Mattia Bellucci and Jaime Faria will play each other in the semifinal of the Sumter Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.47
Jaime Faria -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Jaime Faria
There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Jaime Faria since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Mattia Bellucci
19 - 24win/loss
74
63
LLLLWLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-31 | 10-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-33 | 31-18 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Henrique Rocha 7-6(5) 6-4 and Lukas Klein 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Klein (6-4 6-2). During the match, Bellucci scored 58 points vs Klein’s 45. Bellucci was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bellucci fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (31/40) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Klein 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bellucci hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (253-158). 4-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has an aggregate137-71 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Mattia’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Rotterdam.
Mattia has a composed 18-24 win-loss record in 2025, 4-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sumter Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Jaime Faria
18 - 18win/loss
152
87
LLLLWWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 9-6 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 53-25 | 24-5 | 27-14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 33-17 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-24 | 20-12 | 23-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 6-6 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 124, Jaime got to the semifinal after beating Hady Habib 6-7(9) 6-1 7-5, Kaylan Bigun 3-6 6-0 4-1 ret. and Mark Lajal 5-7 6-4 7-6(8).
In the quarter against Lajal, Faria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 7-68).During the match Faria scored less points (2) than Lajal. In fact, the world no. 74 won 117 points vs Lajal’s. That means that Faria was more focused during the important points. Faria was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Faria fired 14 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Jaime Faria lost the serve 6 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Faria put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (46/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (18/43) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Lajal 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Portuguese has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Jaime has a composed 18-17 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 87 |
| Pts | 139-115 | 307-266 |
| Total Points | 254 | 573 |
| Winners | 68 | 123 |
| %Winners | 49% | 40% |
Bellucci played 2 matches while Faria competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Jaime Faria lost 3 sets while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t lost a set so far. Bellucci has played 6 set(s) less than Faria (4 vs 10). Therefore, Bellucci played 46 games less than Faria. Mattia scored 68 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese scored 123 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 40 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 13.3 |
| 1st in | 103/140 | 164/276 |
| %1st in | 74% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 68/103 | 123/164 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 49/112 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 44% |
Bellucci bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Faria blasted 40 aces (13.3 per match). Bellucci won 66% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Faria won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 16 |
| Converted | 8/9 | 16/35 |
| % Converted | 89% | 46% |
| Conceded | 9 | 22 |
| Saved | 5 | 12 |
| % Saved | 56% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 10 |
Bellucci broke his opponents 8 times with a 89% conversion rate. Bellucci lost his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | ||||
| R2 Rocha |
1/4 Klein |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 18 | 41 | |
| pts | 81-70 | 58-45 | 139-115 | |
| Total points | 151 | 103 | 254 | |
| Winners | 37 | 31 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 53% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 63/84 | 40/56 | 103/140 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 71% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 37/63 | 31/40 | 68/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 78% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 9/16 | 19/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 56% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/3 | 8/9 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 100% | 89% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 2/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 100% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Faria | |||||
| R1 Habib |
R2 Bigun |
1/4 Lajal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-79 6-1 7-5 | 3-6 6-0 4-1 ret. | 5-7 6-4 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 20 | 35 | 87 | |
| pts | 116-88 | 74-59 | 117-119 | 307-266 | |
| Total points | 204 | 133 | 236 | 573 | |
| Winners | 48 | 29 | 46 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 17 | 9 | 14 | 40 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 58/98 | 34/63 | 72/115 | 164/276 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 54% | 63% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 48/58 | 29/34 | 46/72 | 123/164 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 85% | 64% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 9/29 | 18/43 | 49/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 31% | 42% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/9 | 6/15 | 16/35 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 40% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 15 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/2 | 9/15 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 0% | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLWLWL
LLLLWWLLWL Tennis Scores in Sumter Challenger
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (3-6 7-63 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Jason Jung/Reese StalderJung/Reese Stalder – Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Vasil Kirkov/Bart StevensKirkov/Bart Stevens – Trey Hilderbrand/Mac KigerHilderbrand/Mac Kiger (6-714 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Lukas KleinKlein (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jaime FariaFaria – Mark LajalLajal (5-7 6-4 7-68) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (3-6 7-6(3) 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
