Alexander Shevchenko and Shintaro Mochizuki will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Sumter Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Shevchenko who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Shevchenko is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Shevchenko -> 1.85
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Shevchenko vs. Shintaro Mochizuki

This will be the 3^rd time that Alexander Shevchenko and Shintaro Mochizuki face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Shevchenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Shevchenko won 6-7(2) 6-2 6-4 in the qualifications in at the French Open back in May 2025.

Alexander Shevchenko

Ranked no. 102, Shevchenko reached the semifinal after defeating Sho Shimabukuro 6-3 6-3 and Nikoloz Basilashvili 3-6 7-6(3) 4-1 ret..

In the quarter against Basilashvili, the Kazakhstani had a free pass after Basilashvili retired on a 3-6 7-6³ 4-1 . scoreline.

Shevchenko has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (278-198). 6-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Shevchenko has a compiled54-49 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Shevchenko’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Australia and the Bratislava 1 Challenger.

The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 26-27 win-loss record in 2025, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sumter Challenger

Alexander has never competed in this tournament before.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Ranked no. 120 (career-high), the Japanese reached the semifinal after defeating Alex Rybakov 7-5 7-6(2), Karl Poling 6-3 6-0 and Filip Misolic 6-4 4-6 6-4.

In the quarter, Mochizuki defeated Misolic (6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match Mochizuki scored 96 points vs Misolic’s 86. Shintaro was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Mochizuki made 5 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve 6 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 56% of his first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (14/38) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Misolic 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mochizuki has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he defeated Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.

Shintaro has an overall 33-20 win-loss record in 2025, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shevchenko	Mochizuki
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	45	70
Pts	153-128	248-205
Total Points	281	453
Winners	54	80
%Winners	35%	32%

Shevchenko played 2 matches while Mochizuki competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Shevchenko dropped 1 set, while Shintaro Mochizuki dropped 1 set. Shevchenko has played 1 set(s) less than Mochizuki (6 vs 7). Therefore, Shevchenko played 25 games less than Mochizuki. Alexander scored 54 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Shintaro fired 80 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shevchenko	Mochizuki
Aces	8	14
Avg per match	4	4.7
1st in	80/126	108/209
%1st in	63%	52%
1st pts	54/80	80/108
%1st pts	68%	74%
2nd pts	24/46	46/101
%2nd pts	52%	46%

Shevchenko blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Mochizuki recorded 14 aces (4.7 per match). Shevchenko won 68% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shevchenko	Mochizuki
Won	9	17
Converted	9/20	17/32
% Converted	45%	53%
Conceded	9	24
Saved	4	14
% Saved	44%	58%
Times Broken	5	10

Shevchenko broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Mochizuki broke his opponents 17 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

Shevchenko
	R2 Shimabukuro	1/4 Basilashvili	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	3-6 7-63 4-1 ret.
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	18	27	45
pts	65-45	88-83	153-128
Total points	110	171	281
Winners	25	29	54
%Winners	38%	33%	35%
SERVE
Aces	2	6	8
Double Faults	0	1	1
1st in	35/54	45/72	80/126
% 1st in	65%	63%	63%
1st pts	25/35	29/45	54/80
% 1st pts	71%	64%	68%
2nd pts	12/19	12/27	24/46
% 2nd pts	63%	44%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/12	5/8	9/20
Converted %	33%	63%	45%
Conceded	2	7	9
Saved	1/2	3/7	4
Saved %	50%	43%	47%
Times Broken	1	4	5

Mochizuki
	R1 Rybakov	R2 Poling	1/4 Misolic	Total
Score	7-5 7-62	6-3 6-0	6-4 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	25	15	30	70
pts	92-84	60-35	96-86	248-205
Total points	176	95	182	453
Winners	32	14	34	80
%Winners	35%	23%	35%	32%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	5	14
Double Faults	9	1	8	18
1st in	42/83	17/39	49/87	108/209
% 1st in	51%	44%	56%	52%
1st pts	32/42	14/17	34/49	80/108
% 1st pts	76%	82%	69%	74%
2nd pts	18/41	14/22	14/38	46/101
% 2nd pts	44%	64%	37%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	6	7	17
Converted	4/12	6/8	7/12	17/32
Converted %	33%	75%	58%	53%
Conceded	10	3	11	24
Saved	7/10	2/3	5/11	14
Saved %	70%	67%	45%	91%
Times Broken	3	1	6	10

Tennis Scores in Sumter Challenger

• Jason Jung/Reese StalderJung/Reese Stalder – Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Vasil Kirkov/Bart StevensKirkov/Bart Stevens – Trey Hilderbrand/Mac KigerHilderbrand/Mac Kiger (6-7¹⁴ 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (3-6 7-6³ 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Jaime FariaFaria – Mark LajalLajal (5-7 6-4 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Lukas KleinKlein (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw