Jesper De Jong and Dalibor Svrcina will clash against each other in the quarter of the Cancun Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:30 pm on ESTADIO KATAN . In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jesper De Jong who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jesper De Jong is the pick to win this match.
Jesper De Jong -> 1.55
Dalibor Svrcina -> 2.33

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Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Dalibor Svrcina

This will be the 2^nd time that Jesper De Jong and Dalibor Svrcina clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Svrcina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Svrcina won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in the Roseto Degli Abruzzi Challenger back in 2023.

Jesper De Jong

Ranked no. 79 (career-high), the Dutch got to the quarter after beating Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 6-1 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Jesper had a good straight sets win against Pacheco Mendez (6-1 6-2). During the match, De Jong scored 64 points vs Pacheco Mendez’s 37. De Jong was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, De Jong recorded 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jesper De Jong was very effective on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Dutch broke Pacheco Mendez 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

De Jong has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (280-170). 2-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Jong has a compiled88-43 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

The Dutch’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Murcia Challenger and Bastad.

Jesper has a composed 27-23 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cancun Challenger

Jesper has never competed in this tournament before.

Dalibor Svrcina

Ranked no. 115, the Czech reached the quarter after beating Juan Alejandro Hernandez 6-1 6-3 and Alexis Galarneau 6-1 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Svrcina had a good straight sets win against Galarneau (6-1 6-1). During the match Svrcina scored 51 points vs Galarneau’s 28. Dalibor was pretty aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Talking about serving, Svrcina couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Dalibor Svrcina lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Svrcina put 69% of his first serves in, winning 63% (17/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (5/12) on the 2nd serve. Svrcina broke Galarneau 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 63% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Pune Challenger where he overcame Brandon Holt in the final 7-6(3) 6-1 and the Barletta Challenger where he overcame Vitaliy Sachko in the final 7-5 6-3.

The Czech has a composed 37-22 win-loss record in 2025, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Jong	Svrcina
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	15	30
Pts	64-37	110-64
Total Points	101	174
Winners	22	39
%Winners	34%	35%

De Jong played 1 match while Svrcina competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. De Jong has played 2 set(s) less than Svrcina (2 vs 4). Therefore, De Jong played 15 games less than Svrcina. Jesper scored 22 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Dalibor struck 39 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Jong	Svrcina
Aces	12	1
Avg per match	12	0.5
1st in	27/49	61/91
%1st in	55%	67%
1st pts	22/27	39/61
%1st pts	81%	64%
2nd pts	14/22	15/30
%2nd pts	64%	50%

De Jong made 12 aces . Svrcina recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). De Jong won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Svrcina won 64% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Jong	Svrcina
Won	4	13
Converted	4/5	13/17
% Converted	80%	76%
Conceded	1	8
Saved	1	4
% Saved	100%	50%
Times Broken	0	4

Jesper broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Dutch quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Czech broke his opponents 13 times with a 76% conversion rate. Svrcina conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

De Jong
	R2 Pacheco Mendez	Total
Score	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	64-37	64-37
Total points	101	101
Winners	22	22
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	27/49	27/49
% 1st in	55%	55%
1st pts	22/27	22/27
% 1st pts	81%	81%
2nd pts	14/22	14/22
% 2nd pts	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/5	4/5
Converted %	80%	80%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Svrcina
	R1 Alejandro	R2 Galarneau	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	16	14	30
pts	59-36	51-28	110-64
Total points	95	79	174
Winners	22	17	39
%Winners	37%	33%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	1
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	34/52	27/39	61/91
% 1st in	65%	69%	67%
1st pts	22/34	17/27	39/61
% 1st pts	65%	63%	64%
2nd pts	10/18	5/12	15/30
% 2nd pts	56%	42%	50%
Breaks
Won	6	7	13
Converted	6/6	7/11	13/17
Converted %	100%	64%	76%
Conceded	4	4	8
Saved	2/4	2/4	4
Saved %	50%	50%	100%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Upcoming matches in the draw

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• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (0-1) – H2H and prediction