Dalibor Svrcina and Ignacio Buse will play each other in the semifinal of the Cancun Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:30 pm on ESTADIO KATAN. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dalibor Svrcina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Dalibor Svrcina is the pick to win this match.
Dalibor Svrcina -> 1.78
Ignacio Buse -> 1.95

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Prediction and head to head Dalibor Svrcina vs. Ignacio Buse

There is no head to head record between Dalibor Svrcina and Ignacio Buse since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Dalibor Svrcina

Ranked no. 115, the Czech reached the semifinal after defeating Juan Alejandro Hernandez 6-1 6-3, Alexis Galarneau 6-1 6-1 and Jesper De Jong 7-5 6-2.

In the quarter, Dalibor had a good straight sets win against De Jong (7-5 6-2). During the match, Svrcina scored 66 points vs De Jong’s 52. The Czech was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Svrcina couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Dalibor Svrcina was very effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Svrcina broke De Jong 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Svrcina hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points he played.

Svrcina has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (198-142). 19-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Svrcina has a composed80-50 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Pune Challenger where he beat Brandon Holt in the final 7-6(3) 6-1 and the Barletta Challenger where he overcame Vitaliy Sachko in the final 7-5 6-3.

The Czech has a composed 38-22 win-loss record in 2025, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cancun Challenger

Svrcina has never competed in this tournament before.

Ignacio Buse

Ranked no. 140, Buse reached the semifinal after defeating Daniel Elahi Galan 7-6(8) 6-4, Beibit Zhukayev 6-3 7-6(4) and Daniel Altmaier 3-6 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter against Altmaier, The Peruvian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Buse scored 94 points vs Altmaier’s 86. The Peruvian was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Buse recorded 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Ignacio Buse lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Buse put 54% of his first serves in, winning 68% (38/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (25/47) on the 2nd serve. Buse broke Altmaier 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Peruvian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Heilbronn Challenger where he defeated Guy Den Ouden in the final 7-5 7-5.

The Peruvian has an overall 29-20 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Svrcina	Buse
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	50	71
Pts	176-116	243-216
Total Points	292	459
Winners	67	104
%Winners	38%	43%

Both Svrcina and Buse played 3 matches. At the moment, Ignacio Buse surrendered 1 set while Dalibor Svrcina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Svrcina has played 1 set(s) less than Buse (6 vs 7). Therefore, Svrcina played 21 games less than Buse. Dalibor scored 67 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Buse made 104 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Svrcina	Buse
Aces	1	18
Avg per match	0.3	6
1st in	99/146	143/256
%1st in	68%	56%
1st pts	67/99	104/143
%1st pts	68%	73%
2nd pts	24/47	63/113
%2nd pts	51%	56%

Svrcina managed to score 1 ace (0.3 per match). Buse also recorded 18 aces (6 per match). Svrcina won 68% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Buse won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Svrcina	Buse
Won	17	9
Converted	17/26	9/16
% Converted	65%	56%
Conceded	9	22
Saved	4	17
% Saved	44%	77%
Times Broken	5	5

Svrcina broke his opponents 17 times with a 65% conversion rate. Dalibor surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Ignacio broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Ignacio conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Svrcina
	R1 Alejandro	R2 Galarneau	1/4 De	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	6-1 6-1	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	16	14	20	50
pts	59-36	51-28	66-52	176-116
Total points	95	79	118	292
Winners	22	17	28	67
%Winners	37%	33%	42%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	0	1
Double Faults	2	2	3	7
1st in	34/52	27/39	38/55	99/146
% 1st in	65%	69%	69%	68%
1st pts	22/34	17/27	28/38	67/99
% 1st pts	65%	63%	74%	68%
2nd pts	10/18	5/12	9/17	24/47
% 2nd pts	56%	42%	53%	51%
Breaks
Won	6	7	4	17
Converted	6/6	7/11	4/9	17/26
Converted %	100%	64%	44%	65%
Conceded	4	4	1	9
Saved	2/4	2/4	0/1	4
Saved %	50%	50%	0%	33%
Times Broken	2	2	1	5

Buse
	R1 Elahi Galan Riveros	R2 Zhukayev	1/4 Altmaier	Total
Score	7-68 6-4	6-3 7-64	3-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	23	22	26	71
pts	77-70	72-60	94-86	243-216
Total points	147	132	180	459
Winners	35	31	38	104
%Winners	45%	43%	40%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	4	6	18
Double Faults	1	6	4	11
1st in	47/75	40/78	56/103	143/256
% 1st in	63%	51%	54%	56%
1st pts	35/47	31/40	38/56	104/143
% 1st pts	74%	78%	68%	73%
2nd pts	15/28	23/38	25/47	63/113
% 2nd pts	54%	61%	53%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	9
Converted	3/4	2/2	4/10	9/16
Converted %	75%	100%	40%	56%
Conceded	3	8	11	22
Saved	1/3	7/8	9/11	17
Saved %	33%	88%	82%	68%
Times Broken	2	1	2	5

Tennis Scores in Cancun Challenger

• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Jesper De JongDe Jong (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt – Nicolas Barrientos/Joran VliegenBarrientos/Joran Vliegen (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Jesper De JongDe Jong (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-4 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (0-0) – H2H and prediction