Mattia Bellucci and Jaime Faria will play each other in the semifinal of the Sumter Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.47
Jaime Faria -> 2.53

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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Jaime Faria

There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Jaime Faria since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Mattia Bellucci

Ranked no. 74, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Henrique Rocha 7-6(5) 6-4 and Lukas Klein 6-4 6-2.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Klein (6-4 6-2). During the match, Bellucci scored 58 points vs Klein’s 45. Bellucci was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bellucci fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (31/40) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Klein 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bellucci hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Bellucci has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (253-158). 4-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has an aggregate137-71 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Mattia’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Rotterdam.

Mattia has a composed 18-24 win-loss record in 2025, 4-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sumter Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Jaime Faria

Ranked no. 124, Jaime got to the semifinal after beating Hady Habib 6-7(9) 6-1 7-5, Kaylan Bigun 3-6 6-0 4-1 ret. and Mark Lajal 5-7 6-4 7-6(8).

In the quarter against Lajal, Faria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 7-6⁸).During the match Faria scored less points (2) than Lajal. In fact, the world no. 74 won 117 points vs Lajal’s. That means that Faria was more focused during the important points. Faria was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Faria fired 14 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Jaime Faria lost the serve 6 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Faria put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (46/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (18/43) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Lajal 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Portuguese has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Jaime has a composed 18-17 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bellucci	Faria
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	10
Tot Games	41	87
Pts	139-115	307-266
Total Points	254	573
Winners	68	123
%Winners	49%	40%

Bellucci played 2 matches while Faria competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Jaime Faria lost 3 sets while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t lost a set so far. Bellucci has played 6 set(s) less than Faria (4 vs 10). Therefore, Bellucci played 46 games less than Faria. Mattia scored 68 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese scored 123 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bellucci	Faria
Aces	7	40
Avg per match	3.5	13.3
1st in	103/140	164/276
%1st in	74%	59%
1st pts	68/103	123/164
%1st pts	66%	75%
2nd pts	19/37	49/112
%2nd pts	51%	44%

Bellucci bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Faria blasted 40 aces (13.3 per match). Bellucci won 66% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Faria won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bellucci	Faria
Won	8	16
Converted	8/9	16/35
% Converted	89%	46%
Conceded	9	22
Saved	5	12
% Saved	56%	55%
Times Broken	4	10

Bellucci broke his opponents 8 times with a 89% conversion rate. Bellucci lost his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.

Bellucci
	R2 Rocha	1/4 Klein	Total
Score	7-65 6-4	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	23	18	41
pts	81-70	58-45	139-115
Total points	151	103	254
Winners	37	31	68
%Winners	46%	53%	49%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	7
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	63/84	40/56	103/140
% 1st in	75%	71%	74%
1st pts	37/63	31/40	68/103
% 1st pts	59%	78%	66%
2nd pts	10/21	9/16	19/37
% 2nd pts	48%	56%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/6	3/3	8/9
Converted %	83%	100%	89%
Conceded	7	2	9
Saved	3/7	2/2	5
Saved %	43%	100%	72%
Times Broken	4	0	4

Faria
	R1 Habib	R2 Bigun	1/4 Lajal	Total
Score	6-79 6-1 7-5	3-6 6-0 4-1 ret.	5-7 6-4 7-68
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	32	20	35	87
pts	116-88	74-59	117-119	307-266
Total points	204	133	236	573
Winners	48	29	46	123
%Winners	41%	39%	39%	40%
SERVE
Aces	17	9	14	40
Double Faults	6	7	8	21
1st in	58/98	34/63	72/115	164/276
% 1st in	59%	54%	63%	59%
1st pts	48/58	29/34	46/72	123/164
% 1st pts	83%	85%	64%	75%
2nd pts	22/40	9/29	18/43	49/112
% 2nd pts	55%	31%	42%	44%
Breaks
Won	5	5	6	16
Converted	5/11	5/9	6/15	16/35
Converted %	45%	56%	40%	46%
Conceded	5	2	15	22
Saved	3/5	0/2	9/15	12
Saved %	60%	0%	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2	6	10

Tennis Scores in Sumter Challenger

• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (3-6 7-6³ 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Jason Jung/Reese StalderJung/Reese Stalder – Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Vasil Kirkov/Bart StevensKirkov/Bart Stevens – Trey Hilderbrand/Mac KigerHilderbrand/Mac Kiger (6-7¹⁴ 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Lukas KleinKlein (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Jaime FariaFaria – Mark LajalLajal (5-7 6-4 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (3-6 7-6(3) 4-1 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw