Cori Gauff and Jasmine Paolini will face off in the quarter of the Cincinnati Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.44
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.79

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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 5^th time that Cori Gauff and Jasmine Paolini fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Paolini won 6-4 6-2 in the final in Rome back in May 2025.

Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Cori Gauff – Rome 17-May-2025

Cori Gauff

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Cori reached the quarter after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-3 6-2, Dayana Yastremska w/o and Lucia Bronzetti 6-2 6-4.

In the 4^th round, Cori had a good straight sets win against Bronzetti (6-2 6-4). During the match, Gauff scored 65 points vs Bronzetti’s 48. Gauff was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gauff bagged 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 67% of her first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Bronzetti 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gauff hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Gauff has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (264-111). 17-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Gauff has a composed147-64 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the French Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.

Gauff has a compiled 35-11 win-loss record in 2025, 17-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 9, Paolini reached the quarter after beating Maria Sakkari 7-6(2) 7-6(5), Ashlyn Krueger 7-6(2) 6-1 and Barbora Krejcikova 6-1 6-2.

In the 4^th round, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (6-1 6-2). During the match Paolini scored 59 points vs Krejcikova’s 36. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Krejcikova 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Rome where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

Paolini has an overall 31-13 win-loss record in 2025, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gauff	Paolini
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	6
Tot Games	35	61
Pts	125-92	223-178
Total Points	217	401
Winners	50	91
%Winners	40%	41%

Gauff played 2 matches while Paolini competed in 3 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Gauff has played 2 set(s) less than Paolini (4 vs 6). Therefore, Gauff played 26 games less than Paolini. Cori scored 50 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Jasmine managed to score 91 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gauff	Paolini
Aces	11	7
Avg per match	5.5	2.3
1st in	73/117	128/198
%1st in	62%	65%
1st pts	50/73	91/128
%1st pts	68%	71%
2nd pts	22/44	41/70
%2nd pts	50%	59%

Gauff bagged 11 aces (5.5 per match). Paolini fired 7 aces (2.3 per match). Gauff won 68% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gauff	Paolini
Won	10	10
Converted	10/12	10/28
% Converted	83%	36%
Conceded	12	12
Saved	8	8
% Saved	67%	67%
Times Broken	4	4

The American broke her opponents 10 times with a 83% conversion rate. Gauff surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Gauff
	R2 Wang	R3 Yastremska	R4 Bronzetti	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	w/o	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	–	2	4
Tot Games	17	–	18	35
pts	60-44	–	65-48	125-92
Total points	104	–	113	217
Winners	26	–	24	50
%Winners	43%	–	37%	40%
SERVE
Aces	5	–	6	11
Double Faults	8	–	3	11
1st in	35/60	–	38/57	73/117
% 1st in	58%	–	67%	62%
1st pts	26/35	–	24/38	50/73
% 1st pts	74%	–	63%	68%
2nd pts	11/25	–	11/19	22/44
% 2nd pts	44%	–	58%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	–	5	10
Converted	5/5	–	5/7	10/12
Converted %	100%	–	71%	83%
Conceded	7	–	5	12
Saved	5/7	–	3/5	8
Saved %	71%	–	60%	44%
Times Broken	2	–	2	4

Paolini
	R2 Sakkari	R3 Krueger	R4 Krejcikova	Total
Score	7-62 7-65	7-62 6-1	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	26	20	15	61
pts	91-87	73-55	59-36	223-178
Total points	178	128	95	401
Winners	40	27	24	91
%Winners	44%	37%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	1	1	7
Double Faults	3	0	1	4
1st in	59/91	39/62	30/45	128/198
% 1st in	65%	63%	67%	65%
1st pts	40/59	27/39	24/30	91/128
% 1st pts	68%	69%	80%	71%
2nd pts	18/32	14/23	9/15	41/70
% 2nd pts	56%	61%	60%	59%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	10
Converted	2/10	4/10	4/8	10/28
Converted %	20%	40%	50%	36%
Conceded	8	4	0	12
Saved	6/8	2/4	0/0	8
Saved %	75%	50%	–	42%
Times Broken	2	2	0	4

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Caty Mcnally/Linda NoskovaMcnally/Linda Noskova (6-2 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico GaioGaio – Manuel GuinardGuinard (6-1 2-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Mohamed SafwatSafwat (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elias YmerYmer – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (7-6⁵ 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sumit NagalNagal – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (7-5 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Magda LinetteLinette (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-4) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Cori GauffGauff (2-2) – H2H and prediction