Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Stan Wawrinka will fight against each other in the quarter of the Cancun Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on ESTADIO KATAN . In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stan Wawrinka who should win in 3 sets.
Stan Wawrinka -> 1.42
Juan Manuel Cerundolo -> 2.7
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Prediction and head to head Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Stan Wawrinka
There is no head to head record between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Stan Wawrinka since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38 - 23win/loss
85
71
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-29 | 8-8 | 39-19 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-28 | 0-3 | 46-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-32 | 4-2 | 37-28 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-17 | 3-6 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-26 | 0-0 | 53-22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 86, the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Roman Andres Burruchaga 2-6 7-6(2) 6-3
.In the 2nd round against Andres Burruchaga, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-62 6-3).During the match, Manuel Cerundolo scored less points (1) than Andres Burruchaga. In fact, the world no. 86 won 115 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s. That means that Manuel Cerundolo was more focused during the important points. Manuel Cerundolo was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Manuel Cerundolo scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 4 double faults. Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Manuel Cerundolo put 61% of his first serves in, winning 68% (48/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (17/45) on the 2nd serve. Manuel Cerundolo broke Andres Burruchaga 5 times after converting 29% of his break points (5/17).
Manuel Cerundolo has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (283-171). 1-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Manuel Cerundolo has an aggregate10-16 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Argentine’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Braunschweig Challenger and Gstaad.
Juan has a compiled 38-22 win-loss record in 2025, 1-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cancun Challenger
Manuel Cerundolo has never competed in this tournament before.
Stan Wawrinka
15 - 17win/loss
156
3
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-23 | 7-4 | 11-12 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 5-10 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-24 | 8-6 | 11-8 | 8-9 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-15 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 152, Wawrinka got to the quarter after defeating Cleeve Harper 6-3 6-4 and Rio Noguchi 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Wawrinka had a good straight sets win against Noguchi (6-3 6-4). During the match Wawrinka scored 66 points vs Noguchi’s 47. Stan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Wawrinka scored 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stan Wawrinka was very efficient on serve to win 90% (28/31) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Wawrinka broke Noguchi twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Swiss hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
The Swiss’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Aix En Provence Challenger.
Stan has a compiled 14-17 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Manuel Cerundolo | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 38 |
| Pts | 115-116 | 135-102 |
| Total Points | 231 | 237 |
| Winners | 48 | 53 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Manuel Cerundolo played 1 match while Wawrinka competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Juan Manuel Cerundolo dropped 1 set while Stan Wawrinka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Manuel Cerundolo has played 1 set(s) less than Wawrinka (3 vs 4). Therefore, Manuel Cerundolo played 8 games less than Wawrinka. Juan scored 48 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Stan recorded 53 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Manuel Cerundolo | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 71/116 | 64/125 |
| %1st in | 61% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 48/71 | 53/64 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 17/45 | 35/61 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 57% |
Manuel Cerundolo managed to score 1 ace . Wawrinka also struck 17 aces (8.5 per match). Manuel Cerundolo won 68% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Wawrinka won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Manuel Cerundolo | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/17 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 29% | 36% |
| Conceded | 14 | 9 |
| Saved | 9 | 8 |
| % Saved | 64% | 89% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Juan broke his opponent 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Stan broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Wawrinka conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.
| Manuel Cerundolo | |||
| R2 Andres Burruchaga | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 115-116 | 115-116 | |
| Total points | 231 | 231 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 71/116 | 71/116 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 48/71 | 48/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/45 | 17/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 9/14 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Wawrinka | ||||
| R1 Harper | R2 Noguchi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 38 | |
| pts | 69-55 | 66-47 | 135-102 | |
| Total points | 124 | 113 | 237 | |
| Winners | 25 | 28 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/66 | 31/59 | 64/125 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 53% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 28/31 | 53/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 90% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 16/28 | 35/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/6 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 1/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 100% | 188% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (0-1) – H2H and prediction