Thiago Agustin Tirante and Stan Wawrinka will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Cancun Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on ESTADIO KATAN. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Agustin Tirante who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Thiago Agustin Tirante is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Agustin Tirante -> 1.77
Stan Wawrinka -> 1.96

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Prediction and head to head Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Stan Wawrinka

There is no head to head record between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Stan Wawrinka since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Ranked no. 135, Agustin Tirante got to the semifinal after defeating Matteo Gigante 6-1 4-2 ret., Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 6-4 and Arthur Cazaux 6-4 6-2.

In the quarter, Agustin Tirante had a good straight sets win against Cazaux (6-4 6-2). During the match, Agustin Tirante scored 60 points vs Cazaux’s 47. Thiago was extremely aggressive to blast 18 winners.

Regarding the service games, Agustin Tirante made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Thiago Agustin Tirante lost the serve once. Furthermore, Agustin Tirante put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (18/26) of the points behind his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Cazaux 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Agustin Tirante hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Agustin Tirante has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 58% of his matches (248-179). 12-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Agustin Tirante has a composed64-36 record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Cordoba Challenger where he defeated Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final 6-4 6-0.

Thiago has an overall 36-22 win-loss record in 2025, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cancun Challenger

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Stan Wawrinka

Ranked no. 152, Stan got to the semifinal after beating Cleeve Harper 6-3 6-4, Rio Noguchi 6-3 6-4 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter, Stan had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (6-4 6-3). During the match Wawrinka scored 66 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 49. Stan was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Wawrinka blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stan Wawrinka lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Wawrinka put 57% of his first serves in, winning 79% (31/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Wawrinka broke Manuel Cerundolo 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Stan hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

The Swiss’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Aix En Provence Challenger.

The Swiss has a compiled 15-17 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Agustin Tirante	Wawrinka
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	49	57
Pts	173-129	201-151
Total Points	302	352
Winners	59	84
%Winners	34%	42%

Both Agustin Tirante and Wawrinka played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Agustin Tirante has played 1 set more than Wawrinka (7 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Agustin Tirante played 8 games less than Wawrinka. The Argentine scored 59 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Stan made 84 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Agustin Tirante	Wawrinka
Aces	17	21
Avg per match	5.7	7
1st in	78/141	103/193
%1st in	55%	53%
1st pts	59/78	84/103
%1st pts	76%	82%
2nd pts	40/63	48/90
%2nd pts	63%	53%

Agustin Tirante managed to score 17 aces (5.7 per match). Wawrinka scored 21 aces (7 per match). Agustin Tirante won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Wawrinka won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Agustin Tirante	Wawrinka
Won	11	9
Converted	11/25	9/20
% Converted	44%	45%
Conceded	9	14
Saved	7	11
% Saved	78%	79%
Times Broken	2	3

The Argentine broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Argentine lost his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Wawrinka broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.

Agustin Tirante
	R1 Gigante	R2 Tabilo	1/4 Cazaux	Total
Score	6-1 4-2 ret.	6-2 6-4	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	13	18	18	49
pts	54-35	59-47	60-47	173-129
Total points	89	106	107	302
Winners	17	24	18	59
%Winners	31%	41%	30%	34%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	9	17
Double Faults	0	4	1	5
1st in	23/41	29/54	26/46	78/141
% 1st in	56%	54%	57%	55%
1st pts	17/23	24/29	18/26	59/78
% 1st pts	74%	83%	69%	76%
2nd pts	13/18	13/25	14/20	40/63
% 2nd pts	72%	52%	70%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	4	4	11
Converted	3/11	4/6	4/8	11/25
Converted %	27%	67%	50%	44%
Conceded	3	5	1	9
Saved	3/3	4/5	0/1	7
Saved %	100%	80%	0%	60%
Times Broken	0	1	1	2

Wawrinka
	R1 Harper	R2 Noguchi	1/4 Manuel	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	19	19	19	57
pts	69-55	66-47	66-49	201-151
Total points	124	113	115	352
Winners	25	28	31	84
%Winners	36%	42%	47%	42%
SERVE
Aces	8	9	4	21
Double Faults	1	2	2	5
1st in	33/66	31/59	39/68	103/193
% 1st in	50%	53%	57%	53%
1st pts	25/33	28/31	31/39	84/103
% 1st pts	76%	90%	79%	82%
2nd pts	19/33	16/28	13/29	48/90
% 2nd pts	58%	57%	45%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	9
Converted	3/8	2/6	4/6	9/20
Converted %	38%	33%	67%	45%
Conceded	8	1	5	14
Saved	7/8	1/1	3/5	11
Saved %	88%	100%	60%	83%
Times Broken	1	0	2	3

Tennis Scores in Cancun Challenger

• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Jesper De JongDe Jong (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt – Nicolas Barrientos/Joran VliegenBarrientos/Joran Vliegen (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Jesper De JongDe Jong (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-4 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (0-0) – H2H and prediction