
Winners	40	27	24	31	122
%Winners	44%	37%	41%	36%	40%
SERVE
Aces	5	1	1	0	7
Double Faults	3	0	1	2	6
1st in	59/91	39/62	30/45	54/87	182/285
% 1st in	65%	63%	67%	62%	64%
1st pts	40/59	27/39	24/30	31/54	122/182
% 1st pts	68%	69%	80%	57%	67%
2nd pts	18/32	14/23	9/15	12/33	53/103
% 2nd pts	56%	61%	60%	36%	51%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	7	17
Converted	2/10	4/10	4/8	7/15	17/43
Converted %	20%	40%	50%	47%	40%
Conceded	8	4	0	10	22
Saved	6/8	2/4	0/0	3/10	11
Saved %	75%	50%	–	30%	39%
Times Broken	2	2	0	7	11

Kudermetova
	R1 Lamens	R2 Bencic	R3 Tauson	R4 Linette	1/4 Gracheva	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	6-4 7-60	3-6 7-64 6-4	6-4 6-3	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	2	11
Tot Games	16	23	32	19	15	105
pts	64-37	78-62	99-94	72-53	55-34	368-280
Total points	101	140	193	125	89	648
Winners	22	28	37	22	15	124
%Winners	34%	36%	37%	31%	27%	34%
SERVE
Aces	10	6	6	4	4	30
Double Faults	2	1	2	2	0	7
1st in	26/40	36/73	48/86	30/57	21/37	161/293
% 1st in	65%	49%	56%	53%	57%	55%
1st pts	22/26	28/36	37/48	22/30	15/21	124/161
% 1st pts	85%	78%	77%	73%	71%	77%
2nd pts	9/14	17/37	24/38	18/27	13/16	81/132
% 2nd pts	64%	46%	63%	67%	81%	61%
Breaks
Won	5	4	2	4	5	20
Converted	5/11	4/5	2/9	4/5	5/8	20/38
Converted %	45%	80%	22%	80%	63%	53%
Conceded	2	5	4	5	0	16
Saved	1/2	2/5	2/4	4/5	0/0	9
Saved %	50%	40%	50%	80%	–	55%
Times Broken	1	3	2	1	0	7

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Lyudmyla Kichenok/Ellen PerezKichenok/Ellen Perez (3-6 6-3 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Federico GaioGaio (6-0 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elias YmerYmer – Sumit NagalNagal (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (4-5) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (3-1) – H2H and prediction